True Thailand Classic 2016 Preview

Written by Matt Cee for @Hollywoodbets. Follow them both on Twitter and Facebook now!

True Thailand Classic | 10 March - 13 March | Black Mountain Golf Club




This week the European Tour heads to Thailand for the tri-sanctioned True Thailand Classic, and the top golfers from the European, Asian and Thailand tours will be battling it out for the win at Black Mountain Golf Club. A host of sponsors have come together to ensure that the prize fund is substantial, and the result is, a field full of big names and a tournament that should prove interesting to watch. Last year Andrew Dodt surprised everyone on his way to victory here but this week the competition is stiff and it's tough to imagine the winner coming from the bottom of the betting.

The course is relatively easy and plays short but there are a few challenges that will need to be overcome. The most important stat this week is going to be accuracy off the tee, as although the course is short, it is tight and mishit drives will find their way into the bush. Once on the fairway, things are pretty straightforward though, so keeping the ball in play will go a long way to making birdies. The greens run true and aren’t the fastest out there so putting shouldn’t be an issue, but there is a fair amount of sand around the greens so staying out of the bunkers will be important, as will the ability to make sand saves.

Overall this looks like it will be an event to keep a close eye on, let’s see if we can find a winner.




To Win Outright
Joost Luiten: 12/1
Thongchai Jaidee: 14/1
Kiradech Aphibarnrat: 20/1
Paul Peterson: 25/1
Peter Uihlein: 25/1

VALUE BETS
Thomas Pieters (25/1 a win & 11/2 a place)
Thomas Pieters has been shooting the lights out lately and looks like he could add another win to the two he picked up in the Czech Republic and Holland at the end of 2015. He hits the ball long off the tee and is more accurate than most of the players competing this week. He has the ability to keep it on the fairway, which will stand him in good stead on a course that rewards accurate driving. He also has a good touch around the greens and looks like he will be able to make a lot of birdies. The only concern is that he blows hot and cold and you never know how he’ll go before things get underway. But having said that, this is a risk I’m willing to take. Each way is the bet for me.

Thongchai Jaidee (14/1 a win & 31/10 a place)
Thongchai Jaidee will be the people's champion this week and after last year - where he narrowly lost out to Andrew Dodt - he will be eager to go one better and reward the supporters who have always turned out in droves to support him in this event. He knows the course better than almost anyone in this field and has always thrived when he plays at home. Jaidee may not be the biggest hitter in the field, but he is deadly accurate and he’s no slouch with the putter either. Let’s hope he can make the Top 5 this week.

Mikko Ilonen (33/1 a win & 73/10 a place)
This week Mikko Ilonen has a lot of appeal as he ticks most of the same boxes as Pieters: who was my first tip to win. He’s long off the tee and hits the fairway more often than not, so he won’t have any problem getting around this course. He’s also been around for long enough to know how to handle these kinds of layouts and when to get aggressive and when to hold back. That should allow him to minimalise the errors he makes and avoid bogeys, whilst making birdies. Overall this price looks a bit too big. I can’t ignore Ilonen this week; each way is the bet for me.

TOP BET: 
Peter Uihlein (25/1 a win & 11/2 a place)
A few weeks ago we tipped Uihlein to win at huge odds and he came oh so close to rewarding our confidence, eventually finishing second and landing us a decent enough place payout. This week he is far shorter than he was then but the course looks like it will suit his game perfectly and if he plays anything like he has been, he should finish near the top. In this field, you never know who will shine, but I have the feeling Uihlein could come out on top, each way is the bet for me.

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