Australian Racing Tips – 12 November 2021 – Canterbury Park

Best Bet: SMIRNOVA (Race 7)

Value Bet: LOCH LOMOND (Race 6)

Jackpot (race 5 – 8).

Cost: R54.00

Race 5.

Two 4-year-old fillies could fight out the finish to this race and complete the exacta, but the narrow top choice goes to NARRATED who has finished second in her last two runs, the latest over this c&d, beaten a short-head. She hit the front at the top of the straight, but shifter out sharply at the 50M mark causing her jockey to stop riding and was nabbed in the shadow of the post. She could therefore be viewed as an unlucky loser and from draw two today, she will be hoping to go one better. She renews her rivalry with COMME BELLA FILLE who finished fourth in the race mentioned above, one length behind the winner. It should however be noted that she was hampered approaching the home turn that day and also lost an off-fore shoe during the running of the race. She has cracked pole position and will be having her peak run after returning from an 18-week break. As she meets the top choice on 1kg better terms, there should not be too much separating the pair when they hit the line. ZUDIN is drawn in gate six and was friendless in the betting markets when he beat the top two picks in that same race and did finish off his race strongly, but as he is 1kg and 2kgs respectively worse off at today’s weight terms, he may struggle to confirm that last result.

Race 6.

The day’s value bet, LOCH LOMOND is seldom far off the action, finishing fifth last time out over 1100M, 1.8L behind the winner. He jumped awkwardly that day and found himself at the back of the field and then hung out taking the home turn, before finally being hampered close to home. Given all those circumstances, he did well to finish as close to the winner as he did. He jumps from a handy gate three and with better luck in running today, he may prove difficult to topple. MISS EINSTEIN is a 6yr old mare taking on the boys and returning from a 15-week rest, but she has posted an encouraging barrier trial to prove her fitness. She followed up her penultimate run victory over 1500M with a fifth-place finish next time out over the same trip, 5.4L back from the winner before taking her break. The fact that her connections have engaged top jockey, James Mc Donald suggests that they believe that she is ready to win. SPEED LEGEND has consistent formlines to his name, finishing third in his latest outing over six furlongs, 2.8L off the victor, despite battling to secure a clear run in the home stretch. He faces a wide draw twelve out of thirteen, but on the plus side, he will get 2kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice.

Race 7.

SMIRNOVA is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys, but she has won both of her first two starts over the five-furlong sprint, the latest by half a length and could be just about anything. She shifter out from the 150M mark that day, but still managed to hold on for the victory. She is a speedy sort who is sure to put her pole position to good use and is therefore taken to be the best bet on the day’s card. KING KAPA was slow away and hampered shortly after the start and then had to be steadied off the heels of other runners at the 650M pole before ending up in third spot last time out over this c&d, one and a half lengths adrift of the victor. He is drawn one outside the top pick and could emerge as his biggest threat. TINY is a 4yr old filly who’s last two outings have been over this trip, finishing second in the first and then third last time out, just under a length behind the winner, notwithstanding coming four wide into the home straight and being hampered close to home. She will have to overcome a wide gate twelve, but she should be doing her best work late.

Race 8.

SUR LA MER has consistent formlines to her name, winning her penultimate start over six furlongs and then following that up with a third-place finish last time out over this c&d, just a half-length behind the winner. She jumped awkwardly and then only saw daylight at the 200M mark before finishing off her race well. She gets a handy draw four and will be having her peak outing after returning from a 19-week absence. CENTRO STORICO has finished fourth in her last two runs, the latest over six furlongs, just over a length and a half back from the winner and the form of that race has been franked. She will have to overcome a wide draw eleven, but should nevertheless be right up there in the mix. LADY OF LUXURY had her consistency rewarded with a 1.3L victory last time out over six furlongs. She was bumped down at the start and did come four wide into the home straight in that contest, but still managed to make good late progress over the latter stages. She is drawn the widest of them all in gate sixteen, but she is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and then start to pick off the frontrunner in the dash down to the wire.