Hollywoodbets Sports Blog: International Racing: Monday 27 April 2020 – Grafton

International Racing: Monday 27 April 2020 – Grafton

International Racing: Monday 27 April 2020 – Grafton

7 races carded this Monday 27th April at Grafton will provide some solid betting entertainment for punters and pundits alike. 

Best Bet: JET PILOT (Race 4)
Value Bet: TUMUT RIVER (Race 3)

Race
Time
Conditions
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
1
05:05
2380m – BM 58 H’cap
2
4
3
5
6
2
05:40
1115m – 2yr Maiden H’cap
13
11
12
3
5
3
06:15
1015m – Maiden Set Weights
4
11
6
8
10
4
06:40
1720m – Maiden H’cap
3
1
6
11
12
5
07:25
1420m – Maiden Set Weights
5
10
9
3
8
6
08:05
1420m – BM 66 H’cap
3
7
8
6
5
7
08:40
1215m – Class 1 H’cap
6
3
17
4
10

Jackpot (Race 4 – 7) - Cost: R100.00

1st
2nd
3rd
4th
3
5
3
6

10
7
3

9
8
17

3
6
4

8

2

Race 1
LOVE WAVES has solid staying form to his name and was just beaten 0.6L last time out over eleven furlongs. A repeat of that effort would make him the one to beat here. GLYCINE MAX stayed on well last time out over ten furlongs and was only beaten by just over a half-length in his penultimate outing over eleven furlongs. He looks the immediate danger to the former. MISTER MAKER takes a step up in trip after finishing close up in his last two starts. If handling the extra ground, he should be involved in the finish. KILMARNOCK showed marked improvement last time out over eleven furlongs and if he can confirm the effort, he should be considered here.

Race 2
Three fillies could dominate the finish of this race by completing the trifecta. CHILLIE COD put in a solid comeback run over five furlongs after returning from a 16-week rest. She jumps from draw two and gets a set of blinkers fitted for the first time today. If these have the desired effect, she should be right up there in the dash down to the line. SATINE makes her debut here, but she has improved in every one of her three barrier trials. If not too green, she should feature today. STELLA REALE also has her first run after three barrier trials, the latest suggesting that she is ready to start racing in earnest. COLLOMBATTI could be the first male home after showing some improvement in his last outing over five furlongs.

Race 3
With the scratching of the original favourite, the door may be opened for TUMUT RIVER to crack his maiden victory. He likes to race up with the pace in his races and from gate four he should get there quickly. VALLEJO is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys. She has only had the two runs to date, but she showed the expected improvement second time out and if she has continued along that path, she should trouble the former. She will have 2kgs taken off her back thanks to her claiming apprentice. LADY CASUARINA is a 7yr old mare who is drawn one inside the top choice. She improved when dropping back to five furlongs last time out after a below-par penultimate run over six furlongs. STELLA ARDENS is a 5yr old mare who returns from a 19-week rest and has her first run for her new stable. If fully settled into her new environment, she could feature here.

Race 4
JET PILOT has finished second in his last three outings and will be hoping to eventually go one better today. He gets to jump from draw four and looks to be the one to be with here. GRAND ANTHEM, on the other hand, has the second widest draw to negotiate, but he showed good improvement last time out over 1500M. If handling the extra distance, he could bother the former. CROSS EYED MARY is a 6yr old mare who was just over two lengths behind the winner last time out over 1700M. She gets 2kgs taken off her allocated weight courtesy of her claiming apprentice. SHARP WIT is a 4yr old filly who clearly did not enjoy going 1900m in her penultimate start but improved when returning to 1700M. She should be considered here.

Race 5
FLYING EUROS has his peak run here and was just a neck back in his last outing over 1300M. He does have a wide draw to overcome, but he nevertheless should be right up there in the mix. KORRIN is a 4yr old mare who showed good improvement when finishing second, one length behind last time out over seven furlongs. DOMINICA ROSE is a 5yr old mare who has her second run after a 21-week rest. She is another who showed good improvement last time out over seven furlongs and she should be one for the shortlist. PHYLAVE finished well to be just a head behind at the line last time out over 1300M. He has the widest draw of them all, but he should be doing his best work late.

Race 6
ANTILIA is a 4yr old filly taking on males, but she just missed out on her hat-trick last time out when beaten a head over a mile. From gate two, she should be right up there in the firing line. KIJITO steps up in trip after two solid efforts over six furlongs, the latest in which he finished strongly, suggesting the extra ground on offer today will be to his liking. LORD MAGNUSSEN followed up his penultimate win over seven furlongs with a 2.3L fourth when staying on over seven furlongs. He is not without a chance in this line-up. DIXIE is a 5yr old mare who has drawn the widest gate. She takes a step up in distance, but on her last effort over six furlongs, she should be closing down on the frontrunners in the latter stages of the race.

Race 7
GENTLEMEN'S WORDS is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys, but she won her last start over 1250M to post her maiden win. She won going away that day and although she takes on stronger today, she may well be up to the task on hand. CAN'T BEAT ME returns from a 31-week break. He did win his last outing over 1300M by more than four lengths before the rest to break his maiden and he could be the biggest danger to the top selection. GEM OF THE LOCHS is a 5yr old mare who is seldom far off the winner. She did not appear to enjoy the seven furlongs last time out, but a repeat of her penultimate effort over this c&d would see her involved in the finish here. SUGAR BABY finished second last time out over 1012M when staying on well. She has a very wide draw to beat, but she should use her early gate speed in an attempt to minimize that disadvantage. 

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