Hollywoodbets Sports Blog: International Racing: Thursday 23 April 2020 – Pakenham

International Racing: Thursday 23 April 2020 – Pakenham

International Racing: Wednesday 22 April 2020 – Ascot

This should be a fun programme of 8-races to follow on Thursday, with a number of fairly confident picks that could make up a few useful doubles and trebles. THEE ONE should be very tough to beat in the 3rd race on the card, with his biggest opposition having been withdrawn and he should win his heat with a fair amount in hand. MANHATTAN STING is the value on the card if confirming his recent form. See more about their chances here. 


Other international racing tips for Wednesday
Bunbury
Kilmore
Townsville
Pakenham
Neil Morrice Tips

Best Bet: THEE ONE (Race 3)
Value Bet: MANHATTAN STING (Race 5)


R
Time
Conditions
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
1
09:00
1000m – Maiden Plate
10
5
7
6
4
2
09:30
1200m – 3YO Fillies Maiden
5
8
1
3
4
3
10:00
1600m – Maiden Plate
7
3
2
5
8
4
10:30
1400m – Maiden Plate
4
6
2
3
7
5
11:00
1400m – Class 1 Handicap
2
3
1
6
7
6
11:30
1400m – BM70 Handicap
2
10
11
9
8
7
12:00
1600m – BM64 Handicap
1
8
5
9
2
8
12:30
1200m – BM64 Handicap
6
3
8
9
4

Race 1 – 09:00 – 1000m – Maiden Plate
SECRECT SAUCE looks likely to win the opener. The 3-year old daughter of Brazen Beau found some fair support in the betting for that debut effort 10-months ago. She showed tenacity to stay on gamely for 3rd after blitzing the fist half of the race and if not too in need of the run, she should have enough improvement to get the better of this field. DRAGON TIME gave a useful turn of foot to finish off that debut run, when also finishing 3rd. That was at this course just over a week ago and if he’s taken that run well, he deserves plenty of respect 2nd up. OUR MUSKETEER is also worth mentioning for minor money, after showing good improvement when taking on his age group last time out. The 3-year old son of Danerich showed plenty of speed in that run over this trip and was just nabbed on the line. With this being just his 4th career run, he will be strengthening up nicely with each run and must be considered here. 

Race 2 – 09:30 – 1200m – 3-Year Old Fillies Maiden Plate
The top two in the betting should fight this out, with the narrow preference going to FRENCH STAR. She gave a solid account of herself last time out, when returning from a 5-month absence. The daughter of Star Witness settled far back in that run over 1100m, before growing wings to flash home for 2nd. Damien Oliver takes the mount this time and with the expected improvement to come 2nd up, she looks a major threat. ZIAVERA only has her second start here, after that eye-catching debut effort. Under similar circumstances to the top selection, she flew up for second and narrowly missed out on a winning debut. She will also have plenty of scope for improvement and must be a major contender once again.

Race 3 – 10:00 – 1600m – Maiden Plate
THEE ONE doesn’t have much opposition to contend with in his heat. The son of Savabeel hasn’t missed the first 3 places in his 4-starts to date and if putting his best foot forward and on his latest effort over this course and distance, he should win this. ROYAL MONSOON and MATAMATA have both shown inconsistent recent form, but on their best efforts they appear to be the best of the rest and could fight out the minor placings. 

Race 4 – 10:30 – 1400m – Maiden Plate
IRISH PLAYBOY could be the next best bet on the card, if he manages to convert his form so far. With 2 runs and 2 seconds under his belt, he will be looking to build on that latest effort when just finding one better and the drop in trip should suit. With the expected improvement to come, he should win. CORDILLA should have improvement to come after that encouraging debut when finishing in third. He lands a plum draw for his follow up effort over the same course and distance and he looks the biggest threat to the top one. BLUE OCEAN showed some improvement in his second start and he should now be ready for this step up to the mile. From another useful draw, he deserves some respect.

Race 5 – 11:00 – 1400m – Class 1 Handicap
MANHATTAN SING followed up his maiden win in his penultimate start with a smart effort in the soft last time. That was just his 4th career start, and he should have more to come. Considering that he left his run late over the 1300m last time out, the extra should suit and he could present some decent value for punters if he confirms his recent form. WHITTINGTON STONE converted his consistent recent form with a solid effort over this course and distance to leave the maidens last time out. With just 6 runs under his belt, he should have improvement to come and could make his presence felt on his handicap debut. FUNDRAISER followed up his maiden win with a good run last time out, when stepping up to the 1300m. He should enjoy the extra here and if overcoming another tricky barrier draw, he should be one of the leading contenders at the business end. 

Race 6 – 11:30 – 1400m – BM70 Handicap
FLY FOR YULONG returns to racing after a 5-month absence from the course. The son of Shamardal was just collared late in his penultimate start in stronger company and he followed that up with a fair effort at this level in his latest run. He has won first up in previous times and if not too in need of this run, should have the credentials to be involved in the finish at a decent price. PHOENIX GLOBAL looks the obvious threat to the top selection, having won his latest start over the 6-furlongs. He steps up slightly in class here, but he looks progressive and must be included. ORIENZEL enjoyed stepping up to this trip last time out, when finishing 3rd in the wet. The 3-year old son of Snitzel won his only start over this course and distance and from another useful barrier he will be doing his best work late. 

Race 7 – 12:00 – BM64 Handicap
GRINZINGER ALLEE is in some useful form since returning to racing three runs back. He won his latest effort when stepping up to the mile under Damien Oliver who retains the ride over the same trip. From a similar draw he carries just 2kg more and should once again have the measure of this BM64 level of opposition.  SURETOSHINE has her peak run after a rest and the daughter of Darci Brahma will be looking to build on that eye-catching latest effort, when making late headway over this trip. She finds an improved draw this time and she will be cherry ripe to make a big impression here. OCEANS THIRTEEN didn’t quite finish her effort over the 1700m last time out, when stepping up to this level in heavy going, for her second run after a rest. She will be cherry ripe for this run and the slight drop in trip should provide an ideal tempo. If overcoming a tricky gate 8, she should be involved in the finish.

Race 8 – 12:30 – 1200m – BM64 Handicap 
It’s a wide-open race to close proceedings and TOP PINS will be the narrow first selection. The 3-year old daughter of Pins has a useful record so far with 2 wins from 4 starts so far and she is also unbeaten in two attempts over this trip. She was impressive in her last start when returning from a 3-month rest and she now faces her toughest test, but she could just be up to the challenge. With scope for more improvement, she gets the nod. THUNDER PACE wasn’t disgraced in that latest effort when finishing just 3,3-lengths back. That was in soft conditions over the 1400m and he will relish this drop back to the 1200m, where he was just touched off in his penultimate run. That was his only attempt over this course and distance and if repeating that run, he should be one of the leading contenders at the finish. SPLENDORONTHEGRASS gave a good account of herself in her penultimate start over this trip, before enduring a tough outing in her latest when caught wide in heavy conditions. From a plum draw this time, she should finish a lot closer and deserves inclusion. SUNSET EAGLE returns for her first run this year and she starts off over a trip that may be considered short of her best. With that said, she does like to take up the early running and lead the field so the drop in trip could suit for her first run aback and she might surprise if not too in need of this.


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