Winning Form brings us their best bets and tips for Warwick Farm's racing on Monday 14 June.
Best Bet: KIBOSH (Race 4)
Value Bet: DERBARI (Race 5)
Jackpot (race 4 – 7)
KIBOSH is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys, but she has won two of her last three runs, the latest by a comfortable four and a half lengths, this despite overracing in the early stages. She kicked clear of the opposition at the 300M mark and was eased down going to the wire. She gets gate five and will have 3kgs taken off her back thanks to her claiming apprentice. As such, she is taken to be the best bet on the day’s card. CADENABBIA followed up his penultimate run victory over 1300M with a fourth place finish last time out over seven furlongs, two and a half lengths behind the winner. He did not get the clearest of passages in the home straight that day and from draw two and getting the same 3kg apprentice allowance, he could emerge as the biggest danger to the top choice. JIMMY’S DREAM had finished second in his last three runs prior to winning his maiden race last time out over 1500M by one and a half lengths. He was bumped at the jump and then came the widest of them all into the straight, so that effort was encouraging. The gelding jumps from a wideish gate eight, but nevertheless should be involved in the finish.
Today’s value bet, DERBARI struck the front at the 150M pole and was only run out of it very late to end up in second place last time out over 1250m, a neck back from the winner and the form of that race has been franked. He will have to negotiate draw twelve, but he likes to race up with the pace, so should use his early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy. He also has his peak run after returning from a 13 week rest. KOBE ROCKS jumped awkwardly and then hung out in the latter stages when finishing fifth in his latest outing over 1500M, just over four lengths adrift of the victor. He is drawn one inside the former and should be right up there when they hit the line. RUBAMOS is seldom far off the action and jumped awkwardly before ending up in fifth spot last time out over seven furlongs, just under two and a half lengths behind the winner. He has a kinder draw six and should be included in all bets.
This looks to be a tricky F&M Handicap, so some caution is advised. The tentative first pick goes to DAPHNE JEAN who won her last start over 1100M by half a length when returning from a lengthy 60 week absence. She finished well that day and the form of the race has stood up well with two runners from that contest subsequently winning. She jumps from gate five and could be the one to side with here. ST COVET’S SPIRIT had to be steadied off the heels of other runners at the 1300B mark before finishing fourth in her last outing over seven furlongs, just over a length behind the winner. She made good late progress that day and from her draw seven, she should keep the top selection honest. CAFE ROYAL tried to go from jump to wire before ending up in third place last time out over 1300M, just over a half length back from the victor. She has a wide gate twelve, but on the plus side, will have 3kgs removed from her allocated weight courtesy of her claiming apprentice.
A 3yr old and a 4yr old filly could fight out the finish of this race and complete the exacta, but the slight preference goes to SELBUROSE who whilst being a tad disappointing when finishing fourteenth last time out over six furlongs, 18.3L back from the winner, the form of that race appears strong with three runners from the contest subsequently winning. She was immediately rest for nine weeks and returns here after putting up an encouraging barrier trial. In addition, she gets a cozy draw three and will get a set of blinkers fitted for the first time. If these have the desired effect, she should be highly competitive in this line-up. VAN GIZ had her consistency rewarded with a head victory last time out over 1300M. She came the widest into the home straight that day, but still finished off her race well. She is drawn fifteen out of fifteen, but she is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and then start picking off the frontrunners over the closing stages of the race. OSAMU had nothing go his way last time out when fourth over 1250M, just over three lengths adrift of the winner. He overraced in the middle stages and had to be restrained off the heels of other runner at the 700M pole, before coming three wide into the home straight, but the form of that race has been franked. He gets gate six and 3kg taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice, so should not be lightly dismissed in this field.