Winning Form brings you all of their best bets and tips for Monday’s Australian racing taking place at Taree.
Best Bet: FENECH (Race 7)
Value Bet: TELFER (Race 6)
Jackpot (race 4 – 7)
There are five unraced runners in the field, so as is always the case in these types of races, a keen eye should be kept on the betting markets to get some indication as to whether the connection believe that they can win first time out. Any betting support for a runner or runners should be respected. Of the raced runners, ZARU may prove to be the best. The gelding had consistent formlines to his credit before finishing ninth last time out over six furlongs, five lengths behind the winner. He did however jump awkwardly that day and the form of that race has stood up well with four runners from that contest subsequently winning. He returns from a 13-week rest and has not had a barrier trial, so his fitness will have to be taken on trust, but he has a handy draw two and should be right up there when they hit the line.
XTRA APPROVAL is a 2yr old gelding taking on older horses, but he raced six wide into the home straight before ending up in fifth place last time out over 1050M, four lengths back from the winner. He stayed on well that day and from gate five, he should keep the top choice honest.
GROUNDED is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys and makes her debut here after finishing fourth in her only barrier trial. She will have to negotiate draw eleven, but she could give the males a good run for their money.
GOOFY MICK followed up his penultimate run victory over five furlongs with an eighth-place finish next time out over the same trip, 7.6L behind the winner, but he hung all the way down the straight that day and could not be properly assisted, so that effort should be ignored. He has cracked pole position and has his peak run after returning from a 23-week break.
Two 3yr old fillies could chase him home, with the preference going to EXCELNESS who also won her penultimate run, but in her case over 900M and then finished third in her latest outing over 1100M, just over a length and a half adrift of the victor. She tried to go from jump to wire that day and did battle all the way down to the winning post. She jumps from gate four and should be a big runner in this line-up.
DOMINANT LADY is another who won her penultimate start over 900m when returning from a 23-week rest and then finished fourth in her next outing over five furlongs, 4.8L back from the winner and was immediately rested for 22 weeks. She has her first run here after having had two barrier trials, finishing second in the latest. She faces a wideish draw nine but nevertheless should be included in all bets.
With the late scratching of one of his main rivals, the door may have opened for today’s value bet, TELFER to chalk up his second career victory. He showed solid improvement to win his maiden race last time out over this c&d by one and a half lengths, despite being friendless in the betting markets. He raced up with the pace that day and from draw ten, he is likely to use that early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy. He does take on stronger here, but he could prove good enough to complete his double.
NASHIAN is a 5yr old mare taking on males, but she raced three wide approaching the turn and then stayed on well to end up in second spot over this c&d, just over a half-length behind the winner. She has a cozy draw two and should be right up there in the mix.
THISWILLDOUS hung all the way down the home straight when finishing fourth last time out over seven furlongs, one and a half lengths back from the winner. He faces a wide draw fifteen out of sixteen, but he is a speedy sort who should be able to move across without using up too much energy.
The day’s best bet, FENECH jumped awkwardly when finishing seventh last time out over seven furlongs, but the form of that race has stood up well with seven runners out of that contest subsequently winning. He returns from a lengthy 41-week absence and has his first run for his new trainer, but he has won both of his barrier trials to showcase his well-being. He will have to overcome draw eleven, but the fact that his connections have brought him back into racing would seem to suggest that they believe that he still has something more to offer them.
FLYING PRETTY is a 5yr old mare taking on boys, but she made every post a winning post when victorious last time out over 1425M. She put 6.3L between herself and the opposite that day and the form of that race has been franked. She jumps from gate five and could emerge as the biggest danger to the top pick.
BEAR THE CROWN is a 4yr old filly who showed marked improvement when finishing second last time out over 1257M at this track, 0.7L back from the winner. She made good late progress that day and from her handy draw two, she should be involved in the finish.
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