Bangladesh vs South Africa | Tuesday 21 July - Saturday 25 July | Chittagong | 05:30


Bangladesh 12/1
Draw 7/10
South Africa 13/10
Bangladesh
The Tigers must return back to earth on the double or risk a hammering in their backyard. Of course, Bangladesh hopes to translate their ODI form to the Test arena and victory in the shorter formats will most certainly fill the side with confidence. However, they meet a side well versed in grinding out Test results no matter the location or opposition, a side that is more or less back to full strength. One factor that will benefit the home side is their improved attitude in playing the short ball. Past Bangladeshi sides would struggle against genuine pace and bounce even on docile wickets but the new guard seem better equipped to deal with well directed bouncers. They’ll be forced to navigate a few of them. Bangladesh possess a settled and composed top-order made up of Imrul Kayes, Tamim Iqbal, Mominul Haque, Mahmudullah and Shakib Al Hasan. Mahmudullah’s return to the side following injury is particularly important as he adds depth to both the batting and bowling departments. Mominul Haque racked up half-centuries in eleven consecutive Tests to leave him one shy of AB de Villiers’ twelve-match record. He now has nine fifties and four centuries in 28 Test innings. Recent Tigers hero Soumya Sarkar will likely round out the top six, moving down the order in the longest format. Bangladesh will hope that the likes of the in-form Sarkar and Litton Das take their opportunities. Mustafizur Rahman has also earned his first Test call-up for the series and management is confident he will adjust quickly to the rigours of Test cricket.

South Africa

Venue
The groundsman in Chittagong is notorious for producing flat wickets designed to serve the Bangladesh top order. I would expect nothing different as the first Test begins on Tuesday. Glancing at the past three matches at the ground, runs are noticeable. A triple-century by Kumar Sangakkara, plus a staggering five other centuries in the match led to a draw in February 2014 while four centuries were scored during New Zealand’s draw two months prior. Most recently, Bangladesh beat Zimbabwe in November with Imrul Kayes, Tamim Iqbal and Mominul Haque all striking hundreds. Rain is expected to be a constant threat this week.
VERDICT: Draw 7/10
With conditions likely to favour batsmen and the excessive forecast of rain, it’s tough to see a result here unless the weather changes drastically. I can’t see the Bangladesh attack dominating on a featherbed while South Africa’s Test attack is rusty and will need to rely on reverse swing to have an impact. The draw is the short price and can only be available due to the conditions. My suggestion is to supplement the bet by playing the In-Running markets should the weather clear.