Winning Form tipster PeTeBe shares his Bathurst tips for 2 May 2021.
Best Bet: BYRON (Race 7)
Value Bet: EMERIZ (Race 6)
SOLE HEIR takes a further step up in distance after staying on well to finish second last time out over nine furlongs, one and a half lengths behind the winner. On that effort, he should appreciate the extra ground on offer here. He will have to negotiate draw twelve out of thirteen, but he likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and then start picking off the frontrunners over the closing stages of the contest.
INSIDER TRADER had to be steadied shortly after the start and then came four wide into the home straight before making good late progress to finish third last time out over nine furlongs, two and a half lengths adrift of the victor. The gelding has gate five and should be right up there when they hit the line.
OLMETO raced wide on the turn and then shifted about in the straight before ending up in nineth spot in his last outing over this trip, 5.8L behind the winner. He is drawn one inside the latter and should not be lightly dismissed in this line-up.
MISS JAY FOX is a speedy sort who won her maiden last time out over today’s sprint distance by 3.7L. She kicked clear of the opposition on entering the straight that day and was geared down approaching the finishing post, so the winning margin could have been considerably larger. From her handy draw two and with ex-SA jockey Brandon Lerena retaining the ride, she looks to be the one that they all have to beat.
DESIGNER MAID jumped awkwardly before being a tad disappointing to end up in last place in her latest run over 1100M, nine and a half lengths adrift of the winner, but on the plus side, the form of that race has been franked, so the effort may not be as weak as it first appears. She returns from a 19-week break, but she won her only barrier trial to prove her fitness. She faces a wide draw eleven, but she should make her presence felt in this field.
PURPOSEFUL MISS has her first run since a slightly longer 20-week rest and has put up an encouraging barrier trial. She was also a bit disappointing in her last start over seven furlongs before the break, finishing nearly ten lengths back from the winner, but the form of that race has stood up well with three runners out of the contest subsequently winning. She has a kinder draw seven and should be included in all bets.
EMERIZ has only had the three runs to date and showed plenty of toe before winning his last start over 1100M by some 3.7L. He jumps from a cozy draw three and could prove difficult to reel in over the latter stages of the race. As such, he is taken to be the value bet on the card. Although
STONE COLD is recorded as finishing fifth in his last outing over 1100M, he was just under two lengths back from the winner. He was trapped five wide that day and was then forced even wider turning for home, so he should have finished closer to the winner that he did. He is drawn in gate five and should keep the top choice honest.
JARMANAGIC has finished second in his last two starts, the latest over 900M, one and a half lengths behind the winner. He finished well that day, suggesting that the step up to five furlongs will be to his liking. He will have to overcome a wide draw twelve, but he is likely to be doing his best work late.
The day’s best bet, BYRON won over 1300M on debut and then went on to finish second next time out over 1460M, just under a length back from the victor, this despite having to be eased shortly after the start and hanging over the closing stages. The form of that race has been franked and although facing a wideish draw nine, he could prove too good for this field.
BANJU steps up in trip after finishing eleventh last time out over 1100M, 6.8L back from the winner, but he did jump awkwardly and then raced three wide that day. He is drawn in gate seven and may well be looking for this greater test of stamina.
PITTSBURGH made good late progress from last position entering the home straight when finishing eighth in his last start over this distance, just over four and a half lengths behind the winner. He will have to deal with a wide gate eleven, but given his style of racing, he should be closing in rapidly on the leaders over the closing stages.