Winning Form brings you all of their best bets and tips for Monday’s racing taking place at Gosford, Australia.
Best Bet: OCEANIC FLASH (Race 5)
Value Bet: WHELK (Race 7)
Jackpot (race 5 – 8). – Cost: R54.00
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Race 5.
OCEANIC FLASH has not finished far off the action in all three of his starts to date, the latest over ten furlongs when just under two and a half lengths behind the winner. He finished well that day and although having to negotiate draw eight, he is taken to be the best bet on the day’s card. Two 3yr old fillies could chase him home, with the preference going to CREDIT CRUNCH who has only had the two runs, but showed the expected improvement second time out when finishing second over a mile, just a head behind the victor, despite being friendless in the betting markets that day. She is drawn one outside the top choice, but gets the services of ex-SA jockey Keagan Latham, so will get all the necessary assistance from the saddle. MON AMORE has finished second and third in her last two starts over a mile, the latest when ending up 4.3L back from the winner. She was making good late progress that day, suggesting that the extra ground on offer here will be to her liking. She gets a handy draw two and the blinkers are removed for the first time. If this move has the desired effect, she should be involved in the finish.
Race 6.
Two 4yr old fillies could fight out the finish to this race and complete the exacta. KRISTALOVE has shown solid improvement in her last two runs and went from jump to wire when putting two and a half lengths between herself and the opposition to win her maiden race last time out over ten furlongs. She was eased down in the closing stages that day and although taking on stronger here, she may well be up to the task in hand. She has her peak run today and the form of that last race has been franked. Her draw three will do her no harm. LADYLOVESTOGAMBLE is also a known frontrunner and had her consistency rewarded with her maiden victory last time out over 1900M by two lengths. She has cracked pole position and could emerge as the biggest danger to the top choice. FIELDS OF HONOUR followed up his penultimate run victory over a mile with a second place finish next time out over 1900M, two lengths adrift of the winner. He stayed on well that day and jumping from gate two, he should keep the top two fillies honest.
Race 7.
Today’s value bet, WHELK is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys, but she won over seven furlongs on debut and then finished fourth next time out over 1500M, just over two lengths behind the winner. She fought all the way down to the wire that day and notwithstanding her wide draw ten out of thirteen, she should be right up there when they hit the line. WAR CAT on the other hand has pulled pole position. He won his penultimate run over seven furlongs and then ended up in second place next time out over 1500M, just a half length off the winner, this despite coming four wide into the home straight. BARGAIN is a 3yr old filly who also won her penultimate start, but in her case, over 1300M and then finished sixth in her next outing over seven furlongs, just over three and a half lengths back from the winner. She is drawn in gate eleven, but is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and should be picking off the front runners over the closing stages of the contest.
Race 8.
NAJMATY is a 2yr old filly taking on older horses, but she finished strongly to win over five furlongs on debut and could be just about anything. She raced wide on the turn that day but nevertheless strode away from the field to score a convincing victory. She would have learnt from that experience and with the natural improvement that can be expected, she could notch up a quick double here. She has a wideish gate nine, but she could be better than this field. PIA SOFIA has shown gradual improvement in her last three outings, culminating with a victory last time out over 1100M by just under a length and the form of that race has stood up well. She returns from a 20 week break, but has put in an encouraging barrier trial to showcase her well-being. From her kinder draw two, she should be right up there in the firing line. BELLEVUE STAR was slightly disappointing last time out over 1100M, finishing 5.3L behind the winner and was immediately rested for a lengthy 42 weeks. She returns here after having had four barrier trials, finishing third in the latest to prove her fitness. It should be noted that six runners from that last race of hers have subsequently won, so she should be included in all bets.
