Best Bet: GARIBALDI (Race 6)
Value Bet: VEGA ONE (Race 8)
Jackpot (race 6 – 9)
GARIBALDI stayed on well when finishing fourth last time out in a Group 3 event when stepping up to 1300M, 2.8L behind the winner. He did however win by four and a half lengths over this six-furlong sprint three runs back and has his peak run here after returning from an 11-week rest. He has cracked pole position and is taken to be the best bet on the card.
SOUTHERN LAD jumped awkwardly but recovered well to make good late progress when finishing fourth in his last start over 1100M, just under two lengths back from the victor. He faces a wideish gate eight, but he could emerge as the biggest danger to the top choice.
AWAY GAME is drawn one outside the latter and overraced in the early and middle stages, then understandably had nothing to come over the latter stages, to end up in seventh place last time out over seven furlongs, 6.8L adrift of the winner. He returns from a 15-week rest and has not had the benefit of a barrier trial, so his fitness will have to be taken on trust, but the form of that last race has been franked and he should be involved in the finish.
The top three selections here will renew their rivalry and a form reversal and a confirmation of that last result seems possible. CONVERGE has consistent formlines to his name and finished powerfully to just fail by a head to collar the winner, TIGER OF MALAY in a Group 2 race over seven furlongs last time out. He jumps from draw five and although the pair meet on the same weight terms today, he would seem to be more suited to the extra ground on offer here. The latter kicked clear at the 150M mark that day and did battle all the way down to the wire, so should not be lightly dismissed over the extra 200M. He does however face a wide gate eleven, which also favors the former.
PORT LOUIS ran on well to finish third, just under a half-length back in the same race but has an even wider draw thirteen to overcome. He should however be doing his best work late and should be included in all bets.
VEGA ONE overraced early and then had to weave through traffic but still managed to win his last start a Group 1 event over 1300m by half a length. He won going away from the opposition that day and on that performance would seem ideally suited to the seven furlongs of today’s contest. From his handy draw four, he is made the value bet on the card.
MR QUICKIE followed up his penultimate run victory over this trip with a second spot finish next time out over a mile in a Feature Race, two and a half lengths behind the winner. he has pulled pole position and should keep the top pick honest.
VICTOREM finished just a half-length behind the top selection in the race mentioned above, despite shifting out in the home straight. he does however face VEGA ONE on 1kg worse terms today and is drawn wider in gate eight, so may well have to settle for the same result here.
COVENTINA BAY missed out on her hat-trick when finishing second over a mile in a Group 1 race in NZ, just a neck behind the victor. She has her first run in Australia but did win her only barrier trial to showcase her well-being. She will jump from gate six and could well be good enough to lead this field home.
SWEET DEAL followed up her penultimate run victory over this trip with a second-place finish next time out over six furlongs, 0.8L back from the winner. She attracted plenty of betting support that day, but jumped awkwardly and then found herself some way back in the field. She nevertheless finished well and from one gate inside the former, she will be looking to make amends today.
ODEUM finished twelfth in her last outing over a mile, 6.3L adrift of the victor, but that was in a Group 1 race. She will have to deal with a wide draw sixteen out of eighteen, but she is likely to enjoy the drop in distance.