Wednesday, 11 December 2013

Thailand Golf Championship Preview

Written by @Matt_Cee for @Hollywoodbets. Follow them both on Twitter and Facebook now!

Thailand Golf Championship | Thursday 12 December - Sunday 15 December | Amata Spring Country Club

The final event of the Asian Tour for 2013 tees off at the Amata Spring Country Club in Bangkok this week. The field that has assembled is a mix of some of the big names, which include Henrik Stenson and the defending champion Charl Schwartzel, and locals, whom most would not have heard of. There does seem to be some value around though, with a host of players who have a real chance of winning sitting between the 20/1 and 50/1 mark. The course itself, a par 72 measuring 7,453 yards, plays long and so big hitters will be rewarded. There are bunkers on most holes and the greens are challenging and punish wayward chips with their sloping run off areas. So who has the game to take home the win here? Let’s have a look.

To Win Outright
Henrik Stenson  9/2
Charl Schwartzel  5/1
Justin Rose  6/1
Sergio Garcia  7/1
Bubba Watson  14/1

VALUE BETS
Sergio Garcia (7/1 a win, 15/10 a place)
Sergio Garcia is tough to ignore this week and looks to almost be a certainty for a top five finish. At 15/10 though, that doesn’t make too much appeal and so the win bet here is the way to go for me. After a dip in form he’s playing some great golf at the moment. He managed a fourth at the WGC HSBC Champions, this coming after a run of poor starts, and looked great last week where he ended second in the Nedbank. Winning here won’t be easy as there are some great golfers hovering around the top of the betting, but I think Garcia may just have what it takes to edge them out.

Kiradech Aphibarnrat (28/1 a win, 62/10 a place)
Kiradech Aphibarnrat is tough to ignore this week and at 28/1 offers a lot of value. He started the season off well and managed to secure his first European Tour win in the Maybank Malaysian Open, a win which came amidst a streak of form that saw him finish fourth the previous week and in the top fifteen in the following three tournaments. This hot streak was short lived though and he hasn’t done much since June, but he’ll be looking forward to playing in front of a home crowd on a course he knows well. Each way is the bet for me here.

Charl Schwartzel (5/1 a win, 11/10 a place)
There’s not much to say about Schwartzel that most don’t already know, but he looks like he could do well here this week. He’s playing great at the moment and will be eager to end his season with one more victory to add to the two he’s already managed. If you look at his current form and combine that with the fact that he won here by eleven strokes last year, you realise that he has a very real chance of winning this. He hits it long and putts well. Expect him to go close.

TOP BET: Bubba Watson (14/1 a win, 31/10 a place)
Bubba Watson has had a mediocre season by his standards and hasn’t managed a single win on the US PGA tour, but he’ll certainly be looking to end with a bang and the course looks as though it may suit him. He hits the ball longer than most and although he does sometimes struggle to hit the fairway, the fairways here are wide and mishits may be forgiven. If he can take advantage of those booming drives and convert them into birdies he’ll do well here.

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