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Arlington Friday 11th October Best Bets

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Winning Form brings you their best tips for Arlington’s racing on Friday the 11th of October. Comments, betting and images are provided! Tips provided come from Winning Form, as well as their back page tipster – Magic Tips by eMeM.


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Winning Form Best Bets

Race 2: CAPTAIN’NTENILLE(1)
Race 3: HAILI(1)
Race 5: EARTH’S ORBIT(5)
Race 7: CELTIC FIRE(2)


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Magic Tips Best Bets

Race 4: ON THE ROAD(1)
Jockey: Richard FOURIE – Trainer: Justin SNAITH 

ON THE ROAD improved when he set the pace on his local debut over this c & d, four weeks ago. He took on much stronger but wasn’t disgraced when he dead-heated with DARK KNIGHT for fourth position, beaten 1.35 lengths at the wire. He is now 1kg better off with the latter and has enough early speed to over- come his wide draw. He should be very competitive in this field. The latter ran on nicely that day and is much better drawn. He gets the services of Agrella and merits inclusion.

Race 5: EARTH’S ORBIT(5) – TOP BET
Jockey: Richard FOURIE – Trainer: Justin SNAITH

Cape trainer Justin Snaith has found the perfect contest to give his classy charge, EARTH’S ORBIT her comeback run after a short break. The daughter of Captain Al wasn’t too far off the best of her generation last season and she is extremely well-weighted in this event. She has been taking on consi- derably stronger and went really close in a Grade 3 during the KZN winter season, three starts ago. She runs her best races when handy so this course will suit her and she will take some beating in this line-up.

Race 6: ASPEN ANGLE(2)
Jockey: Karl ZECHNER – Trainer: Tara LAING

There are plenty of speedy sorts here and ASPEN ANGLE could benefit most from the likely blistering pace. This daughter of Martinelli is often in the mix and she has a good record over this minimum trip. However, she ran on strongly late to win going away from ROCK THE SYSTEM over six furlongs, two weeks ago. She may have escaped with only a four pound penalty and is still favourably weighted with the latter. She will certainly be running on at the finish and merits deserved respect.

Race 8: DRUMMINOR(5)

Jockey: Greg CHEYNE – Trainer: Alan GREEFF

DRUMMINOR proved that his penultimate outing was all wrong when he ran on smartly to win over ten furlongs on this course, three weeks ago. Many of today’s rivals hold him safe on that penultimate effort but he clearly needed the run and will be cherry-ripe on his third run after the layoff today. The son of Western Winter rises again in class but could prove equal to the task and he is suited to the extra distance. He can reverse the form with his rivals.

VALUE BET FOR TODAY:

Race 1: GLAM I AM(5) (Each Way)
Jockey: Heavelon v/d HOVEN – Trainer: Hekkie STRYDOM

An intriguing opening contest and there is likely to be a short-priced favourite in the form of ARCTIC DESERT. This daughter of Doowaley has had her fair share of chances but she has produced some good recent form. She went close over 2400m in her penultimate outing on this course and this trip should prove ideal for her. She ran on strongly for fifth from a wide draw over a mile last time but the major worry is that she compounded late. She obviously deserves plenty of respect but she must be watched with extreme caution. The runner that could represent plenty of value is another long time maiden in the form of GLAM I AM. This daughter of Whitechapel is definitely capable but isn’t reliable which is the obvious concern. However, she had too much to do against male rivals in her last two starts and is back against her own sex today. Interestingly, she ran on strongly for a close third in yielding conditions over 1800m at Fairview, three starts ago and was only half a length behind the top rating in that very same contest. The pair meet on identical weight terms today but the latter was returning from a break that day. She reunites with her 4kgs claiming apprentice and can upset.

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