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SHA TIN Best Bets – 13 December 2020

Happy Valley Best Bets: 11 November 2020








An exciting ten-race programme is scheduled for Sha Tin this Sunday. There are four Group 1 races on the day including The Longines Hong Kong Vase, The Longines Hong Kong Sprint, The Longines Hong Kong Mile and The Longines Hong Kong Cup. The best bet on the day is in Race 9 in the form of Winning Dreamer. He is unbeaten from five career starts and has a very good chance of keeping that record intact. 


Two women looking excitedly at cellphone

BEST BET – WINNING DREAMER (Race 9)

VALUE BET – PRECIOUSSHIP (Race 10)

R

Time

Conditions

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

1

06:25

1200m
– Class 3 Handicap

2

6

13

11

12

2

06:55

1400m
– Class 4 Handicap

3

2

5

12

13

3

07:25

1800m
– Class 3 Handicap

13

10

11

1

2

4

08:00

2400m – The Longines Hong Kong Vase
(Group 1)

1

7

4

5

3

5

08:40

1200m – The
Longines Hong Kong Sprint (Group 1)

2

1

8

9

4

6

09:15

1400m
– Class 3 Handicap

5

1

12

2

11

7

09:50

1600m – The Longines Hong Kong Mile
(Group 1)

2

10

7

3

1

8

10:30

2000m – The Longines Hong Kong Cup
(Group 1)

7

4

1

6

2

9

11:10

1200m
– Class 2 Handicap

3

6

1

5

10

10

11:50

1600m
– Class 2 Handicap

1

9

6

13

3

 

RACE 1

SUNSET WATCH
should have finished closer last time as he was bumped at the start and raced
three wide around the turn. He is likely to settle in a mid-field position this
afternoon and with a bit of luck in running, he may be the one to beat. MASTER MONTARO is having his first
start in Hong Kong. His last two barrier trials coming into this contest have
been good. It is encouraging that Zac Purton does duty and if not in need of
the run, he should pose a threat. TRUST
ME
ran a good race when finishing third over this distance at Happy Valley
last time. He should have finished closer that day as he was hampered at the
400m mark. Matthew Chadwick retains the ride from a good draw and the
combination merit healthy respect. WINNING
BREW
is much better than his last start suggests. His form prior to that
outing was good and with a bit of luck from his wide draw, he should be
involved in the fight to the finish.

RACE 2

This is a competitive Handicap contest and caution is
advised. The narrow first selection is ULTIMATE
GLORY
. He has not finished too far off the winner in his last four starts.
He didn’t get the best of starts last time and was blocked for running room
between the 400m mark and the 300m mark. Joao Moreira takes the ride this
afternoon and he may be able to coax that little bit extra out of him where it
matters most. NORDIC WARRIOR showed
good signs of a form return last time. He was slow into stride that day, but
kept on well at the business end. If jumping on terms, he should be
competitive. AUTHENTIC CHAMP won a
good race over this course and distance last time. He had to overcome a wide
draw that day which makes the victory that much more encouraging. He jumps from
pole position and can follow up. STUNNING
IMPACT
ran a decent race in his last start when finishing fourth over this
course and distance. He didn’t have much luck in running as he was hampered at
the 900m mark and was forced to check at the 150m mark. Karis Teetan retains
the ride which is encouraging.

RACE 3

NATURAL STORM has
very good consistent form lines to his credit. He was unlucky not to win his
last start when finishing second, a neck behind Beauty Angel. He was blocked
for running room at the 300m mark that day and hung out in the final 200m. He
is better off at the weights this afternoon and should turn the tables. BEAUTY
ANGEL is a winner of his last four starts, three of which were over this course
and distance. Zac Purton steps back into the saddle and he may be hard to peg
back in the run down to the line. CHEVALIER PRINCE won a good race over a mile
on this course last time. The manner in which he finished off his race that day
suggests he will have no issues with the extra distance on offer. He should be
right there in the run down to the line. ARROGANT showed good improvement in
his last start when dropping to this class. If repeating that effort, he should
have a say in the outcome. 

RACE 4

The first Group 1 event on the day
is The Longines Hong Kong Vase over 2400m. The first choice goes to Hong Kong
based, EXULTANT. He has very good consistent form lines to his credit. He has won
four times, finished second once and third once from as many starts over this
course and distance. He is having his peak run this afternoon and should be
cherry-ripe. His biggest threat could come from the Aidan O’Brien trained, MOGUL. He was a tad disappointing when
finishing fifth in the Grade 1 Breeders’ Cup Turf last time, but is much better
than that outing suggests. He is loaded with ability and if all went well with
his travels, he should be competitive. COLUMBUS
COUNTY
finished 1.25 lengths behind the top choice in the Group 2 Jockey
Club Cup last time. The manner in which he finished off his race that day
suggests he will enjoy the extra distance on offer. Joao Moreira steps back
into the saddle which is a big plus. ROYAL
JULIUS
makes his way to Hong Kong from France. He was disappointing in the
Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe in his penultimate start, but ran a good race in his
last effort in a Group 2 contest. He jumps from a good draw of three and merits
inclusion. 

