International Racing: Weekend Races - Australia

Winning Form brings you all of their best bets and tips from weekend's racing taking place in Australia. 

Flemington

Best Bet: BIVOUAC (Race 6)

Value Bet: THE GAUCH (Race 9)

Jackpot (race 6-9) - Cost: R90.00.

1st	2nd	3rd	4th
3	13	9	17
9	7	5	11
	10	8	3
	3
	2

Race 6.

BIVOUAC finished strongly after having to be steadied at the 900M mark to end up second last time out in The Everest, the world’s richest race on turf. That was over today’s trip and he was just two and a half lengths off the winner, despite that incident. He has his peak run today after returning from a 22 week break and will jump from draw six. LIBERTINI is drawn one inside the top choice and did finish 1.6L behind him in The Everest, but he raced wide that day and may have better luck in running down the straight six furlongs journey. He also has his peak run here after winning a Group 1 event over this distance on his return from an even longer 30 week rest. The pair meet on the same weight terms, so he may have to settle for the same result. NATURE STRIP was in tern 1.3L behind the top pick in that same race mentioned above and will also meet him on the same weight terms today, so could also struggle to turn the tables on his conqueror. He did however jump awkwardly that day and is a speedy sort who won this race last year. He should not be easily overlooked. 

Race 7.

CHAILLOT ran on strongly when fourth last time out over a mile in a Group 1 race, just under a length behind the winner. On that effort, she should have little issue with the step up in distance and from her handy draw four, she could be the one to side with here. IN GOOD HEALTH tried to go from jump to wire before ending up in fifth position last time out over twelve furlongs, a length and a half off the victor. She is drawn one inside the former and should appreciate the drop on journey. SHE'S IDEEL made good late progress when finishing a neck second last time out in the Gold Cup over ten furlongs. She will have to negotiate a wide gate fourteen, but is likely to be dropped out of the race in the early stages and should be picking off the frontrunners in the dash down to the wire. Although VANNA GIRL is recorded as finishing ninth in her last start over a mile, she was only two lengths behind the winner. She only got going late that day, suggesting that the step up in distance will be to her liking. She has a far kinder draw five and should be included in all bets.

Race 8.

ARCADIA QUEEN is a 5yr old mare taking on the boys, but she clipped heels at the 1000M mark and almost fell before recovering well to finish fifth, 3.8L back from the winner last time out in the Group 1 Cox Plate over 2040M. Given that interference, she did extremely well to get as close to the winner as she did. She gets gate five and will be looking to bounce back to winning ways today. MUGATOO made good late progress to finish fourth last time out in the same Cox Plate race, three and a half lengths behind the winner. Although the pair meet on the same weight terms here, a form reversal seems likely as the impediment suffered by the top selection was significant. MELODY BELLE is a 6yr year old mare who is a winner of twelve Group I race’s so far. She has her hat-trick attempt here after winning two Group I events in a row, the latest over 2040M by almost three lengths. She jumps from gate six and should turn in another honest performance today. 

Race 9.

THE GAUCH has consistent formlines to his name and finished second in his latest outing over 1100M, just a head behind the winner. He hit the front at the 150M mark that day and was only run out of it close to home. He has cracked pole position and is taken to be the value bet on the day’s card. METEORITE showed plenty of toe when winning his last start over five furlongs by nearly two and a half lengths. He has his hat-trick run here and could be the biggest danger to the former. EXPRESS PASS on the other hand missed out on his trio of victories when finishing second last time out over six furlongs, one and a half lengths off the winner. He drops back in trip today and could do better as a result.

Sunday 08 November 2020 – Sunshine Coast

Best Bet: RAMTASTIC (Race 6)

Value Bet: ELGIN (Race 4)

Jackpot (race 4 – 7).

1st	2nd	3rd	4th
3	2	4	2
1	7	7	4
8	9		9

  Cost: R54.00

Race 4.

ELGIN has cracked pole position and is seldom far off the action. He stayed on well when third last time out over this c&d, just under two lengths behind the winner and seems likely to turn in another honest performance here. BELLICOSE returns from a 23 week break, but did finish second in his only barrier trial to prove his fitness. He jumped awkwardly before trying to go from jump to wire to end up in fourth place in his last outing over a mile and should enjoy the drop in trip. THREEPOINT MISSILE has shown good improvement in his last two runs and finished a head second in his last start over 1100M. He faces the widest draw of them all in gate fourteen, but he is likely to be dropped out of the race in the early stages and should be picking off the frontrunner over the closing stages.

Race 5.

WEWANDA has finished second in her last three runs and was only collared in the shadow of the post last time out over this c&d. She has pulled pole position and will be hoping to go one better here. MY GIRL SKY has only had the two runs to date and showed the expected improvement to finish fifth in her second start over the c&d, before embarking on a 23-week break. She returns here after finishing fourth in her only barrier trial. She is drawn one outside the top choice and could emerge as her biggest danger. HAIRDO has her first run after a 19-week rest but has been placed in both of her barrier trials to showcase her well-being. She has the blinkers removed for the first time and if this move has the desired effect, she should make her presence felt jumping from draw four.

