Winning Form brings us their best bets and tips from Tamworth on Friday 23 July 2021.
Best Bet: WHO RUNS THE WORLD (Race 6)
Value Bet: BEAU FACTOR (Race 7)
Jackpot (race 5 – 8)
With late scratchings, there are now four unraced runners in the field, so as is always the case in these types of races, a keen eye should be kept on the betting markets to get some indication as to whether the connection believe that they can win first time out. Any betting support for a runner or runners should be respected. Of the raced runners, SHEER SUCCESS looks to be the best. She is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys, but she has only had the two runs to date and made the expected improvement when finishing third last time out over five furlongs, just over a half-length behind the winner when returning from a 30-week absence. She was bumped at the start that day, so did well be get as close to the winner as she did. From her handy draw three, she should be right up there when they hit the line.
OUR LITTLE LOUIE has put in two solid last performances and overraced in the early stages before ending up in second place last time out over 1100M, one length back from the winner. He has cracked pole position and will have 2kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice to aid his cause.
DON’T DOUBT KATIE is a 2yr old filly taking on males and older horses, but she finished fourth on debut over this c&d, just over two lengths adrift of the victor, despite over racing early and having to be steadied off the heels of other runners at the 700M mark. She would have learnt from that experience and with the natural improvement that can be expected, she should make her presence felt, notwithstanding a wideish draw eight.
The day’s best bet, WHO RUNS THE WORLD is a 3yr old filly taking on boys, but she is a speedy sort who put three and a half lengths between herself and the opposition when winning her last start over five furlongs and the form of that race has been franked. She jumps from gate six and has her first run for her new trainer, but if fully settled into her new surroundings, she could prove to be too good for this field.
TRUMPED UP had his consistency rewarded with a short-head victory last time out over six furlongs and has finished second in a subsequent barrier trial. He has a handy draw two and will have 3kgs removed from his allocated weight courtesy of his claiming apprentice. The colt could be the one to pick up the pieces should the top choice fluff her lines.
MR CRUISE has finished closer to the winner in each of his last three outings, the latest when third over this c&d, two lengths off the winner. He came four-wide into the home straight that day, which would not have helped his cause. He faces a wideish draw nine, but should still be involved in the finish.
BEAU FACTOR has won two of his last three runs, the latest when finishing strongly to claim a half-length victory over five furlongs. He hit the front at the 200M pole that day and then held off all the late challengers in the dash down to the wire. He faces draw ten, but on the plus side, he will have 2kgs taken off his back for the services of his claiming apprentice.
VALLEJO on the other hand has pulled pole position. She is a 4yr old filly taking on males, but she has made steady improvement in each of her last three outings, culminating with a half-length win last time out over 1100M. She had to be held up between the 500M and 400M mark that day, so that effort was encouraging. She returns from a 13-week rest and has not had the benefit of a barrier trial, so her fitness will have to be taken on trust, but nevertheless, she should give the boys a good run for their money.
FAMOUS made good late progress when ending up in fifth place last time out over 1100M, three and a half lengths back from the winner. He is drawn in gate five and should be included in all bets.
RUBIC HONOUR is seldom far off the action and overraced in the early stages before staying on well to finish fourth last time out over this c&d, one and a half lengths behind the winner. The form of that race has been franked and despite having pulled a wide gate ten, he is taken to lead the pack home.
He could be chased all the way down to the wire by a 3yr old filly and a 5yr old mare, with the slight preference going to MISS KONO who followed up her penultimate run victory with a disappointing seventh-place finish next time out over 1100M, 11.3L adrift of the winner and was immediately rested for 15 weeks. It must however be noted that nothing went her way that day as she had to be eased off the heels of other runners shortly after the start and then overraced in the early and middle stages. She has a slightly kinder draw seven and if bouncing back to her better form, she should keep the top pick honest.
DREAMING FOR MORE did not get the clearest of passages in the home straight and only saw daylight at the 100M pole in her latest outing over 1100M before ending up in fourth spot, 1.8L back from the winner. She will have to overcome a wide gate fourteen, but she should be doing her best work over the latter stages of the contest.