PeTeBe shares his Quirindi tips and picks for Monday 10 May 2021.
Best Bet: EXCELNESS (Race 7)
Value Bet: POET LAD (Race 6)
Jackpot (race 4 – 7)
FRANKLY SAVVY is a 4yr old filly taking on the boys, but she showed marked improvement to win her last start over a mile by almost two lengths. She went from jump to wire that day and from draw five, she may prove to be difficult to reel in over the closing stages of the contest.
FOREVER JUDE came four-wide into the final turn before finishing strongly to just fail by a short-head to overhaul the leaders last time out over 1750M. He has gate seven and should be right up there once again when they hit the line.
FANMALIA followed up his penultimate run victory over a mile with an eighth-place finish next time out over 1880M, 3.8L back from the winner. He had to be held up entering the home straight and then again at the 300M pole and should have finished closer to the winner as a result of the interference. He has to overcome a wide draw ten, but he should be doing his best work late.
A 4yr old and a 3yr old filly could fight out the finish to this race and complete the exacta, but DREAM SONG is taken to lead the pack home. She had consistent formlines to her name, having finished second in her two previous outings, before disappointing last time out over seven furlongs, ending up in ninth spot, just over twelve lengths behind the winner. She did however become unbalanced on the turn and corner four wide but was never in the race from that point. She has had a seven-week rest and will be hoping to bounce back to her previous form here, despite facing a wideish draw nine.
MON AMORE shot to the front from the jump and was never headed to record her maiden victory last time out over 1506M by 2.2L. She held off all late challengers that day and although taking on stronger here, she may well be up to the task at hand. Her draw three will do her no harm.
DR COPPER has finished second twice and third twice in his last four outings, the latest when second over seven furlongs, 2.3L adrift of the winner. He came four-wide into the straight that day, but stayed on well over the latter stages. He is drawn the widest of them in gate seventeen, but he is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and should then start picking off the frontrunners over the closing stages.
POET LAD won his penultimate start over a mile and then finished third next time out over the same distance, just a head behind the winner. He turned into the home straight in third position that day and then fought hard all the way down to the wire. He drops in distance and returns from an 18-week rest and has not had the benefit of a barrier trial, so his fitness will have to be taken on trust, but his overall form is such that the gelding is made the value bet on the day’s program, despite being drawn in gate ten.
FARMER’S FRIEND came four-wide into the straight before ending up in third place last time out over five furlongs, when returning from a 23-week break. He is drawn even wider in gate twelve, but he should not be lightly dismissed in this line-up.
QUICK NICK also won his penultimate outing, but in his case over today’s trip and although recorded as finishing seventh next time out over 900M, he was just two lengths off the winner. He only saw daylight at the 250M mark that day, but finished strongly when finally clear of the traffic. He will have to negotiate a wide draw fifteen, but on that last effort, he should be doing his best work over the latter stages of the contest.
EXCELNESS has only had the three runs to date, finishing second on debut over five furlongs, third over 1100M second time out and then winning her third start over 900M by just over half a length. She got past the leaders at the 250M pole that day and then held on well over the closing stages. She is drawn in gate seven and takes on stronger here, but she will have 1.5kgs removed from her allocated weight courtesy of her claiming apprentice to aid her cause. She is therefore made the best bet on the card.
NOW OR NEVER came three-wide into the home straight before making good late progress to finish second in her latest outing over 1300m, just a neck behind the winner when returning from an 11-week absence. She has a wide gate thirteen to deal with, but she is likely to be eased out of the race in the early stages and then start to mow down the leaders over the closing stages of the contest.
SUBLIME LADY had her consistency rewarded with her maiden win last time out over this trip, putting three and a half lengths between herself and the opposition. She stayed on well that day despite being carried wide approaching the final turn. She is drawn one inside the latter and should be closing in on the leaders over the latter stages.