 

Race 6.

RAMTASTIC has his hat-trick run after winning his last two starts over this six furlong dash, the latest by just under a length. He has the widest gate of the field of nine, but the trio of victories is very much on the cards and he is taken to be the best bet on the program. THE SINNER stayed on well to end up in third place last time out over 1300M. He is drawn one inside the top pick and has his peak outing today. He looks to be the immediate danger to the former. BOLD STYLE jumped awkwardly and also bumped at the start of his latest outing when finishing sixth over 1100M, 3.8L off the winner. He gets gate five and should be involved in the finish.

Race 7.

COURTING VERITY made solid improvement to win her last start over this c&d by just under a length, despite taking a heavy bump down at the start. She was friendless in the betting markets that day and possesses good early gate speed to aid her to move across from draw seven. She could prove good enough to rattle off her double. SUNRISE DANCER was only outrun late when finishing fifth in her last outing over the c&d, nearly three lengths adrift of the winner. She has her peak run here after returning from a 24 week absence and is sure to put her pole position to good use. ST JUST disappointed in her last outing when stepping up to seven furlongs and quickly returns to what appears to be a more suitable 1300M journey. She also has her peak run here after finishing third in her penultimate start over six furlongs. She jumps from a wideish gate eight, but on the plus side will have 3kgs removed from her back courtesy of her claiming apprentice. 

Monday 09 November 2020 – Lismore.

Best Bet: TARA JASMINE (Race 2)

Value Bet: WAMWARRA (Race 6)

Jackpot (race 4 – 7)

1st	2nd	3rd	4th
7	2	4	4
5	5	3	6
1	8	6	5

Cost: R81.00.

Race 2.

Two 3yr old and one 4yr old filly could fight out the finish to this race and complete the trifecta, but the overwhelming top choice goes to TARA JASMINE who finished strongly to win by two lengths on debut over 1100M. She would have come on with the run under her belt and from her draw two, she could prove to be difficult to topple here. SUPER SLICK was hanging in the closing stages when ending up fourth last time out over 1100M, three lengths behind the winner when returning from an eighteen week break. She is drawn one outside the top choice and could be her biggest danger. ADELITA ROSE won on debut over five furlongs, but was then disappointing next time out when fading in the home straight to end up 6.3L behind the winner. She is drawn the widest of them all in gate eight, but she should use her early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy.

Race 4.

STARS ARE TRUMPS was bumped at the start before staying on well to finish third last time out over seven furlongs, just over two lengths behind the winner. The form of that race has been franked and from her handy gate three, she should be right up there when they hit the line. QUEENS DO DREAM did not get the clearest of passages in the home stretch before finishing fourth, 2.7L behind the winner in the same race mentioned above. She is drawn one inside the top pick, but may have to settle for the same result today. BULLA BULLA makes her debut after finishing third in her only barrier trial. She is drawn the widest in gate eight, but any betting support for her should be respected.

Race 5.

ATOMIC FEATHER had to be held up at the 600M mark and then switched out to obtain a clear run once he was in the home straight, so the gelding did well to finish eighth in his last start over 1300M. He jumps from a wideish gate seven, but with better luck in running today, he may be the one to side with here. DIRECT DRIVE stayed on well when ending up seventh in his last outing over 1300M, five lengths adrift of the victor. He is stuck out the widest of the lot in gate ten, but he should be doing his best work late. Although MONEY TRAVELS finished eight in his last start over 1410M, over six lengths behind the winner, the form of that race has been franked and from a far kinder draw two, he could be involved in the finish today.

Race 6.

WAMWARRA finished third in his latest start over 1526M, just 0.7L behind the winner when returning from a 10 week rest. Two horses out of that race have subsequently won a race, so from draw three, he should be right up there in the firing line. MR AZRAY finished sixth in his last outing over seven furlongs, just over three lengths adrift of the winner. He will have to deal with the widest draw of them all in gate twelve, but he likely to be eased out of the race in the early stages and then start picking off the frontrunner in the latter stages. TYCOON ROSSA was held up between the 600M and 400M mark in his last outing over seven furlongs, when ending up in eighth place, 5.6L off the winner. With a cleared run today, he should be included in all bets.

Race 7.

DISARMED has consistent formlines to his name and was making good late progress when finishing up in the runners-up berth last time out over seven furlongs, just a half length behind the winner. He has pulled pole position and should be a big runner in this line-up. ATYAAF returns from a nine week rest, but did finish third in his only barrier trial. He held on to second place last time out over a mile, a half length back from the winner, despite hanging in over the latter stages. He will have to negotiate draw nine, but he should not be overlooked. Although BOSENDI raced three wide before finishing fifth in his last start over 1526M at this track, he was just two lengths back from the winner. He is unfortunately drawn out in gate thirteen, but he nevertheless should be respected in this field.