Winning Form brings you all of their best bets and tips from Tuesday‘s racing taking place in Australia at Newcastle.
Newcastle
Best Bet: DUAIS (Race 5)
Value Bet: THE WAYFARER (Race 6)
Jackpot (race 5 – 8) – Cost: R54.00.
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Race 5
With the three late scratchings in the race, a field of just seven runners face the starter here and the door may have been opened for today’s bet, DUAIS to record her maiden victory at only her third start. She is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys and returns from a 19-week rest, but she did put up an encouraging barrier trial to prove her well-being. She took a bump in running and was then denied a clear passage in the home straight, but still managed to finish fifth last time out over seven furlongs, just over two and a half lengths behind the winner. She jumps from a handy gate two and will be the services of ex-SA jockey, Glyn Schofield. SKIP TO MY is also a 3yr old filly. She tried to go from jump to wire before finishing third last time out over 1100M, just over one length back from the winner. She attracted plenty of betting support that day and could emerge as the biggest danger to the top choice, despite having to deal with a wideish gate seven. JAY’N’JAY has his first run since a 23-week break and has not had the benefit of a barrier trial, so his fitness will have to be taken on trust. He is a speedy sort who has finished second and third in his last two starts over seven furlongs and is sure to appreciate the drop in distance.
Race 6
As with the previous race, a late scratching could benefit the programs value bet, THE WAYFARER. He has cracked pole position and stayed on well when finishing third on debut over five furlongs, just over two lengths behind the victor. With the natural improvement that can be expected, he could be the one that they all have to beat. BOOMKO is a 3yr old filly taking on males. She jumped awkwardly but nevertheless showed the expected improvement when ending up in third place in her latest outing over 1100M. She returns from a 24-week break but has had two barrier trials, winning the latest. She is drawn in gate two and has her first run for her new trainer, but if fully settled into her new surroundings, she could threaten the top pick. BILBAO was bumped at the start but still made solid improvement to finish third last time out over five furlongs, just over a length behind the winner. He has pulled gate four and should be included in all bets.
Race 7
ARISTOGRATS finished second in his penultimate outing over 1300M and then overraced early but still managed to win his last start over 1500M by just under a length. The drop back in distance for today’s seven furlongs contest should therefore not present an issue. From draw seven, the gelding should be right up there when they hit the line. MANHATTAN WHIRL is a 4yr old filly taking on boys. She finished second in her last start over 1500M, 0.7L adrift of the winner. She has drawn the widest of them all, but is likely to be dropped out of it early and then start picking off the frontrunners over the closing stages of the race. SAPPHIRES SON has finished second in his last two outings over a mile and nine furlongs respectively. He had to be held up in the early stages of his last run, but nonetheless still finished just a neck behind the winner. He drops in trip here, but is drawn in gate two and did win over this distance five runs back, so this should not present a problem.
Race 8
PAQUIRRI is seldom far off the action and was denied a clear run from the 250M mark before finishing fourth last time out over six furlongs, just over a length behind the winner. He has a handy draw two and will have 1.5kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice to aid his cause. JOEY’S CHANCE hit the front at the 200M pole before moving clear of the opposition to win by just under a length and a half last time out over six furlongs. He has drawn gate five and could well prove to be good enough to complete his double in this line-up. DAME KIRI is a 5yr old mare taking on the boys and returns from a 22-week absence, but she did finish second in her only barrier trial to prove her fitness. She followed up her penultimate run victory over 1500M with a second-place finish next time out over a mile before the break and the form of that race has been franked. From draw five, she should give the males a good run for their money.
