Hollywoodbets Sports Blog: International Racing: Cranbourne and Northam Best Bets - Thursday 02 July 2020

International Racing: Cranbourne and Northam Best Bets - Thursday 02 July 2020

Australian Racing: Friday 26 June 2020

Winning Form bring you all of their best bets and tips for Thursday's racing coming your way from Cranbourne and Northam. 

Two women looking excitedly at cellphone


Cranbourne

Best Bet: SWORD OF MERCY (Race 7)
Value Bet: TOFF CHOICE (Race 3)

Jackpot (race 5 – 8)

1st
2nd
3rd
4th
4
4
13
10
13
3
1
4
5
9

6
6
8


16
6



Cost: R150.00.

Race 3.
TOFF CHOICE returns from a 12 week rest and has not had the benefit of a barrier trial, but he had shown steady improvement in his last two runs before the break and only just failed to win his latest outing when third over a mile. He has a wide draw to negotiate, but he should be doing his best work late and looks to be the value in the contest. HIGH FASHION is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys, but she is seldom far off the action and should turn in another honest performance here. POWERFUL FLYER has only had the two runs to date, but showed some improvement second time out when finishing fourth over six furlongs. He steps up again in trip today and if he has continued to improve, he should be involved in the finish here.

Race 5.
VLADIVOSTOK has consistent formlines to his credit and has finished second in his last two outings over seven furlongs. He was only narrowly denied victory on both those occasions and despite having a wide draw to overcome, he looks to be the one to side with here. CHATELAINE is a 4yr old filly taking on males. She followed up win over a mile in her penultimate start with a second-place finish over six furlongs next time out. She jumps from a handy three gate and could be the immediate danger to the top choice. BLACK AND TAN is a 5yr old mare who has cracked pole position. She finished fifth last time out when stepping up to seven furlongs and a repeat of the effort should see her right up there when they hit the line. BROKEN TREATY is a 4yr old filly who returns from a 25 week break and has not had a barrier trial, so her fitness will have to be taken on trust. She was a little disappointing in her last run before the rest, but she did win over this trip three runs back and should be included in all bets.  

Race 6.
BRIMM is a 5yr old mare taking on boys, but she showed good improvement when fifth last time out over 1300M. She steps up in distance for today’s run, but she was only a short head loser the last time she went over the mile, so this should not be an issue. She has a wide gate of eleven, but she could use her early gate speed to get across without expending too much energy. BOOMSTOCK did not seem to quite enjoying going over nine furlongs last time out, but now drops back to a mile where he finished second two runs back. His wide draw of sixteen is of concern, but with a bit of luck in running, he could threaten the former. SO YOU BEAUTY is a 3yr old filly who also has a wide draw to overcome, but she won her last outing over seven furlongs when racing up with the pace, so her draw may not be a big problem. UNFAIR DISMISSAL has a much kinder draw of six and stayed on well last time out over seven furlongs, suggesting that he could enjoy going over the extra ground.

Race 7.
A 4yr filly and a 5yr mare could fight out the finish to this race, with SWORD OF MERCY getting the nod. She has won three races on the bounce, the latest being over this trip. and although having a wide draw of seventeen to deal with, she should be picking off the frontrunner in the closing stages of the race. FILL THE FLUTE has put in a pair of solid efforts in her last two outings over sprint distances. She is recorded as having finishing sixth last time out over 1100M, but was only 1.9L behind the winner. She is sure to put her draw two to good use here and could challenge the top pick. MAKE IT COUNT drops down in trip after two solid efforts over six furlongs and may do better as a result.

Race 8.
PUEBLO’S last two runs have been encouraging and did finish second in his latest outing over ten furlongs, only a head behind the victor. From draw two, he should be right up there in the firing line. PROTECTION MONEY followed up his penultimate victory over ten furlongs with a solid effort next time out over the same distance. He too has a handy draw and there should not be much separating the pair when they reach the finishing post. SIRIUS DEAL also won his penultimate run, but over nine furlongs. He put 2.3L between himself and the balance of the field that day. He was not disgraced in his next start when second over a mile and should make his presence felt in this line-up. 

Two women looking excitedly at cellphone


Northam.

Best Bet: ZIP ZAM ZOOM (Race 4)
Value Bet: PEARLS FROM HEAVEN (Race 6)

Jackpot (race 5 – 8)

1st
2nd
3rd
4th
4
6
4
2
12
2
8
3
2
3
12



10



5


Cost: R80.00.

Race 4.
ZIP ZAM ZOOM returns from a 34 week rest, but was an easy winner of his barrier trial to prove this fitness. He had consistent formlines to his name prior to the break and is taken as the best bet on today’s program. FUSION is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys. She has her first run after a 20 week break, as well as her first outing for her new trainer, but she has also had the benefit of a barrier trial and could threaten the top choice. ICELANDER is another who has his first run for his new conditioner and if fully settled into his new surroundings, he could trouble the top two picks.

Race 5.
THEHUNTSMEN showed marked improvement in his last two runs and finished second last time out over a mile when closing fast in the latter stages. He gets to jump from gate five and could be the one to side with here. SMART FASCINATOR is a 4yr old filly taking on males and drops from the eleven furlongs of her last outing when finishing third. Her previous two efforts over the mile were encouraging and she could prove the biggest danger to the former. PYRO was fourth last time out over this trip and gets the blinkers re-fitted for today’s run. If these have the desired effect, he should be involved in the finish.

Race 6.
With the late scratching of one of her main rivals, the way may have been cleared for PEARLS FROM HEAVEN to chalk up her second career victory. She is a 4yr old filly taking on boys, but she has cracked pole position and was making good late progress when finishing third last time out over 2100M. She should have no issue with the slightly longer trip. ALBY’S PRIDE goes the extra distance from his last outing over a mile, but did win over this c&d three runs back and will have three kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice to aid his cause. DESIGNER PRINCE was a little disappointing last time out over this distance, but if he was to recapture the form of his previous two outings, he would be a big runner here.

Race 7.
THE SINGING TIGER was a narrow winner over six furlongs when making his debut. He would no doubt have learnt from the experience and with the natural improvement that can he expected, he could prove good enough to win again. His two draw is a plus. THE WITCH DOCTOR is a 4yr old filly taking on males and is drawn one outside the former. She gets the blinkers re-fitted today and if these make her concentrate all the way down to the line, she could threaten the top choice. ALEXIS OLYMPIA is a 5yr old mare who has pulled pole position. She showed marked improvement when winning her last start over the c&d when friendless in the betting market. If that was not just a one-off effort, she should be respected in this field. PERCEIVE is another 4yr old filly. She is a speedy sort who is certain to appreciate the drop in distance from her last outing over 1300M. She has a wide draw to contend with, but her style of racing might not make this too big an issue.

Race 8.
SPEEDY MISS is a 4yr old filly taking on males, but she has her hat-trick attempt here having won her last two outings over this distance and the latest at this venue. She is drawn in gate five and the trio of wins looks very much on the cards. Her biggest threat may come from STORMY RULER who showed good improvement last time out when second over the c&d, just over a length off the winner. He will start from pole position and if confirming that last effort, he should be right up there with the top pick in the dash down to the wire. RECHARGER showed some improvement when staying on last time out over the seven furlongs. He starts from a mid-field draw and should be considered in this line-up. 

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