The BMW Championship | Thursday 17 September - Sunday 20 September | Conway Farms Golf Club
After a bit of a break, the penultimate event of the FedEx Cup playoffs tees off this week at Conway Farms in Chicago and things are certainly looking like they’ll get interesting as the world’s best get ready to battle it out on this tough layout.
As you’d expect Jason Day, Rory McIlroy and Jordan Spieth dominate the betting, this being in spite of Spieth’s lack of form at the moment. Given the way he’s playing at the moment I’m going out on a limb here and saying he can be ignored this week. Let’s hope I don’t regret that.
So who does look to be worth backing this week? If the links style layout is anything to go by, those who have fared well on similar courses in Europe can’t be ignored. The most obvious choice then is Zach Johnson, who won the Open Championship and proved he has what it takes to handle this type of layout. That’s not all though as the course plays long so the ability to control big drives and make sure they stay on the fairway will be vital. Keeping a cool head in the face of stiff competition will also make a huge difference. We’re down to the Top 75 players in the world and no-one is going to find this competition easy. I feel experience will be key in this regard. Overall this is going to be one to keep a close eye on, let’s hope we can find a winner before things start wrapping up on the Tour.
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To Win Outright
Jason Day 7/1
Rory McIlroy 9/1
Jordan Spieth 11/1
Henrik Stenson 12/1
Rickie Fowler 16/1
Henrik Stenson (12/1 a win, 26/10 a place)
Between Stenson on the PGA Tour and Pepperell on the European Tour I’m beginning to sound like a bit of a stuck record. Both have been in incredible form over the past few weeks and it’s only a matter of time before one, or both, win. Stenson has been his own worst enemy lately and despite the fact that he’s the best player on the Tour from tee to green he just can’t get it right on the dance floor. Never mind that though, it’s not like this has always been an issue and the moment things click he’ll go one better than his recent second in the Barclays. This is a tough field to beat but Stenson looks like he may be able to do just that. I’m backing him each way.
Patrick Reed (45/1 a win, 99/10 a place)
Whereas Stenson’s weakness lies in his putting, there aren’t many players out there at the moment who are better on the green than Patrick Reed and if he can keep his short game in check he’ll be giving himself a lot of birdie opportunities this week. Reed looked to be in great form in the Deutsche Bank where he finished T4 and before that he was playing some consistent golf so if he arrives here and plays the game we know he can, he should be in the mix come Sunday. At this price an each way bet looks to be the way to go.
Zach Johnson (25/1 a win, 11/2 a place)
There are some great golfers in the mix this week and not many players have proven that they have the game to compete. Johnson blew them all away in the Open Championship and will arrive confident that he can do it again. He’s been consistent since then and loves this event so is definitely one to keep an eye on here. The price looks about right, I’m backing Johnson each way.
Matt Kuchar (33/1 a win, 73/10 a place)
Kuchar is one of those players who I keep tipping at the wrong time and despite my best efforts I can never seem to get on when he wins. Be that as it may, he looks to have a real chance this week and I’m hoping I’ve finally got it right. Kuchar loves this event and shot a 61 here two years ago and his course form, combined with his current form, which has seen him finish inside the Top 10 more often than not, make him an exciting prospect. I’m backing Kuchar each way this week.