The Greenbrier Classic is only in its third year on Tour but has drawn an amazing field this week. Tiger Woods, Webb Simpson, Dustin Johnson and a host of other big names will take to the course to battle it out for a share of the $6 million prize fund. The par 70 7,210 yard course was destroyed by Stuart Appleby in 2010 when he won with a final score of -22, so expect low scores. This also means consistency will be rewarded. Who has it in them to win here? Let’s try find out.
|Tiger's Webb: Simpson looks to top resurgent Woods.|
Tiger Woods 7/2
Webb Simpson 16/1
Dustin Johnson 20/1
Steve Stricker 20/1
Phil Mickelson 20/1
Rory Sabbatini 66/1
Carl Petterson (55/1 a win, 14/1 a place)
My first tip is Carl Petterson, who at 55/1 represents a lot of value. A win at the Heritage in April put him on my radar and I’ve been waiting to find another one he can win. He’s played here since the tournaments inauguration and came in 18th last year, a much improved finish after his 51st the first time around. He’s deadly with the putter so keep an eye on the big man as he has it in him to make a lot of birdies.
Jeff Overton (40/1 a win, 10/1 a place)
Jeff Overton is a great bet this week. In 2010 he shot an amazing -21, yet was narrowly edged out by Stuart Appleby, who killed it on the last day with an almost unbelievable 59. If it weren’t for that final round Overton would have come home lonely, so he’ll be keen to make a move this year and take home the gold. He clearly loves the course and has finished inside the top 25 on his last two starts so has a bit of form behind him. Each way looks the bet here.
Seung-Yul Noh (40/1 a win, 10/1 a place)
I’m going to avoid tipping the win here, but at 10/1 a place Noh makes massive appeal. A top 5 finish last week put him on the radar and bookies have stood up and taken notice as he finds himself in the top 10 in the betting this time out. The course suits his game as he hits it long and he ranks 1st on tour in total birdies, a massive benefit when scores here have traditionally been low. He’s had an impressive season so far and carries great form into this one. This is his first time here so like I said, avoid the win bet, rather double up on places.
TOP BET: Webb Simpson (16/1 a win, 4/1 a place)
This is shaping up to be a battle between Simpson and Tiger, but I reckon Webb has what it takes to edge out the resurgent Woods. Simpson has played here twice and will have an idea about what the course is all about, whereas Tiger is making his debut. Last year Simpson showed he knows how to play here by finishing inside the top 10, and after the season he’s had so far, one has to believe this can only improve. After last week, bookies are clearly scared of Tiger and have priced him up at 7/2, which means that 16/1 is available on the next best player. This seems very inflated to me so get on before the first round.