Winning Form brings you all of their best bets and tips from Friday’s racing taking place in Randwick-Kensington.
Randwick-Kensington
Best Bet: PITCHFORK (Race 7)
Value Bet: MONTSERRAT (Race 5)
Jackpot (race 4-7 – Cost: R54.00
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Race 4
SALLY’S DAY returns from a 22 week rest and one barrier trial. She showed marked improvement when making good late progress to finish second last time out over 1150M at this track. The form of that race has been franked and despite having to negotiate draw nine, she could be the one that they all have to beat. LILLEMOR has her first run since a shorter 17 week absence and has had the benefit of two barrier trials, winning the first and finishing second in her latest. She tried to go from jump to wire before ending up in second place last time out over six furlongs, just over three lengths behind the winner. She has the widest draw of them all, but given her style of running, this may not be such an issue. FRONT MONEY on the other hand has cracked pole position and had her consistency rewarded with a head victory last time out over six furlongs. She returns from an even shorter 13 week break, but did finish second in her only barrier trial to prove her well-being. She seems likely to turn in another honest performance today.
Race 5
The top three selections renew their rivalry here and we could have a form reversal and a confirmation of the result of their previous clash last time out over this c&d. Today’s value bet, MONTSERRAT finished a short-head behind NYAMI in that race, but he is now 1.5kgs better off at the weights, thanks to his 2.0kg claiming apprentice and as such, he should be able to turn the tables on the latter. He attempted to go from gun to tape in that last outing and was only collared in the shadow of the post. He jumps from gate eight and seems likely to adopt similar tactics today. LIVEINTHEFASTLANE is a 5yr old mare taking on the boys and finished third in the same race mentioned above, just a neck back from the winner, but as she meets the second choice on the same weight terms today, she may have to settle for the same result. She is drawn one outside NYAMI in gate four, so neither should gain too much advantage in that regard.
Race 6
Two 4yr old fillies could fight out the finish to this race and complete the exacta. OUR BELLAGIO MISS missed out on completing her hat-trick when finishing second last time out over five furlongs, two lengths behind the victor. She was returning from a 16 week break that day and took an awkward stride at the 900M mark and then raced three wide into the straight, so did well to finish as close to the winner as she did. She needs to deal with draw ten, but is a speedy sort who could nevertheless still lead the field home. EMILETTE is another pacey sort who is seldom far off the action, winning her last outing over five furlongs by two lengths. She faces a wide gate twelve out of thirteen, but she should use that early gate speed to tack across without expending too much energy. INVINCIBLE LAD has finished second in his last two runs, the latest when a neck back over 1100M after jumping awkwardly. He was friendless in the betting markets on that occasion, but will be looking to go one better today, despite have a wideish gate seven.
Race 7
With the five late scratchings in the race leaving eleven runners to face the starter here, the way may have been cleared for today’s best bet, PITCHFORK to chalk up his third career victory. He returns from a 15 week rest, but has recorded two encouraging barrier trials to prove his fitness and is going for his hat-trick after winning his last start over 1500M by a neck. He posted a win over this trip in his penultimate outing, so the drop in distance should not present a problem. He will now jump from gate ten and may prove to be difficult to topple in this line-up. BIG BAD BRUCE jumped awkwardly before going on to win his last outing over six furlongs by some two lengths, suggesting that the extra ground on offer here will be to his liking. He is drawn one inside the top pick and could be his biggest danger. MUBARIZ has his first run since a 21 week absence, but has had two barrier trials. Although he is recorded as finishing fifth last time out over a mile, he was just 2.8L behind the winner. He did not get the clearest of passages in the home straight that day and from draw three, he should be involved in the finish.
