Australian Racing: Weekend Best Bets & Tips (27 & 28 March)

Winning Form brings you all of their best bets and tips for this weekend’s racing taking place in Australia.

Saturday 27 March 2021 – Rosehill

Best Bet: AVILIUS (Race 6)

Value Bet: EMANATE (Race 9)

Jackpot (race 6-9) – Cost: R200

Race 6.

With the track conditions already being posted as Heavy 9 and with more rain expected overnight and on race day, proven mud-larks should enjoy a considerable advantage at this prestigious race meeting. Today’s best bet, AVILIUS has cracked pole position and will benefit from the late scratching of one of his main rivals. He is in fact unbeaten on heavy tracks. He finished third in his last start over a mile in a Group 1 event, 0.4L behind the winner when returning from a 15 week rest, this despite coming four wide into the home straight. Stable companions FUNSTAR and KOLDING from the powerful Chris Waller yard are taken to chase the top choice home. The former is a 4yr old filly taking on the boys and finished 0.2L behind the top pick in the race referred to above. She will have to negotiate a wideish draw eight and as the pair meet on the same weight terms here, she may have to settle for the same result. She does however have her peak run after returning from a 15 week break. Her stable mate had finished second in his two runs prior to finishing fifth in his last outing in the same race as the top two selections, 0.8L back from the winner. He too meets the first selection on the same weight terms, so could struggle to reverse that last result. He does however have a kinder draw three and should be right up there when they hit the line.

Race 7.

PROFITEER missed out on his hat-trick when only collared in the shadow of the post to be beaten a head last time out over this trip in a Group 2 race. He overracing badly that day to lead the field into the straight, but if settling better in today’s race, he could bounce back to winning ways, jumping from his handy gate five. He renews his rivalry with STAY INSIDE who was also denied his trio of victories when finishing 1.7L back from the victor in the same race mentioned above. As the pair meet on the same weight terms here, the latter may battle to overturn that last result. It should however be noted that STAY INSIDE was denied a clear run in the home straight in that contest and only saw daylight at the 100M mark, but then finishes strongly over the latter stages. He has pulled draw three and could emerge as the biggest danger to the top pick. FOUR MOVES AHEAD is a filly taking on males, but she is two from two, winning her last outing by a neck in a Group 2 event over six furlongs. She faces a wide gate ten, but nevertheless she should give the boys a good run for their money. INGRATIATING is drawn one outside the latter, but he is seldom far off the action and jumped awkwardly last time out when ending up in fifth place over six furlongs, just over one length behind the winner. He gets the blinkers re-fitted for today’s run and should be doing his best work late.

Race 8.

TAILLEUR is a 4yr old filly taking on male rivals, but she goes for her hat-trick after wins over 1100M and the latest in a Group 3 event over six furlongs by nearly half a length. She hit the front at the 300M mark that day and then proceeded to hold off all challengers in the dash down to the wire. She faces draw seven, but could prove good enough to chalk up the trio of victories. WILD RULER has won two of his last three outings, including the latest in a Listed event over 1100M by 1.3L when returning from an 18 week absence. He was making good late progress in that race and given his style of running his wide draw eleven may not be too big a disadvantage as he is likely to be doing his best work late. HAUT BRION HER is a 5yr old mare who overraced in the middle stages of her last start over 1300m, ending up in second place, beaten just a neck. She returns from a 20 week break, but has had the benefit of two barrier trials, winning them both. She will have to deal with gate nine, but nevertheless she should be included in all bets.

Race 9.

The top three selections for this the final leg of today’s Jackpot have all drawn wide and luck in running may play some part in determining the result of the race. However, EMANATE, who gets gate sixteen, is taken to lead them home. She followed up her 3.8L penultimate run victory over 1100M with a third place finish next time out in a Group 3 event over six furlongs, one length behind the winner. She is a speedy sort who should use her early gate speed to move across without using up too much energy. WRITTEN BEAUTY missed out on her hat-trick when ending up in sixth place in her latest start over five furlongs, just over six lengths back from the winner in a Group 2 race. She is drawn one inside the top pick and will be hoping to bounce back to winning ways today. WANDABAA showed solid improvement when finishing strongly to be just over a half length behind the winner is her last outing in a Group 3 race over 1100M. She was returning from a 18 week break that day and from gate seventeen, she is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and start to pick off the frontrunners over the closing stages of the event.

Sunday 28 March 2021 – Geraldton.

Best Bet: FOXHOOD (Race 5)

Value Bet: QUALITY FAIR (Race 6)

Jackpot (race 4 – 7) Cost: R96.00.

Race 4.

AEECEE TIANHU had his consistency rewarded with a one and a half length victory last time out over seven furlongs and the form of that race has been franked. He is drawn the widest of them all in gate nine, but he should use his early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy. HONORFIC came wide into the straight when ending up in eighth place last time out over 1413M, over six lengths back from the winner. However, he had finished third in his penultimate start over this c&d and should do better over what appears to be a more suitable mile journey. His handy draw four is a plus. SUMMIT TRAIL raced up with the pace but two wide before finishing eighth last time out over a mile, 3.3L behind the winner. He had nothing extra to offer in the straight that day, but from a cozy draw two, he should be right up there in the mix.

Race 5.

The day’s best bet, FOXHOOD is seldom far off the action and has posted a second and two third place finishes in his last three outing, the latest when third over six furlongs, just over a length and a half behind the winner. The form of that race has stood up well with three runners from that contest subsequently winning. He jumps from draw five and looks to be the one that they all have to beat. Although TIME STARTS NOW is recorded as finishing sixth in his latest start over a mile, he was just under two and a half lengths adrift of the victor. He was hampered for most of the way down the home straight that day and that effort is probably best ignored. He is drawn one inside the top choice and with better luck in running today, he could emerge as his biggest danger. HAYSTACKS stayed on well when finishing fifth in his last outing over seven furlongs, two lengths behind the winner and on that effort, he should enjoy going the extra trip. From gate six, he should be involved in the finish here.

Race 6.

QUALITY FAIR turned two second and one third place finishes in his three previous runs into a victory in his last start over seven furlongs by almost a length. He went from start to finish that day and held off the chasing pack over the latter stages courageously. He faces draw nine, but on that last performance, he is made the value bet on the card. BOMBAY STYLE is drawn one inside the former and had finished second in his two runs prior to ending up in eighth spot last time out over a mile, 4.3L adrift of the winner. It should however be noted that he was forced to race wide that day and had nothing to offer in the home straight. MYCROFT was denied a clear passage in the home straight before finishing sixth in his last outing over seven furlongs, just under two and a half lengths back from the winner. He jumps from gate five and should be right up there when they hit the line.

Race 7.

WILDONBROOK is a 5yr old mare taking on the boy’s, but she has won two of her last three starts, the latest by a neck over seven furlongs. She made good late progress in that event and from gate two, she should give the males a good run for their money. MIDNIGHT ROCKET battled all the way down to the wire when finishing second in his last run over 1100M, just a half length behind the winner. He will have to negotiate gate eight, but he will be hoping to go one better today. STARTRADE has also won two of his last three outings, the latest over six furlongs by almost a length. He is drawn one inside the latter and was hanging out in the straight in that last run, so that effort was encouraging. He should be included in all bets.