Winning Form brings you all of their best bets and tips for Monday’s racing taking place at Grafton, Australia.
Best Bet: EM EM D’AR (Race 7)
Value Bet: MORINGA’S AMORDORO (Race 8)
Jackpot (race 7 – 10). – Cost: R54.00
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Race 7.
EM EM D’AR has consistent formlines to his name having finished second and third twice in his last four starts, the latest when second over 1500M, just a head behind the winner. He hit the front at the 225M mark that day and was only snared in the shadow of the post. From draw five, he is sure to enjoy the drop in distance and is taken to be the best bet on the day’s card. FULL PRESS had to shift out at the 300M pole in order to obtain a clear run before ending up in fifth place last time out over seven furlongs, eight and a half lengths adrift of the victor and should have finished closer to the winner as a result. The gelding has a wideish draw eight, but he could emerge as the biggest danger to the top choice. DHA DHA CHOC has only had the one run, finishing third over 1106M at this track, just a head back from the victor. He will have to negotiate a wide draw twelve, but he would have learnt from that experience and with the natural improvement that can be expected, he should be involved in the finish.
Race 8.
MORINGA’S AMORDORO won first time out over 1006M and then finished second in his next start over 1115M, just a half length behind the winner, but he was bumped at the start and then raced three wide from the 600M mark that day, before making good late progress over the latter stages of the contest. He returns from a 25 week break, but has had the one barrier trial to prove his fitness. He has a handy draw two and looks to be the value bet on the program. Two 3yr old fillies could chase him home, with the slight preference going to HALLOWED DREAMS who won her maiden race last time out over 1115M at this venue by half a length at only the second time of asking. She finished well that day and from gate six, she should be right up there when they hit the line. TIME TO TARGET also won her maiden race last time out, but in her case, over six furlongs, when putting six lengths between her self and the opposition. She was bumped at the start that day, but recovered well to race up with the speed, before drawing clear of the field to record a comfortable victory, despite hanging in over the closing stages. She has cracked pole position and should be included in all bets.
Race 9.
PERFECT QUALITY overraced and was bumped before ending up in fifth place last time out over six furlongs, just over a length and a half back from the winner. He returns from a 23 week rest, but has had two barrier trials, finishing second in the latest. He faces a wide draw twelve, but nevertheless he could be the right one in this line-up. TWELVE APOSTLES has only had the three runs to date, winning on debut and then finishing second next time out. He then finished a disappointing tenth last time out over six furlongs, nine lengths adrift of the victor, but his jockey felt that he needs softer going, which he is likely to get today. He jumps from gate five and should not be easily discounted in this field. THE LIONESS is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys, but she is lightly raced having had just the two starts to date, winning on debut and then finishing second next time out over 1110M, just a head back from the winner. She was returning from a 27 week absence that day and despite draw ten, she should keep the males honest.
Race 10.
HELMET HEAD was hampered at the start before finishing well to end up in fifth spot last time out over 1215M at this venue, 4.4L behind the winner, when returning from an 18 week rest, suggesting that the extra ground on offer here will be to his liking. He faces a wide draw fourteen, but given his style of racing, he should be doing his best work late. KIJITO is drawn one outside the top pick and raced four wide into the turn before staying on well to finish third last time out over 1250M at this track, just under a length adrift of the winner. He is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and then start picking off the frontrunner over the latter stages of the contest. BONDURANT is lightly raced having had just the four outings to date and returns here after a 24 week break, but has put in two encouraging barrier trial to showcase his well-being. He followed up his penultimate run victory over 1720M with a fifth place finish last time out over a mile, 5.4L behind the winner. He jumps from a cozy draw three and should be right up there in the firing line.
