Winning Form brings us their best bets and tips from Randwick, Kensington on Wednesday 21 July 2021.
Best Bet: KUTAYHA (Race 6)
Value Bet: HOT SPRING GOLD (Race 4)
Jackpot (race 4 – 7)
HOT SPRING GOLD followed up his penultimate run victory over seven furlongs with a second-place finish over this c&d next time out, just a length behind the winner. He finished strongly that day and from pole position, he is taken to be the value bet on the day’s card.
KINLOCH also won his penultimate start, but in his case over five furlongs and then went on to finish in sixth place next time out over 1100M, two lengths back from the winner. He was bumped shortly after the start and then brushed the rail at the 800M mark, before making good late progress over the closing stages of the contest. He jumps from gate six and should be right up there when they hit the line.
OFF SHAW has put in two solid performances since returning from a 17-week break, the latest when second over seven furlongs, a half-length off the winner. He hit the front at the 280M mark that day and was only run out of it very late. He faces a wideish draw nine, but nevertheless, he should not be lightly dismissed in this line-up.
PEEKAYS LEGACY missed out on his hat-trick last time out when finishing third over a mile, 1.3L back from the victor. He was slow away, losing two lengths at the jump that day, but finished off his race well. He will have to negotiate draw ten, but he is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and then start picking off the frontrunners over the latter stages.
MR GEE showed marked improvement to win his latest outing over 1900M, albeit by just a short-head and the form of that race has been franked. From his draw seven, if he is able to confirm that last effort, he should test the top choice.
TIME RAID is drawn one outside the latter and jumped awkwardly, but recovered quickly to get to the front of affairs before ending up in fifth place last time out over a mile, two and a half lengths adrift of the winner. He had finished third in his penultimate outing over this c&d, so the step up in trip should not be an issue. He will also get 2kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice to aid his cause.
The day’s best bet, KUTAYHA is seldom far off the action, borne out by the fact that he has finished third in his last two outings, the latest over ten furlongs, just two lengths behind the victor, this despite jumping awkwardly and being crowded at the 1800M pole. The form of that race has also been franked and the drop in distance should not present a problem. From gate six and with better luck in running, he may prove difficult to topple today.
NELSPRUIT had his consistency rewarded with a 0.8L victory last time out over seven furlongs. He was bumped shortly after the start but then got to the head of affairs before holding off all the late challengers in the dash down to the wire. He is drawn one inside the top choice and could emerge as his biggest danger.
HIT THE TARGET stayed on well to finish second in his latest start over a mile, one and a half lengths adrift of the winner. He has an even cosy draw three and will also have 2kgs removed from his allocated weight courtesy of his claiming apprentice.
A 4yr old and two 3yr old fillies could fight out the finish to this race and secure the trifecta, but IRISH ANGEL is taken to lead the pack home. She missed out on her trio of victories when finishing second last time out over today’s trip, just 1.3L behind the winner. She did not get the clearest of passages in the home straight that day and should have finished closer to the winner as a result. She has a handy draw three and looks to be the one to side with here.
DUBAI STAR has finished closer to the winner in her last three runs, culminating with a short-head win over 1100M in her latest outing. She went from jump to wire that day and from gate nine here, she is likely to adopt similar tactics.
JENGA has only had the two runs to date, winning by three lengths when making her debut over 1100M and then finishing eighth next time out when stepping up to six furlongs, just under four lengths adrift of the victor. It should however be noted that she was bumped at the start that day and was also reported to have spread an off-fore shoe. She returns from a 20-week rest but has had the benefit of a barrier trial, where she finishing second. From gate six, she should be included in all bets.