Winning Form brings you all of their best bets and tips for Thursday’s Australian racing taking place at Wyong.
Best Bet: LOVETHEINVASION (Race 4)
Value Bet: LUMINOSO (Race 5)
Jackpot (race 4 – 7)
Leg 1: 5, 2
Leg 2: 3, 8, 6
Leg 3: 2, 11, 15, 4, 14
Leg 4: 5, 8, 7
Today’s best bet, LOVETHEINVASION is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys, but she has only had the two runs to date, winning by four and a half lengths on debut over seven furlongs and then finishing second next time out over 1500M, just a head behind the winner when returning from a 17 week rest. She tried to go from jump to wire that day and was only collared in the shadow of the post. From her handy draw two, she could prove difficult to topple. SQUANTO has finished closer to the winner in his last three runs, the latest when finishing third over six furlongs, just over a length and a half back from the winner, this despite jumping awkwardly. He was also returning from a 17 week break that day, but did finished off his race strongly. He has pulled gate six and could emerge as the biggest danger to the top choice. SPANISH FIGHTER stayed on well when finishing seventh last time out over a mile, 3.8L adrift of the victor, but that was in a Group 3 race. He is drawn the widest of them all in gate eight, but nevertheless should be involved in the finish.
LUMINOSO was friendless in the betting markets when winning his maiden race in his last outing over six furlongs by a head. He came three wide into the home straight that day, but finished strongly over the closing stages. In addition, he was reported to have cast a shoe during the race. He jumps from draw seven and takes on stronger here, but he could prove good enough to calk up a quick double. ZOROCAT is a 3yr old filly taking on males, but she has finished second in her last two starts over this trip, the latest when 0.8L adrift of the winner. She overraced in the early and middle stages of that contest, but still pulled herself to the front at the 300M pole and was only run out of it very late. She will have to negotiate draw ten, but she should give the boys a good run for their money. MIX followed up his penultimate run victory over 1100M with a fifth spot finish next time out over 1300M, 2.7L behind the winner. He was three wide turning for home and looked a possible winner at the 300M mark, before being swallowed up late. He has a far kinder draw two and should be right up there in the mix.
Punters are faced with a big field that has an open look to it, so some caution is advised. The tentative first pick goes to SAQUON who had his consistency rewarded with a four and a half length victory last time out over this c&d. He went from gun to tape that day, holding off the chasing pack over the latter stages. He has pulled gate seven and should be right up there in the firing line. SHAMEONUS jumped awkwardly and the overraced in the early stages, but still managed to win by a short-head on debut over seven furlongs. He returns from a 33 week absence, but has had the benefit of two barrier trials, finishing third in the latest. He is drawn one inside the top selection and retains the services of ex-SA jockey Keagan Latham, so will get all the necessary assistance from the saddle. CANADIAN SPICE is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys, but she won her penultimate start over six furlongs and then finished fifth next time out over the same trip, 1.7L back from the winner. The form of that race has however stood up well with two runners out of the contest subsequently winning. He is in turn drawn one inside the latter and should be included in all bets.
With the late scratching of one of his main rivals, the door may have opened for SHADOW COLOUR to chalk up his second career victory. He showed solid improvement when jumping awkwardly, but still recovered well enough to be taken to the front and battle all the way down to the wire to record a one lengths victory over five furlongs when returning from a 22 week break. He faces a wide draw eleven, but he should use that early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy. A 4yr old and a 3yr old filly should chase him home, with the slight preference going to TANGO STEPZ who had to be checked early in the straight and then had to be switched to obtain a clear run. Under the circumstances, she should be considered an unlucky loser. She has a cozy draw two and should make her presence felt in this line-up. RAHNI FACTOR returns from a lengthy 41-week break but did win her only barrier trial to showcase her well-being. She showed marked improvement to win her last outing over five furlongs by three lengths and the form of that race has been franked with three runners subsequently winning. She gets draw six and should keep the top two picks honest.