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Arlington Monday 21st October Best Bets

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Winning Form brings you their best tips for Arlington’s racing on Monday the 21st of October. Comments, betting and images are provided! Tips provided come from Winning Form, as well as their back page tipster – Magic Tips by eMeM.


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Winning Form Best Bets

Race 3: AUGUSTA NATIONAL(1)
Race 4: STARLIGHT BEAUTY(8)
Race 5: SHIMMER AND SHINE(3)
Race 7: SWIFT WONDER(8


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Magic Tips Best Bets

Race 3: AUGUSTA NATIONAL(1) – TOP BET
Jockey: Richard FOURIE – Trainer: Justin SNAITH

This contest should be straight forward and AUGUSTA NATIONAL should have too much class for this field. There are two natural pacesetters and the likely decent pace will suit the Snaith inmate down to the ground. She has had two good local runs and was finishing strongly for second from a wide draw over seven furlongs on this course, four weeks ago. She is much more at home over this trip and will take a power of beating.

Race 4: STARLIGHT BEAUTY(8)
Jockey: Greg CHEYNE – Trainer: Alan GREEFF

This is the most intriguing contest on this card as there isn’t one of the 12 carded runners that are capable of taking up the running. This could result in a pedestrian pace and an upset is highly likely. However, judging purely on form STARLIGHT BEAUTY has the best credentials and is extremely well in at the weights. She stays all day but the other slight issue is that she clearly prefers a galloping track. Having said that, she ran on well in her last two starts and interestingly was only beaten two lengths by subsequent winner LA SALLE over ten furlongs, three runs back and now faces that rival on 8kgs better terms. The latter is consistent and often runs on in her races but she is best suited to a solid gallop so has lots of work to do in this field, especially at the weights.

Race 6: SAXONY(5)
Jockey: Richard FOURIE – Trainer: Justin SNAITH

SAXONY has shown major improvement since arriving in PE and clearly has a future down here.The Dynasty gelding found a good finish to win his local debut over this trip and then may have failed to see out nine furlongs in his next start. However, he benefitted from the 13 week break and found a powerful finish to beat a competitive field going away over seven furlongs on this course, three weeks ago. That run would have brought him on nicely and he may have escaped with only a five pound penalty. He will strip much fitter and will be even better over the extra furlong. He has a midfield draw and will take some beating in today’s line-up.

Race 7: SWIFT WONDER(8)

Jockey: Muzi YENI – Trainer: Yvette BREMNER
SWIFT WONDER has come a long way since shedding his maiden tag and he recently completed a smart hat-trick of wins over this minimum trip. The speedy son of Joshua Dancer is clearly on the up and has thus far handled the rise in class extremely well. Interestingly, he raced just off the fast pace last time but still ran on smartly to win comfortably. That win earned him a five pound penalty and his conditioner again steps him up in class, but he may still be ahead of the handicapper and is again the horse to beat.

VALUE BET FOR TODAY:

Race 5: CHILL FACTOR(4) (Each Way)
Jockey: Juan-Paul v.d.MERWE – Trainer: Dorrie SHAM

CHILL FACTOR has failed to build on his promising local debut but he is much better than his last two starts. He was drawn poorly in all of his local efforts and raced wide in his penultimate start. He took on a strong field of sprinters last time but finished well for a close third behind RANSOM OF CHOICE on his local debut over 1300m on this course in early September. He has dropped slightly in the ratings since and meets his conqueror on 1kg better terms but more importantly, he has finally cracked a good draw. The son of Western Winter is proven over a mile and could be a real force today.

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