RACE 5

The Longines Hong Kong Sprint is the next Group 1 event and HOT KING PRAWN will be looking to
better his second-place finish in this contest last year. He won a good race in
the Group 2 Jockey Club Sprint and comes into the race in fine form. He has won
four times, finished second five times and third once from 13 starts over this
course and distance. The 6yo gelding may be the one to side with under Joao
Moreira. CLASSIQUE LEGEND was
ultra-impressive when winning The Everest last time. He has won three times,
finished second once and third twice from seven starts over this distance. If
settled into his new surroundings, he should pose a threat to the top choice. COMPUTER PATCH finished 0.75 lengths
behind the top choice last time. He meets his conqueror on level weight terms
and may have to settle for the same result. RATTAN’S last two starts over this distance have been good. He is
likely to settle near the rear of the field today and will be mowing down the
frontrunners in the run down to the line. 

Jockeys Ride Horses

RACE 6

LUCKY PATCH
followed up his debut victory with a decent third-place finish over this course
and distance. He still raced green in the running that day and had to check at
the 50m mark. Apprentice Matthew Poon who was aboard the son of El Roca when
winning on debut, steps back into the saddle. He looks to be a progressive type
and from his mid-field draw, he should find himself in the winner’s enclosure. HEZA BEAUTY has very good recent form
lines to his credit. He has won three times, finished second three times and
third twice from eleven starts over this track and trip. Neil Callan retains
the ride and the combination merit healthy respect. TRUE LEGEND has not finished too far off the winner in his last
three starts. He is likely to race from a handy position this afternoon and may
be hard to peg back in the run down to the line. SPLENDOUR AND GOLD had to be eased at the start last time, but
boxed on well up the straight to finish 3.5 lengths behind the winner. He won
his only attempt over this course and distance and should be involved in the
fight to the finish. 

RACE 7

The penultimate Group 1 event of the day is The Longines
Hong Kong Mile. GOLDEN SIXTY has won
13 of his 14 career efforts to date. He has won three times over this course
and distance. He faces his toughest test to date, but has all the ability in
the world and should take a power of beating. ORDER OF AUSTRALIA won a very good race in the Grade 1 Breeders’
Cup Mile last time. He raced from a handy position that day and found more
where it matters most. He jumps from pole position and should be one of the
leading contenders. ROMANISED has
some decent Irish and French form to his credit. He has won twice, finished
second once and third once from 11 starts over this distance. He jumps from a
good draw and must be included in all bets. ADMIRE MARS makes the trip from Japan to try and defend his title.
He has won six times from nine starts over this distance. He has had the
perfect prep coming into this race and cannot be ignored. 

RACE 8

The last Group 1 is The Longines Hong Kong Cup over ten
furlongs. MAGICAL has very good form
to her credit. She has won seven times, finished second three times and third
once from as many starts over this distance. She has her first run in Hong Kong
and if suited to the track, she should take a power of beating. FURORE won his last two starts well,
the latest of which was over this distance. Exultant who finished behind him
that day takes his place in Race 4 on the card and it will pay to monitor his
progress in that event. He will be looking to notch up his first Group 1
victory today. SKALLETI has good recent
form lines to his credit. He has won seven times and finished second once from
nine starts over this distance. He jumps from a good draw of four and merits
healthy respect. DANCES WITH DRAGON
finished 3 lengths behind the second choice last time. The pair meet on the
same weight terms today and he may have to settle for the same result.  

RACE 9

WINNING DREAMER is
the best bet on the day. He is unbeaten from five starts to date, three of
which were over this course and distance. He faces his toughest test to date,
but may still be ahead of the handicapper and can keep his record intact. SKY
FIELD was running on too late in his last start over seven furlongs. He has won
three times and finished second once from as many starts over this course and
distance. Joao Moreira knows him well and the combination should be one of the
leading contenders for the placings. DUKE WAI ran a good race when finishing
second behind the top choice last time. The slight concern is his wide draw,
but he gets the services of Karis Teetan who will give him all the necessary
assistance from the saddle. CALIFORNIA RAD finished 4 lengths behind the top
choice last time. He is weighted to finish closer this afternoon, but he too
has a wide barrier position to overcome. 

RACE 10

PRECIOUSSHIP is
the value bet on today’s card. He is
much better than his recent form suggests. He has won three times and finished
second twice from ten starts over this course. He takes a drop in class today
and with a bit of luck from his wide draw, he should be the one to beat. TOURBILLON DIAMOND produced a promising
debut effort over seven furlongs. The manner in which he finished off his race
that day caught the eye. He would have gained from the experience and with the
natural improvement that is expected, he should pose a threat to the top
choice. SUPER WEALTHY showed good
signs of a form return last time when staying on well at the business end of
the race. He takes a slight drop in class today and cannot be left out. STAR PERFORMANCE is much better than
his last start when racing wide around the turn. His penultimate run when
finishing second on the all-weather course was encouraging. He gets the
services of claiming apprentice Dylan Mo should help his chances. 

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