Australian Racing Best Bets and Tips – 25 September 2021

Race 7

The top three selections renew their rivalry today and a form confirmation is on the cards. ENTRIVIERE has won three out of her last four starts, the latest a Group 2 event over six furlongs by 1.3L, despite coming three-wide into the home straight and losing an off-fore shoe in running. She was returning from a 21-week break that day and whilst she is drawn the widest of them all, she could chalk up another Group 2 victory today.

FITUESE finished second to the top choice in the race mentioned above, but as she meets her conqueror on just 0.5kgs better terms, she may have to settle for the same result. She did however settle near the rear of the field that day and then finished strongly over the latter stages, suggesting that the extra ground on offer here will be to her liking. She has also pulled a kinder gate three.

FORBIDDEN LOVE jumped awkwardly, but then made good late progress when ending up in seventh place in the very same race, 3.8L behind the top choice. She jumps from gate six and has her peak run after returning from a 19-week break, but as she meets the top pick on the same weight terms here, she could battle to turn the tables.

Race 8

As with the previous race, the first three selections renew their latest clash and we could end up with the same order of finish. Indeed, the day’s best bet, ANAMOE was most impressive when winning his last start, a Group 2 race over six furlongs by a head when returning from a 22-week rest. He has won three of his last four outings and finished strongly to secure that last victory after coming four wide into the home straight. He jumps from gate eight and looks set to chalk up his fifth career victory.

IN THE CONGO’S last four runs have yielded one first and three second-place finishes, the latest in the race referred to above when a head back from the former. He jumped awkwardly that day, but recovered well to get to the head of affairs and was only collared in the shadow of the post. He does however meet the top pick on 1.5kgs worse terms today and on that, appears to be well held, but he does have a slightly better draw six to boost his hopes.

REMARQUE is drawn one inside the latter and did finish third in that same race, 1.6L back from the winner, but he did overraced early and did not get the clearest of passages in the home stretch. In addition, his jockey put up 1kg overweight that day, but on the plus side, the extra distance should be to his liking. His task will however be made more difficult by the fact that he is 3.5kgs worse off with the top selection at today’s weights.

Race 9

This looks to be a tricky race with plenty of runners in with a realistic chance of finding the winner’s box, so some caution is suggested. The tentative top choice goes to HEAD OF STATE who jumped awkwardly and found himself at the rear of the field before finishing well to make solid improvement to end up in second spot last time out over 1550M, just a neck off the winner. As he hung out between the 200M and 100M marks that day, he should be considered an unlucky loser. He gets draw seven and could be the one to side with here.

PROFONDO was bumped at the start before going on to win by a short-head over seven furlongs when making his debut and the form of that race has been franked. He does take a big step up in class, but he would have learnt from that experience and with the natural improvement that can be expected, he may well be up to the task at hand. His draw five will do him little harm.

Although ALEGRON is recorded as finishing fifth in his latest start over 1500M, he was just over a length and a half behind the winner. Given that he jumped awkwardly that day and then had to shift in at the 250M mark to get a clear passage, that effort was encouraging. He faces a wide draw ten, but he should be included in all bets.

Race 10

The day’s value bet, KIKU followed up her penultimate run victory over a mile with a sixth-place finish last time out over seven furlongs, just over a length and a half back from the winner and was immediately rested for 22 weeks. She is a 4yr filly taking on the boys and did jump awkwardly in that contest, but made good late progress in the latter stages. She returns here after having had three barrier trials, finishing second in the latest. From gate five she should be right up there in the dash down to the finishing post.

ELLSBERG has his first run since a shorter 15-week rest and has had the benefit of two barrier trials, winning the latest. He had finished second in his last two outings prior to the break, the latest when trying to go from jump to wire and ending up 2.7L behind the winner over a mile. He is drawn the widest in gate fourteen, but he is likely to adopt the same tactics today.

GRANDE RUMORE is another 4yr old filly in the race and finished a staying on fifth in her latest outing over six furlongs, one and a half lengths behind the winner when returning from an 18-week break. She on the other hand has a cosy draw two and should not be easily overlooked in this line-up.