Hollywoodbets Sports Blog: UK Racing Best Bets - Saturday 19 October 2019

UK Racing Best Bets - Saturday 19 October 2019

UK Racing Best Bets

Neil Morrice walks you through the front runners for Saturday's meetings at Chepstow, Ffos Las, Newmarket and Ascot's British Champions Day  features, including the Qipco British Champions Sprint, Queen Elizabeth II Stakes and Qipco Champion Stakes

Watch Neil Morrice's tips for the three big features at Ascot today:




Qipco British Champions Sprint (Group 1)


IT’S hard to think there will be an upset of the magnitude of 28-1 roughie Sands Of Mali in this last year and connections of HELLO YOUMZAIN must be rubbing their hands in welcome of the persistent rain that’s hit the course this week. Kevin Ryan’s change has everything in his favour as he’s lightly raced, loves to get his toe in and looks a worthy favourite. He made all to post a first Group 1 triumph in the Haydock Sprint Cup and if able to adopt similar forcing tactics will be hard to catch.

His jockey James Doyle is full,of praise for the colt and said: “I rode him 8n the Greenham in the sprIng but he’s a proper sprinter as he showed when beat8ng Calyx and was very professional in the Haydock Cup.”

ONE MASTER became the first horse in 38 years to win Longchamp’s Prix de la Foret two years running when outstripping City Light in that Group 1 over seven furlongs on Arc day. Her trainer William Haggas pins his hopes on the heavy ground making this more of a test, and that his much travelled mare will be able to wear down her foes in the closing stages. Much will depend on of she can keep tabs on the leaders in the early stages.

Her jockey Pierre-Charles Boudot said of One Master: “She had a pretty easy race in the Foret and won with a bit to spare. I angled her out at the 300-metre mark and she picked up well without having a hard time of it. She’s really helped by softer conditions and I hope that will help us turn the tables of Advertise from Deauville .”

The outstanding improvement shown by MAKE A CHALLENGE from a mark of 68 on his first win at Fairyhouse in May gives Denis Hogan’s charge obvious claims, and after his Listed success at the Curragh last weekend connections paid £40,000 to add him into this. He came four and a half lengths clear but it’s still a big jump for him moving into a Group 1, in spite of his liking for testing conditions.

With Frankie Dettori in the plate ADVERTISE will command respect in the betting ring. Martyn Meade’s charge has the beating of BRANDO on their running in the Prix Maurice de Gheest at Deauville but given the underfoot conditions there are safer options. Advertise put in a career best when landing the a Commonwealth Cup on this turf in June and found only Hello Youmzain his master in the July Cup. That came with some cut in the ground and after missing the Haydock Cup after a dirty scope he’s been in great form at home.

While he’s been written off more than once, THE TIN MAN keeps bouncing back as he showed when running Hello Youmzain to just half a length at Haydock. He’s been campaigned with this race in mind and it would be no surprise to see James Fanshawe’s sprinter earn. It was three years ago that he plundered this prize. He missed the break in the Haydock Sprint Cup but loves the deep conditions and loves Ascot.

Prediction

1st ONE MASTER


2nd Hello Youmzain

3rd The Tin Man

4th Advertise

5th Brando

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (Group 1)

FRENCH winners of the QEII are rare and the fact that only Solow in 2015 has triumphed for that nation since 2000 is testament to that. The book rarely runs for cover upon sight of a Gallic participant but that’s not been the case with THE REVENANT who has dominated market exchanges during the build up to this prestigious mile contest.

Since moving from England at the end of his juvenile campaign The Revenant has turned into a winning machine but still needs to prove himself a proper Group 1 horse. The main reason for his elevation in the betting market is that he’s hard to weigh up, loves the cut in the ground and knows how to win.

This is backed up by his jockey, Pierre-Charles Boudot who enthused: “The Revenant is still a fresh horse, he’s easy to ride and the straight mile will not pose any problems to him. He’s well drawn in ten, as most of the good horses are also drawn wide.”

The overall profile of Godolphin’s BENBATL puts him right in there pitching. He came back from an 11 month sojourn to easily sweep aside King Of Comedy and Zaaki at Newmarket and was formerly top class for trainer Saeed Bin Suroor In Dubai before chasing home Winx in the Cox Plate in Australia exactly a year ago. Consequently he’s a fresh horse that looks happy over a new trip, but all fingers will be crossed that he doesn’t bounce from his run in the Group 2 Joel Stakes which happened at the end of September.

Somewhat surprisingly the Coolmore challenge numbers only 2,000 Guineas winner MAGNA GRECIA who has Donnacha O’Brien in the irons. After notching that famous win on the Rowley Mile he was eclipsed in the Irish equivalent and owing to a minor injury hasn’t been seen since. It will take all of Aidan O’Brien’s genius to pull the race out of the fire with this colt, good though he undoubtedly is.

KING OF CHANGE chased home Magna Grecia in the Guineas and showed he’d gone the right way by landing a Sandown Listed race last time. That nevertheless leaves him with plenty to find, a comment that also applies to Safe Voyage who needs to step up from his fourth placing in the Foret.

The course form of LORD GLITTERS brings David O’Meara’s charge firmly into the equation. In six starts at the track he’s won twice, finished second three times and out of the frame in this race 12 months ago. He landed the Group 1 Queen Anne here in June. All things considered he makes abundant appeal as a Win and Place prospect at 7-1 with Hollywoodbets.

Marcus Tregoning has played a waiting game with MOHAATHER who has not been seen since landing the Group 3 Greenham Stakes in the spring. The colt sustained a minor injury to his off-fore, forcing him to miss the 2,000 Guineas.


