The European Tour remain on the unofficial Canary Islands Swing for the Tenerife Open.
Following last week’s Gran Canaria Open, this will be the 2nd leg of the unofficial Canary Islands Swing. This event was previously known as the Turespana Open de Canaria and it returns to the European Tour for the first time in 26 years. I was in ‘inspired’ form last week, picking 35/1 South African Garrick Higgo to win the Gran Canaria. This week looks set to be a similar test as the players converge on yet another welcoming resort course. The 153-man field will be competing on the par 71 parkland course: Golf Costa Adeje. This venue will also play host to next week’s third leg of the Canary Islands Swing: the Tenerife Championship. These events all start to really bleed into one for me.
This should be another week for rampant scoring by the tour professionals. Golf Costa Adeje is a short, open resort-style track that has many similarities to last week’s venue. Designed by Jose Gancedo, Adeje was actually used for the 2003 edition of the Open de Espana. The paspalum fairways are wide and the Bermuda greens are large. According to the European Tour website, the yardage will read just 6857. That’s crazy when you consider that there will be five par 5’s on display this week. I don’t even think that a strong coastal breeze will curtail the scoring this week. Driving distance will always be helpful but (like last week) this should come down to a straight-up putting contest (Garrick Higgo ranked 1st for strokes gained putting last week). Players will also need to start fast with scoring conditions this good: you don’t want to get caught adrift.
More of the same this week. There’s a frightening predictability emerging in these fields. Garrick Higgo has now won two of his 24 European Tour events. He is clearly a 21-yeard-old going places. He won the Open de Portugal last week and he clearly thrives on these coastal tracks. Will he be able to sustain his electrifying putting pyrotechnics this week? Antoine Rozner is fast becoming one of the premium forces in European Tour golf while poor Maximillian Kiefer had to settle for his 2nd consecutive runner-up finish last week. The likes of Justin Harding and John Catlin can never be discounted due to their abilities with the putter.
To Win Outright:
Antoine Rozner 14/1
Matthias Schwab 14/1
Garrick Higgo 16/1
Joost Luiten 22/1
Guido Migliozzi 25/1
Guido Migliozzi: To Win 25/1 | To Place 11/2
This is exactly the sort of test that Italian Guido Migliozzi thrives on. He has won the Kenya Open and has excellent finishes in Qatar and Oman. Last week he finished in a respectable tie for 15th and he should be able to build on that result. The Italian ranks 12th on tour for Par 3 Scoring, and 37th for Par 5 scoring (that’s on the Tour overall). This week’s course features five par 5’s and six par 3’s. This quirky layout should suit the Italian’s impressive iron play.
Matthieu Pavon- To Win 140/1 | To Place 30/1
This one is purely based on the potential I saw in the Frenchman last week. He opened with a bogey-free 66 before back-to-back rounds of 64. He had a great chance of winning his maiden European Tour schedule until a really underwhelming final round derailed his chances. He seemed to enjoy the resort-style set-up and you just have to love him at this price, especially in the place markets.
The Man to Beat: Antoine Rozner: To Win 14/1 | To Place 3/1
I’m opting for Rozner over Higgo in the upper echelons of the betting. Rozner looked slightly rusty last week having not played since the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play. He looked like he needed the run out, and a bogey-free 64 on Sunday helped him to 15th place finish. Rozner won the Golf in Dubai Championship just prior to Christmas and he also won the Qatar Masters just last month. He beat both Bryson DeChambeau and Si Woo Kim at the WGC Match Play and he looks a class act in this field.