Winning Form brings us their best best and tips for Saturday’s racing from Kembla Grange, Australia.
Best Bet: FROSTY ROCKS (Race 7)
Value Bet: BLONDEAU (Race 10)
Jackpot (race 7 – 10).
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
9 | 9 | 10 | |
Cost: R54.00.
Race 7.
FROSTY ROCKS had his consistency rewarded with a head victory last time out over 1300M when returning from a 25 week break. He went from jump to wire that day, holding off the chasing pack in the dash down to the line. He jumps from gate five and is taken to be the best bet on the day’s card.
OSCAR ZULU had completed his hat-trick before finishing sixth in his last start over seven furlongs, 4.7L behind the winner, but he did jump awkwardly that day and came three wide into the home straight, so that effort can be excused. He is drawn one inside the top choice and could prove to be his biggest threat.
TRUE DETECTIVE is seldom far off the action and raced up with the pace before ending up in fourth place last time out over 1500m, 1.3L back from the victor. He will have to negotiate a wideish draw nine, but nonetheless, he should be involved in the finish.
Race 8.
TIGER OF MALAY followed up his penultimate run victory over seven furlongs with a third spot finish next time out over a mile, just under three and a half lengths off the winner, but he was hampered shortly after the start and then came four wide into the home straight that day. He has cracked pole position and will have the cheek pieces removed for the first time today. If this move has the desired effect, he could be the one that they all have to beat.
REVIVALIST also won his penultimate outing, but in his case over six furlongs and then went on to finish second next time out when stepping up to seven furlongs, just a short-head behind the winner. He jumped awkwardly that day, but recovered quickly to lead the field and was only run out of it in the shadow of the post. From his draw seven, he is likely to attempt similar tactics today.
CONCOCTED has only had the two runs to date, winning on debut over five furlongs and then finishing second in his next outing over six furlongs, 1.8L behind the winner. He did not get the clearest of passages in the straight that day, only seeing daylight at the 200M mark, but then finished his race off well. He jumps from gate four and should be right up there when they hit the line.
Race 9.
STELLAR PAULINE has consistent formlines to her name, finishing fourth last time out over six furlongs, just over a length back from the winner, this despite not getting the clearest of runs in the home straight, only finding a gap at the 350M pole, before staying on well over the latter stages of the contest. She has a wideish gate nine, but she should be respected in this line-up.
BRING THE RANSOM had solid form before being slightly disappointing last time out when going over nine furlongs, finishing 5.3L back from the winner. She has a kinder gate three and returns to what appears to be a more suitable distance. She will be hoping to bounce back to her previous form today.
GLORIOUS DREAM last three runs have seen her finish third, win and then third again in her latest start over seven furlongs, just over a length and a half behind the winner. She was making good late progress that day and from a draw one inside the latter, she should be included in all bets.
Race 10.
The day’s value bet, BLONDEAU’S last three runs have been over today’s seven furlong journey, culminating with a 1.3L victory last time out. He finished well that day and from his wide draw fourteen, he is likely to be dropped out of it early and then start picking off the front runners over the closing stages of the contest.
ASHMAN on the other hand has drawn a cozy gate four and has made steady improvement in his last three outings, ending up in the winner’s box last time out over 1300m, one and a half lengths in front of the second placed runner. He was friendless in the betting markets that day, but could prove good enough to notch up a quick double.
PALE KING missed out on his quartet of wins when finishing eighth last time out after stepping up to nine furlongs, six and a half lengths adrift of the winner, but the form of that race has stood up well with three runners out that contest subsequently winning. He is drawn one outside the latter and returns from a 19 week rest, but finished fourth in his only barrier trial to prove his fitness and should not be lightly dismissed.
