Thursday, 3 November 2011

English Premier League preview

After last weekend’s goal glut I couldn’t be more excited to see what the English Premier League has in store for us this weekend. The start of November will see a change of balls, with the yellow ball coming into play. Don’t expect too much else to change though, as Man City continue to score at will and Petr Cech continues his best Hadeda impression and flap at anything that comes near him. Sir Alex made it 25 years in charge this week, so congratulations on that. Can you please just bugger off now?! Intro over, let’s get into some football.


Newcastle vs Everton, Sat 5th November, 14:45


To Win (90 Min)
Newcastle 5/4
Everton 22/10
Draw 9/4


The weekend kicks-off at St James Park where high flying Newcastle will be looking to continue their unbeaten start to the season against Everton. Having been unfortunate to go down to United last weekend, David Moyes men will be looking for a repeat of their 2-1 victory here last season. Times have changed though, and while the Toffees are on the slide, the Magpies are on the up and up. They became the first visitors this season to grab 3 points at Stoke thanks to an inspired Demba Ba and I fully expect them to continue their good run here. 10 of his 14 EPL goals have come in the first half so the Newcastle-Newcastle, ht-ft double at 26/10 looks juicy.

Arsenal vs West Brom, Sat 5th November, 17:00

To Win (90 Min)
Arsenal 4/10
West Brom 64/10
Draw 34/10


Arsenal has flown under the radar a bit recently, but they made everyone sit up and take notice last weekend thanks to a 5-3 demolition of rivals Chelsea. Having rested a number of player’s midweek they should be fresh to face West Brom on Saturday. West Brom will have fond memories of the Emirates, having won here last season. Surprisingly they have been better on the road this season, but they will need to be on top of their game if they are to get something off of a confident Arsenal unit. With RVP in quite sensational form at the moment, it could be a long day for the Albion backline.

Aston Villa vs Norwich, Sat 5th November, 17:00

To Win (90 Min)
Aston Villa 8/10
Norwich 33/10
Draw 26/10


Alex McLeish must be pulling his hair out, which is a problem for a man with so little hair. His Villa side have thrown away 10 points from winning positions, more than any other side this season. This weekend they face Norwich who came from behind twice to grab a point against Blackburn last weekend. McLeish has a fully fit squad to choose from as he looks to mastermind Villa’s first victory since the beginning of October. Norwich managed a commendable 1-1 draw at Anfield in their last match and they have shown themselves more than capable of an upset so far this season. At 14/1 Villa to draw after leading at halftime has a certain appeal about it.

Blackburn vs Chelsea, Sat 5th November, 17:00

To Win (90 Min)
Blackburn 63/10
Chelsea 9/20
Draw 33/10


Andre Villas-Boas has endured a terrible week in charge of Chelsea. In the midst of a racism scandal, he has seen his side lose two matches and follow that up with a draw against the mighty Genk. This weekend he travels to Ewood Park to face basement club Blackburn, whose manager is also under fire from supporters. Chelsea have been reckless at the back, keeping only one clean sheet in their 10 matches. The form of Petr Cech has also been questioned, with the Czech boasting the worst saves to shots percentage in the league. A draw here and the heat will really be turned up on the young Portuguese coach. It is available at 33/10.

Liverpool vs Swansea, Sat 5th November, 17:00

To Win (90 Min)
Liverpool 3/10
Swansea 95/10
Draw 41/10


It has been an inconsistent start to the campaign by Liverpool but they do find themselves only 1 point off the Champions League places, which is their ultimate goal this season. This week they host Swansea, who have taken to life in the Premier League like a swan to water (what’s with the bird metaphors this week?). Less impressive though, has been their away form, with only a single point to show for their travels. Liverpool have had the tendency to slip up against these types of opposition in the past, just cast your mind back two weeks to the Norwich game. These are the games they should be winning if they are to be serious European contenders though, and even without the perennially injured Steven Gerrard, they should pick up the win here.

Man Utd vs Sunderland, Sat 5th November, 17:00

To Win (90 Min)
Man Utd 1/5
Sunderland 12/1
Draw 48/10


So it’s been 25 years in charge for good ol’ Sir Alex. This weekend he comes face to face with a former player of his, Steve Bruce, whose Sunderland side may just have turned a corner. Having fought back twice to draw at home to Villa, the Black Cats will be hoping to spring a surprise here and ruin the celebrations. Man Utd have lacked their usual joie de vivre in recent weeks, but with Rooney fulfilling a midfield role, they may just find their spark this weekend. Steve Bruce has never managed a win against his former mentor, and I don’t expect him to start here.

QPR vs Man City, Sat 5th November, 19:30

To Win (90 Min)
QPR 78/10
Man City 7/20
Draw 36/10


Man City head into November with the best start to the season in Premier League history, and the blue juggernaut doesn’t look to be slowing down. This week they travel to QPR, a side that has struggled in front of their own fans this season. Roberto Mancini declared himself fit following his head knock in the Villarreal dugout and the City squad seems to have found some much needed camaraderie and look near unstoppable at present. QPR have managed only 1 win at home this season and the writing looks to be on the wall here, it’s just a question of how many. The any other score bet at 21/20 has caught my eye here.

Wolves vs Wigan, Sun 6th November, 15:30

To Win (90 Min)

Wolves 17/20
Wigan 31/10
Draw 24/10


Super Sunday kicks-off with an early season relegation six-pointer. Wolves play host to Wigan at Molineux as they look for their first win in 9 matches, a run that goes back to August. Wigan haven’t fared much better, having gone 7 matches without a win. The problem for the visitors has been their lack of goals, with only 4 goals in that period. For Wolves the problem has been their porous defence which has conceded an average of 2 goals a game. Having watched both sides in recent weeks, Wolves certainly have more about them than the Latics and I expect that to show on Sunday. The home win at 17/20 seems the best option here.

Bolton vs Stoke, Sun 6th November, 17:00

To Win (90 Min)
Bolton 29/20
Stoke 18/10
Draw 9/4


Bolton have been hapless so far this season, especially when looking at their defensive record. That record is in fact THE record, for most goals conceded in the opening 10 Premier League matches. This week it is Stoke who get to have a crack at them and with Bolton’s inability to deal with set-pieces it could be a long afternoon for Owen Coyle’s men. Stoke have been goal shy this season, with only Wigan boasting fewer goals than them this season. They have also lost every match that has followed a midweek Europa League game, and keeping that in mind I’m tempted to go with the home win which is nicely priced at 29/20.

Fulham vs Tottenham, Sun 6th November, 18:00


To Win (90 Min)
Fulham 21/10
Tottenham 5/4
Draw 9/4


The final game of the weekend is another London derby and has one of the league’s most picturesque grounds, Craven Cottage, playing host to Tottenham Hotspurs. Spurs will be looking to make it 3 from 3 in London Derbies, having already beaten Arsenal and QPR this season. They will have to do it without Harry Redknapp though, who will miss the match following heart surgery. Fulham have managed only 2 wins this season, and removing their 6-0 victory over QPR it has been goals, or lack thereof, that have been the problem. With Emmanuel Adebayor’s exceptional record against London clubs, I expect Spurs to go marching on here. The away win is available at 5/4.

So there you have it, the first preview of Movember. I hope that you are participating in the Movember, and growing an awe-inspiring ‘stache, if only to look like your favourite 80’s footballer. I’m going for the Graeme Souness look. Oh and take a look at our betting specials, namely the BBC Sports Personality of the year market. Luke Donald at 25/1 has value written all over it, in glitter pen. And on that glamorous note, it’s time to bid you adieu. Happy punting. Sala Kahle, and so long for now.

Commodore Vegas

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