Winning Form brings you all of their best bets and tips for Thursday's Australian racing taking place at Newcastle.
Best Bet: ADELAIDE’S LIGHT (Race 7)
Value Bet: TIME FOR VICTORY (Race 8)
Jackpot (Race 5 – 8)
1,3,8,5,6 x 3,7,9 x 6,12 x 9,11,4
This looks a tricky race to open up the day’s Jackpot and some caution is advised. PROSPERO has his hat-trick run after wins over seven furlongs and the latest victory over 1500M by almost two lengths when returning from a 19 week break. He gets a handy draw two and will have 3kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice to aid his cause. SENOR TOBA followed up his penultimate run victory over a mile with an eighth place finish next time over seven furlongs, 7.8L behind the winner, but the form of that race has stood up well with three runners subsequently winning. He steps up to what may be a more suitable distance and is sure to put his pole position to good use. ROCK THE BELLS put his disappointing penultimate effort firmly behind him when finishing third last time out over a mile, just a neck back from the winner. He was hampered shortly after the start and then only saw daylight at the 380M that day which makes the run that much more encouraging. He jumps from gate five and should be included in all bets.
SOPHOMORE has finished closer to the winner in her last three starts, finishing third in her latest outing over 1300M, just over two and a half lengths behind the winner when returning from an 18 week rest. She had to be held up early and only got a clear run at the 250M pole that day, but then finished strongly over the closing stages of the contest. She will have to negotiate gate nine, but given her style of running, she is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and then should be doing her best work late. ALWAYS ON SHOW on the other hand has cracked pole position. She won her penultimate start over a mile and then stayed on well to end up in third place next time out when dropping to a six furlongs sprint, 4.3L behind the winner. She was returning from a 17 week absence that day and should have come on further with the run under her belt. SPLENDIFEROUS showed marked improvement to win her maiden race by two lengths last time out over six furlongs. She faces stronger here, but has a cozy draw four and could well be up to the task at hand.
ADELAIDE’S LIGHT made solid improvement to win his maiden race in his last outing over 1300M, putting 4.3L between himself and the opposition, this despite overracing in the early stages and then coming the widest of them all into the home straight. He was returning from an 11 week rest that day and from draw six, he could prove good enough to record a quick double here and as such, is taken to be the best bet on the day’s card. TEXAS STORM has cracked pole position and came three wide into the straight before battling all the way down to the wire to claim a head victory last time out over six furlongs. He looks to be the biggest danger to the top choice. DALAALAAT was a tad disappointing when finishing ninth in his latest start over six furlongs, just over two and a half lengths adrift of the winner, but he did come five wide into the home turn and should have finished closer to the winner that he did. From gate two, he should be involved in the finish.
With the late scratching of one of his biggest rival’s, the door may have opened for the day’s value bet, TIME FOR VICTORY to claim his third career victory. He won his penultimate outing over 1100M and then followed that up with a second place finish next time out over the same trip, 1.3L off the winner. He did however jump awkwardly that day, but recovered well to finish strongly over the latter stages of the contest. He will start from gate four and should be right up there when they hit the line. TROPHIES GALORE is a 5yr old mare taking on the boys, but she had to be held up turning for home and then eased at the 380M mark before ending up in second place last time out over six furlongs, one and a half lengths adrift of the victor. She faces a wideish draw nine, but she should give the males a good run for their money. HENSCHEL also won his penultimate start, but in his case over six furlongs when trouncing the balance of the field by six and a half lengths. He jumped awkwardly when finishing fourth next time out over 1100M, 7.8L behind the winner when returning from an 18 week break and from his slightly kinder draw six, he will be hoping to bounce back to winning ways today.