After Vettel’s early dominance this season, the remaining ‘big 4’ have begun to show that F1 is not just a German’s sport. Unfortunately this was not the case 2 weeks ago when Vettel won at Spa. However in my opinion, this was only due to Red Bull’s technical call of driving mainly on slicks and going for more stop. I suspect to see a resurging fight back from the other teams, especially Ferrari as this is their home track.
As we know Monza is all about high speeds and fast corners but what I find interesting is the fact that FIA have gone for 2 DRS zones during the race. Even though teams will be riding with already skinny back wings, having 2 zones is definitely going to promote overtaking. Tyre wear and blistering is going to be a big concern for teams, as drivers race around extremely high speed right hand turns. Teams will be forced into using more of the medium compound Pirelli's and less slicks. The McLaren drivers have have shown their worth on the harder tyres this season, while Vettel has struggled to match them, definitely a factor worth considering.
To Win Outright
Sebastian Vettel 13/10
Lewis Hamilton 28/10
Fernando Alonso 6/1
Jenson Button 13/2
Mark Webber 12/1
3 places @ 12%
|Alonso: On the lookout for his 2nd consecutive Monza title.|
Massa has not shown any of the form this season which he did in 2008. That was when he was still driving with the flying Finn as a team mate and only just missed out to Hamilton in the driver’s championship by 1 point. He definitely still has it in him and he showed glimpses of this in qualifying and the early stages of the race in Belgium. Although he did show some pace in Practice 3, his qualifying time let him down, and it looks as though he may be letting down his fans again on Ferrari’s biggest race of the season.
Hamilton’s pace this season has always made him a driver to consider, but I feel his confidence may be a little low after his rookie error in the last race. Hamilton never checked his mirror after an overtaking manouvere and clipped the other driver when attempting to get back into his racing line. This resulted in Hamilton’s second retirement of the season. Along with pace, a driver needs a cool temperament and I feel Hamilton’s lack of a cool head is what has let his season down and therefore don’t see him doing well on race day.
Speaking of checking your mirrors in a race, Button has admitted to using the big screens on the track in order to gage Alonso’s distance behind him during their epic dual in Monza last season. He was unable to win last year but with his great use of KERS out of the corners I feel he will once again be challenging for the race and will finish on the podium. Contract talks between himself and McLaren have taken longer than he would have wanted, and this could be just the time to show his bosses what he is really made of.
Webber has got worse and worse when starting a race and that could once again be what determines his fate this weekend. No matter what where he manages to finish qualifying (nothing great this time), he consistently loses out in the start. In Belgium he mistimed the start and was under revving when the lights went off. He has got all too comfortable being number 2 to Vettel and the drive to win just doesn’t seem to be there anymore. Without a win this season (his last being in Hungary 2010) and only managing to at best make podiums even though he is in the best car on the track, I doubt that the ‘crook’ will be able to come up with anything special on Sunday.
|Top Team: Sebastian Vettel and Red Bull are the ones to beat|
Rosberg to place in the top 3 (93/10). Even though his qualifying time was not good, he was using medium compound tyres to save his softs. Also he is a magician off the start, which is exactly what we saw 2 weeks ago when he lead Lap 1 when only starting in 5th.
Alonso to get his second win of the season (6/1), and Jenson to pull his socks up and get onto the podium again (8/10).
With plenty more outright markets available along with match betting (a far easier way to make a quick buck than picking the winner), there is every reason to get your bet on in time for the final European race of the season. Good luck!
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Written by Sulieman Benn for @Hollywoodbets. Follow them both on Twitter and Facebook now!