He’s avoided the fast ground and his trainer enthused: “He’s In very good form and should handle the conditions, but the stiff mile is a question mark as his last two wins have been over seven. His ability to settle is a positive, and he’s done plenty of work.”

Prediction

1st BENBATL


2nd Lord Glitters

3rd Safe Voyage

4th The Revenant

5th King Of Change
Qipco Champion Stakes (Group 1)

WHILE question marks hover over several of the leading protagonists in this, that is unequivocally not the case with ADDEYBB who has been imperious when faced with stamina sapping conditions.
He excelled in a racecourse gallop at Newmarket, having previous to that hacked up in a quagmire in the Group 3 Rose Of Lancaster Stakes at Haydock.
His defeat in the QEII here a year ago is now a distant memory, and with cheek pieces added he looked very good on his latest start. He’s also a Royal Ascot winner over the course and distance and could easily be up to Group 1 level.

With Japan a notable omission from the field Coolmore relies on MAGICAL backed up by I CAN FLY. Magical is a marvellously tough and consistent performer but will need every inch of her ‘baguette de magique’ to prevail for a stable that is yet to plunder the coveted prize. Aidan O’Brien has fielded 12 losers in the last ten editions and eight of those were in the first three in the betting, as Magical will be.

If she can handle the surface the much travelled DEIRDRE can get into the shake-up but memories linger of her inability to go in the testing ground in the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes here in June. Against that, it was her first run in Britain and she went on to gain a clear cut success in the Group 1 Nassau Stakes at Glorious Goodwood and looked unlucky against Magical in the Irish Champion Stakes last time.

CORONET is fully effective over this trip in testing going and is advantaged by returning from a 62-day break. Distaffers have won this on 23 occasions since 1945 and John Gosden’s mare goes into battle with all guns blazing. Chasing a hat-trick under Frankie Dettori, she will surely make her presence felt.

Sir Michael Stoute’s REGAL REALITY finished four lengths behind the winner Japan in the Juddmonte International Stakes and for me is the joker in the pack. If there’s a horse to jump, out and upset the applecart, he could well be the one.

Prediction

1st REGAL REALITY


2nd Coronet

3rd Magical

4th Deirdre

5th Addeybb
Ascot Undercard Best Bets

Race 2: KEW GARDENS (4)
Trainer: Aidan O’Brien  
Jockey: Donnacha O’Brien

KEW GARDENS has gone 222 in his three outings this season and needs something unforeseen to happen to odds-on Stradivarius if he’s to win. The former, winner of the St Leger last year, tackles two miles for the first time and is more than capable of bustling up the favourite. Of the two he’s had much the easier season and as a fresh horse can give the favourite problems.

Race 6: ESCOBAR (6)
Trainer: David O’Meara 
Jockey: Adam Kirby

Although the going won’t be idea for him, ESCOBAR can make up for several good efforts when beaten into minor honours by finally coming good. The strong traveller will need gaps to emerge but if enjoying the rub of the green will be very hard to keep out of the money, with Hollywoodbets offering an extended place market. 

Newmarket Best Bets

Race 1: MISTY WHISKY (5)
Trainer: Harry Fry 
Jockey: Jonathan Burke

Dual bumper winner MISTY WHISKY is reported to have taken well to jumping at home and will surely be hard to beat in this mares’ novices’ hurdle. Following those wins at Ludlow and Sandown she ran well for a long way in a Grade 2 at Aintree. This lightly raced individual has abundant potential and looks one to follow.

Race 3: UMNDENI (3)
Trainer: Philip Hobbs 
Jockey: Tom O’Brien 

UMNDENI attracted support on several occasions in a successful novice season over hurdles and when odds on for his final start ran out a 28 lengths winner at Taunton. Although disappo8nting on his only handicap start at Ascot he came back with genuine excuses, and remains a horse to take very seriously.

Race 4: BADDESLEY KNIGHT (1)
Trainer: Chris Gordon 
Jockey: Tom Cannon

Although likely to be ignored in the betting market, BADDESLEY KNIGHT should not be underestimated. This strong traveller has scope for plenty of improvement off just four outings last season and is capable of providing an upset as he’s schooled beautifully over fences at home.

Ffos Las Best Bet

Race 5: MAN OF PLENTY (11)
Trainer: Mrs S Leech 
Jockey: Conor Brace

The blinkered veteran MAN OF PLENTY should represent a bit of value in the featured Welsh Champion Hurdle. He is a regular in the top two mile handicap hurdles, and while not as good as he was could surprise some of thes3 shorter-priced foes. Soft ground holds no perils for him, while he found the trip against him when well beaten at Chepstow last week.

Race 7: INDUNO (6)
Trainer: David Pipe 
Jockey: Tom Scudamore 

INDUNO debuted in a warm bumper at Warwick in April, finishing second to Overthetop. He’s worked well in preparation for this seasonal return in a similar race and can take the spoils on the way to better things.

Chepstow Best Bets

Race 3: BALLYOPTIC (1)
Trainer: Nigel Twiston-Davies  
Jockey: Sam Twiston-Davies

A top class staying novice that lost his way in handicaps last season, BALLYOPTIC is ready to make his way back to the higher echelons. The gelding was last seen departing late in the Grand National at the end of an interrupted campaign last April, but he’s benefitted from a break and both worked and schooled well in preparation for this.

Race 5: BALLYANDY (1)
Trainer: Nigel Twiston-Davies  
Jockey: Sam Twiston-Davies 

If class will out in this first big race of the new jumps season, BALLYANDY can make it a great day for his connections. He didn’t take to fences but returned to near his best to finish third in the ultra competetive Coral Cup at the Cheltenham Festival. He remains a class act and can make a winning return. 

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