Wednesday, 21 August 2013

The Barclays Preview

Written by @Matt_Cee for @Hollywoodbets. Follow them both on Twitter and Facebook now!

The Barclays | Thursday 22 August - Sunday 25 August | Liberty National Golf Club

There won’t be too much focus on the European Tour this week as all eyes will be on The Barclays, an event which marks the start of the FedEx Cup playoffs. As usual, 125 of the world’s finest golfers have qualified to play in this one but despite the prize money on offer, Steve Stricker and Zach Johnson have opted to sit this one out. The tournament was last hosted here in 2009 and it was then that Tiger Woods finished runner-up, a fact clearly not lost on the bookies as they have priced him up as very firm favourite. Whether or not to back him is a decision that will be tough to make for any punter, but against this field and at those odds, I’m going to stay away and try find a bit more value. He’s worth backing on a course that he completely dominates and although his form here is alright, he’s definitely not unbeatable. So who will end up on top this week? Let’s try and find out.


To Win Outright
Tiger Woods  5/1
Adam Scott  16/1
Rory McIlroy  18/1
Phil Mickelson  18/1
Henrik Stenson  20/1

VALUE BETS
Dustin Johnson (25/1 a win, 11/2 a place)
They say the cream always rises to the top and in a tournament like this, although it’s not impossible, it’s hard to imagine one of the players lower down in the betting beating the big guns. That’s not an issue though because when you have the likes of Dustin Johnson on offer at 25/1, you realise there’s plenty of value higher up the betting anyway. A stellar season has seen a victory at the Tournament of Champions and more than his fair share of top 10s, so he’ll come into this brimming with confidence and hoping to repeat the performance he put in in 2011, when he won here. 25/1 is great value, get on.

Jordan Spieth (50/1 a win, 11/1 a place)
I can tip Spieth to win here but with the form he’s in at the moment, a top five finish is certainly likely and at odds of 11/1 a place, he looks a great bet. With seven tops 10s this season, including a victory and a play-off at Wyndham last week, he’ll come into this brimming with confidence and ready to prove to the world he will be one to keep a very close eye on in the future. 11/1 is on offer for a top 5 finish and you can get 5/1 for him to finish in the top 10. Both of those look great bets to me.

Jason Day (28/1 a win, 62/10 a place)
Jason Day has proven time and time again that he excels in the big leagues. Third at the Masters, T2 at the US Open and T8 at the US PGA bear testament to his ability to up his game when it counts. If ever there was a time to raise it it’s now because with this kind of money at stake, it’s going to take nerves of steel to keep calm here. He always seems to do well in the Barclays and has played this course before. That time around he managed to finish T12, so expect him to improve this year.

TOP BET: Webb Simpson (30/1 a win, 66/10 a place)
All the players I’ve tipped already seem to have an equal chance of winning and the only reason I’m making my top bet Webb Simpson is because I reckon the 30/1 available offers a lot of value. Sure, he has been inconsistent and let us down more than once but he proved last week he still has what it takes to play great golf. He’ll come into this with fond memories of 2009 where he managed to finish T8 and has definitely improved since then. 30/1 is a steal and for that reason Simpson is my best bet this week.


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