Winning Form brings you all of their best bets and tips for Thursday's Australian racing from Kembla Grange.
Best Bet: PERLANT (Race 5)
Value Bet: CRAZY TRAIN (Race 7)
Jackpot (race 4 – 7)
This looks to be a tricky race to start off the day’s Jackpot, made more difficult by the fact that there is an unraced runner in the field, so some caution is advised and any betting support for the first-timer should be respected. However, the tentative first selection goes to SINGLE HONOR who has cracked pole position and who has put in two solid last runs since returning from an 18 week break, the latest when fifth over five furlongs, just under a length and a half behind the winner. He jumped awkwardly that day and then hung out over the latter stages of the race, so did well to finish as close to the winner as he did.
FLYING SQUAD is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys, but she has only had the two runs to date, finishing third on debut over five furlongs and then second next time out over the same c&d, 0.8L back from the winner when returning from an even longer 23 week absence. She jumped awkwardly that day and despite facing a wide draw twelve here, she should give the males a good run for their money. BARANOF showed marked improvement when finishing third in his latest outing over 1100M, just over two lengths adrift of the victor. He was returning from an 18 week rest that day and although jumping from gate ten, he should be included in all bets.
Two 4yr old fillies could fight out the finish to this race and secure the exacta, but the day’s best bet, PERLANT is taken to lead the field home. She finished fourth in her maiden start over five furlongs and then made the expected improvement to win next time out when putting three and a half lengths between herself and the opposition over this c&d. She was returning from a 30 week absence that day, but hit the front at the 300M mark and the race was effectively over as a contest from that point and the form of that race has been franked. She will have to negotiate draw nine, but could prove difficult to topple today.
BASTAKI is drawn one inside the top choice and followed up her penultimate run victory over five furlongs with a third place finish next time out when stepping up to 1100M, a half length back from the winner. She returns from a 16 week rest, but has had the benefit of two barrier trials, finishing third in the latest to showcase her well-being.
CONGLOMERATE also won his penultimate run over five furlongs and then overraced and was bumped when turning into the home straight before ending up in second spot last time out over the same c&d, one and a half lengths behind the winner when returning from a 21 week break. He in turn is drawn one inside the latter and should be involved in the finish.
NIKAU is a 4yr old filly taking on males, but she has finished fourth in her last two runs and jumped awkwardly and was then held up entering the home straight before finishing 1.3L behind the winner in her last start over 1500M. She only saw daylight at the 200M pole that day, but nevertheless finished off her race well and from a handy draw two, she could be the one to side with here.
COMMAND KING has consistent formlines to his name and although recorded as finishing fifth in his latest outing over 1500M, he was just one and a half lengths off the winner after making good late progress. He jumps from gate seven and gets a set of blinkers fitted for the first time today. If these have the desired effect, he should he right up there in the mix to turn in another honest performance. SPEEDZONE was bumped at the start, but then stayed on well before ending up in third place last time out over this mile journey, beaten a head in the shadow of the post. From gate five, he should not be lightly dismissed.
CRAZY TRAIN is a 4yr old filly taking on boys, but she won her penultimate start over 1300M and then followed that up with a fourth spot finish next time out over seven furlongs, just over a length back from the winner. She did not get the clearest of passages in the home straight that day and although facing a wideish gate nine, with better luck in running today, she should be in with a big shout here. She has her peak run after returning from a 16 week rest and is made the value bet on the day’s program.
KUZCO LAD made solid improvement to finish fourth in his latest outing over seven furlongs, just over a length and a half behind the winner. He has a kinder draw two and his trainer/jockey combination have enjoyed considerable success in the past.
REAL KEY had his consistency rewarded with a short-head victory last time out over 1300m. He battled all the way down to the wire that day and if showing the same determination here, he could be good enough to complete a quick double.