BMW Championship | Thursday 12 September - Sunday 15 September | Conway Farms GC
The FedEx Cup will really heat up this week as the remaining seventy players head to Conway Farms Golf Club for the BMW Championship. This is a huge tournament in the career of any player as only the top thirty in the rankings will progress through to the Tour Championship, a finale that everyone wants to be a part of. Having had a week off last week, we can expect this group to arrive well rested and should be in for an exciting four days of golf as the best in the game pull out all the stops to ensure they progress. The course is relatively unknown but it is going to prove to be a challenge for even the best golfers out there. It features undulating fairways and very tough fescue rough. Add to this the numerous bunkers to compete with and it seems clear that winning here is not going to come easy. So who will win this one? Let’s have a look.
To Win Outright
Tiger Woods 6/1
Adam Scott 12/1
Phil Mickelson 14/1
Henrik Stenson 14/1
Justin Rose 18/1
Henrik Stenson (14/1 a win, 3/1 a place)
I never thought I’d see the day that Henrik Stenson was a serious competitor in an event as prestigious as this, but over the last couple of months he has really come into his own in what has been a sublime run of form. A win at the Deutsche Bank was the culmination of an incredible few weeks of golf and the only question that he has to answer now is whether or not he can handle the pressure that comes with playing in a tournament like this. So far this season he has shown an incredibly calm demeanour in some tough situations so I reckon that he has a real chance here this week. The doubters out there feel he doesn’t have what it takes to win back-to-back playoffs. I say he has the form to back my confidence. Each way is the bet here.
Jordan Spieth (25/1 a win, 11/2 a place)
Spieth is another player that has really burst onto the scene this year but unlike Stenson, who has been around awhile, this will only be Spieth’s thirtieth tournament. Incredibly, despite this limited experience he has managed eight top tens and a victory at the John Deere Classic. Importantly, he has proven himself capable of performing under pressure. I feel as though his fourth place finish two weeks ago was just the beginning for Spieth, there’s a real chance he could go even better this week.
If you’re looking for a bit more value then I don’t think you need to look much further than Graham Delaet because he is coming into this on the back of some incredible form. He went from missing the cut at the PGA Championship to ending up T2 at The Barclays and third two weeks ago. If that form is anything to go by, he should almost certainly be able to finish in the top five this week. Each way here looks the bet.
TOP BET: Zach Johnson (33/1 a win, 73/10 a place)
Zach Johnson missed The Barclays to be the best man at his brother’s wedding but was back for the Deutsche Bank and picked up right where he left off, playing some seriously good golf. At this stage of the season it’s always good to look for the most consistent players out there because the pressure is immense and confidence in your game is key. Johnson certainly has a lot of confidence in his game and will know the course will suit him. 33/1 is a great price. Get on.