Australian Racing Tips – 17 November 2021 – Rosehill Gardens

Best Bet: TOO MUCH CAVIAR (Race 6)

Value Bet: ZARASTRO (Race 7)

Jackpot (race 4 – 7).

Cost: R90.00

Race 4.

DYNASTIES has only had the two runs to date, winning by three lengths on debut over six furlongs and then finishing second next time out when stepping up to seven furlongs, just a half length behind the winner, when returning from a 23 week break. She attracted plenty of betting support that day and did finish her race off well, suggesting that the extra ground on offer here will be to her liking. She has cracked pole position and will be hoping to make amends today. BUBA had her consistency rewarded with a 2.8L victory last time out over 1500M. She hit the front at the 250M mark and the race was effectively over as a contest from that point. She gets a handy draw three and should be right up there when they hit the line. ONE AYE followed up her penultimate run win with a fourth-place finish next time out when dropping down to six furlongs, just under three lengths back from the winner. She made good late progress in that contest and from gate six, she could well do better back over what appears to be a more suitable trip and as such, she should be included in all bets.

Race 5.

This looks to be a tricky race with plenty of runners in with a realistic chance of finding the winner’s box and which is made more difficult by the fact that the top three selections have all drawn wide, so some caution is suggested. The tentative top choice goes to JOJO WAS A MAN who is drawn in gate fourteen, but who put his disappointing penultimate effort firmly behind him when finishing second last time out over a mile, beaten just a head. He jumped awkwardly, but recovered well to strike the front at the 350M pole, only to be snared in the shadow of the post. He should use his early gate speed to work across without expending too much energy. ATLANTIC KING has finished closer to the winner in each of his last three runs, culminating with winning the race mentioned above. He was friendless in the betting markets that day and came three-wide into the home straight, but finished his race off well. He is drawn one inside the top pick, but as he meets his rival on 1.5kgs worse terms today, he may battle to confirm that last result. JESSE JAMES is in turn drawn one inside the latter and has won two of his last three outings, the latest over this distance when putting 3.3L between himself and the opposition. He kicked clear at the 250M mark that day and the result was never in doubt from that point.  

Race 6.

The day’s best bet, TOO MUCH CAVIAR has consistent formlines to his name, having finished second in his two runs prior to winning his last start over 1300M by 1.3L. He was returning from a 21 week absence that day and went from jump to wire for the victory. He has pulled pole position and is sure to attempt similar tactics here. THE DENZEL is seldom far off the action, winning his penultimate outing over a mile and then finishing sixth last time out, but just two lengths off the winner, this despite hanging out badly from the 250M mark and being found to be lame in his off-fore. He gets gate six and will have 2kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice. I AM LETHAL has only had the three runs to date, winning his maiden race last time out over seven furlongs by a head. He came four-wide into the home stretch that day and the form of that race has been franked to boost his chances of success here. The colt faces a wide draw ten, but he is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and then start to pick off the frontrunners in the dash down to the wire.

Race 7.

The powerful stable of Chris Waller could provide the exacta here, but the day’s value bet, ZARASTRO is taken to lead the field home. He finished second on debut over six furlongs and then made the expected improvement to win by one length over 1100M at the second time of asking, when returning from a lengthy 44 week absence. He jumped awkwardly in that event and then had to be steadied off the heels of other runners at the 700M mark when racing green, before coming four wide into the home straight. He faces a wide draw thirteen, but nevertheless, he could prove hard to topple here. His stable companion, RUBAMOS on the other hand has a far kinder draw four and showed good improvement to win his last outing over six furlongs by one and a half lengths when returning from a shorter 19-week break. Like his stablemate, he jumped awkwardly and then also had to be steadied off the heels of other runners at the 900M mark, but he kicked clear at the 150M pole that day to quickly put the race to bed. LE VIZIR won his penultimate start over six furlongs and then finished eights next time out over 1300M, 4.2L behind the winner. He too jumped awkwardly that day and then overraced in the early stages before coming three-wide into the home stretch, but the form of that race has been franked. He has his first run for his new trainer but did finish third in his only barrier trial and if fully settled into his new surroundings, he should give a good account of himself here, notwithstanding a wideish draw nine.