Wednesday, 22 May 2013

BMW PGA Championship Preview

Written by @Matt_Cee for @Hollywoodbets. Follow them both on Twitter and Facebook now!

BMW PGA Championship | Thursday 23 May - Sunday 26 May | Wentworth

This weekend the BMW Championship tees off in Wentworth and as usual it has drawn the best players the European Tour has to offer. The field includes all of last years’ winning Ryder Cup team and a host of other talented golfers. As it stands, this is shaping up to be the most exciting instalment of the competition in years. The event is hosted at Wentworth, a course that has undergone some drastic changes in the last couple of years. As much as the layout may have changed though, the tight tree-lined course is always a challenge which demands accuracy off the tee rather than distance. Having said that, keep an eye on the weather conditions because a bit of rain could change the game entirely and ensure that the long hitters have an advantage over their shorter counterparts.  So who has the talent to win this one? Let’s have a look. 


To Win Outright
Luke Donald  7/1
Lee Westwood  10/1
Rory McIlroy  10/1
Justin Rose  11/1
Sergio Garcia  16/1

VALUE BETS
Martin Kaymer (33/1 a win, 83/10 a place)
My first tip has to be Martin Kaymer because after watching him last week, it is apparent that he is going to win very soon. He comes into this with a solid record at Wentworth and although the course layout has changed in recent years, he has demonstrated that he has some of the finest course management skills in the game. It’s predicted that the wind will come up at some stage and we’ve seen that the German has an unflappable temperament in that case. Overall, at 33/1, Kaymer looks a great bet. 

Justin Rose (11/1 a win, 28/10 a place)
I was disappointed to see Rose miss the cut at the Players because I thought he had a great chance of a top 10 finish. This was due to the fact that prior to that tournament, he had displayed some very solid form with three top 10 finishes and a host of top 25’s. Never mind all of that though, he has a solid record at Wentworth and although course form prior to 2010 won’t make much of a difference considering the changes the course has undergone since, his 2nd place last year should convince you he has a big chance here. 11/1 is a decent price considering that 10/1 is on offer for McIlroy, who I reckon stands no chance.
  
Luke Donald (7/1 a win, 18/10 a place)
I’ll just tip Donald to win this week because no one wants to back a golfer to place at 18/10. There’s a reason he’s so short though and that’s because over the past two years this has been his tournament. Having won the last two renewals of this event, he looks a good thing and he seems to be hitting a bit of form at just the right time. 

TOP BET: Branden Grace (50/1 a win, 12/1 a place)
My top bet this week is Branden Grace because although his season thus far has been nowhere near as sensational as his 2012, he seems to be getting into the swing of things and at 50/1 offers a whole lot of value. He was knocked out in the semis of last week’s World Match Play by eventual winner Graeme McDowell, but that performance should give him a bit of confidence heading into this. He performed as well as you could ask a debutant to perform here last year, finishing T5. 50/1 is huge. Take it while you can. 

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