Winning Form brings you all of their best bets and tips for Friday’s racing taking place at Newcastle, Australia.
Best Bet: TEA LEAVES (Race 6)
Value Bet: BRAVE SONG (Race 7)
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Jackpot (race 5 – 8). – Cost: R54.00
Race 5
MR POLAR put nearly three lengths between himself and the opposition to win his last start over this c&d when dropping down in distance from his two prior runs over six furlongs. He is a speedy sort who led into the home straight and then kicked away from the field at the 300M mark to record a comfortable victory. He gets a handy draw two and could be good enough to record a quick double. BALLISTIC MOON showed marked improvement to win his maiden race last time out over this c&d by nearly one length when returning from a 13 week rest, this despite coming the widest of them all into the home straight. He will have to overcome draw nine out of ten, but gets the services of ex-SA jockey Keagan Latham, so will get all the necessary assistance from the saddle. INVINCIBLE KISS is a 6yr old mare taking on the boys, but she is seldom far off the action and only failed by a short-head to win her last outing over 1100M. She jumps from gate five and should be included in all bets.
Race 6
TEA LEAVES showed the expected improvement second time out when finishing second over 1300M, beaten just a short-head. nothing went his way that day in that he was bumped shortly after the start and then had to be held up between the 600M and 400M mark, before not getting the clearest of passages in the home straight. He has drawn gate seven and is taken to be the best bet on the day’s card. Two 2yr old fillies could chase him home, with the slight preference going to GYMNASTICS who finished second on debut over 1300M at this track, just a half length back from the winner. he was making good late progress that day and from the widest draw of them all here, he should be doing his best work late. CHITABE jumped awkwardly before ending up in fourth place on debut over 1300M at this venue, this after having had five barrier trials. She would have come on further with the run under her belt. She has a slightly kinder draw eight and is trained by ex-SA jockey/trainer David Payne. There are four unraced runners in the field, so as is always the case in these types of races, a keen eye should be kept on the betting markets to get some indication as to whether the connection believe that they can win first time out.
Race 7
The day’s value bet, BRAVE SONG has consistent formlines to his name, having finished third and second in his last two runs over this trip, the latest when running on well to end up 1.3L adrift of the victor. He will have to negotiate the widest draw of them all, but the form of that last race has been franked to boost his chances in this line-up. CASCADIAN returns from a 14 week rest, but has had the benefit of two barrier trials, winning the latest. He finished fifth in his last outing over the mile journey, 2.8L behind the winner after being slowly away and then being bumped shortly after the start. He has cracked pole position and renews his rivalry with PURPLE SECTOR who finished seventh in the same race mentioned above, 3.3L behind the winner. As the former is 0.5kgs better off at today’s weights, he should be able to confirm that last result. The latter also returns from the same 14 week rest and has also had the two barrier trial to showcase his well-being. He did not get the clearest of passages in the straight that day and despite being drawn wideish in gate nine, he should be involved in the finish today.
Race 8
SO FAR AWAY followed up her penultimate run victory over 1300M with a third place finish next time out over this c&d, just over a half length behind the winner when returning from an 18 week break. She came three wide into the straight that day, so should have finished closer to the winner than she eventually did. She jumps from gate six and should be right up there when they hit the line. NEVER SECOND is drawn one inside the top pick and won by nearly two lengths on debut over 1100M. She then followed that up with a second spot finish next time out over the same distance, one and a half lengths behind the winner. She was returning from a 17 week rest that day, but was staying on well over the closing stages, suggesting that the extra ground on offer today will be to her liking. I SAY HELLO showed plenty of pace to win by a short-head when making her debut over six furlongs and was immediately rested for a lengthy 50 weeks. She returns here after having had two barrier trials and from draw seven, she should not be lightly dismissed in this line-up.
