Winning Form brings you all of their best bets and tips for Tuesday’s racing taking place at Hawkesbury, Australia.
Best Bet: NEVER SECOND (Race 5)
Value Bet: DONANDKIM (Race 7)
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Jackpot (race 4 – 7). – Cost: R54.00
Race 4
GREEN KUDOS showed the expected improvement second time out when finishing second over five furlongs, one and a half lengths behind the winner. He attracted plenty of betting support that day and tried to go from jump to wire. He was only outrun very late and from his wide draw ten out of eleven, he is likely to attempt similar tactics today. BULLET FORCE is drawn the widest of them all and had had eight barrier trials before finishing sixth on debut over five furlongs, just under four lengths back from the winner. He would have learned from that race and could be the biggest danger to the top choice. HOT AS HELL on the other hand has cracked pole position. He returns from a lengthy 140-week absence but has had the benefit of three barrier trials to prove his well-being. The fact that his connections have kept him in racing would suggest that they still believe that he has something to offer them. There are three first-timers in the field, so keep an eye on the betting to see if any of them are fancied to win on debut.
Race 5
Two 3yr old and one 4yr old filly could fight out the finish to this race and complete the trifecta, but the firm top pick, NEVER SECOND is taken to lead them all home. She won by almost two lengths despite racing three-wide when making her debut over 1100M and the form of that race has been franked. She was immediately rested for 17 weeks and returns here after winning her only barrier trial to confirm her fitness. She has a handy draw four and is made the best bet on the day’s card. HEAD ON UP had her consistency rewarded with a half length victory last time out over five furlongs. She is a speedy sort who has drawn wide in gate fifteen, but will get the services of ex-SA jockey Keagan Latham, so will get all the necessary assistance from the saddle. FLASH POINT has finished closer to the winner in her last three starts, the latest when second over six furlongs, just under a length adrift of the winner. She had to be held up at the top of the straight that day and should have finished closer to the winner as a result. She is drawn wide in gate eleven, but she should be doing her best work late.
Race 6
LAND OF VALENS was friendless in the betting markets when winning by nearly two lengths last time out when stepping up to 1300M. He hit the front at the 250M pole and then held off the chasing pack over the latter stages of the contest. The form of that race has stood up well and from his gate two, he looks to be the one that they all have to beat. HARMONIUM is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys, but she is seldom far off the action and was hampered at the 1100M mark before ending up in second place last time out over 1300M, just over a length back from the victor. She faces the widest draw of them all in gate fourteen, but she can be expected to turn in another honest performance here. LAND AHOY is another 3yr old filly in the race. She returns from a 20 week rest, but has had the one barrier trial. She drops in distance after finishing fourth last time out over a mile, 1.7L behind the winner, but she did win over 1300M three runs back, so this should not be an issue. Her gate four will do her no harm.
Race 7
Today’s value bet, DONANDKIM did not get the clearest of passages in the home straight and only saw daylight at the 150M mark when finishing third last time out over 1500M, just under three lengths behind the winner. He is drawn in gate five and will get 2kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice. With better luck in running today, he should be right up there when they hit the line. YIYI followed up his penultimate run victory over 1300M with a fourth place finish next time out over a mile, 2.4L adrift of the winner. He is drawn wide in gate eleven and steps up further in distance, but he could well be looking for this greater test of stamina. MAIN STAGE was hampered at the 400M mark before ending up in seventh spot last time out over 1900M, just over four and a half lengths behind the winner, but he did finish second over the same c&d in his penultimate start 1.3L back from the victor. He will get 2kgs removed from his allocated weight courtesy of this claiming apprentice and whilst he will have to overcome a wide draw nineteen, he is likely to be doing his best work late and should be included in all bets.
