Winning Form share all of their best bets and tips for Friday’s racing coming your way from Port Macquarie 07 October 2022.
Best Bet: QUALITY TIME (Race 7)
Value Bet: RAHNI FACTOR (Race 5)
Jackpot (race 5 – 8).
Two 5yr old and a 6yr mare could dominate the finish to this race and complete the trifecta, but the day’s value bet, RAHNI FACTOR is taken to lead the field home. She had her consistency rewarded with a one length victory last time out over six furlongs when sitting just behind the leader before striking the front at the 350M mark and then holding off the chasing pack in the dash down to the wire. From her handy draw two, she should turn in another honest performance today.
LEESIDE has won two of her last three starts, the latest over six furlongs, albeit by just a short-head. She was friendless in the betting markets than day, but has cracked pole position and she should be right up there when they hit the line.
CHARMMEBABY followed up her penultimate run victory over a mile with an eighth place finish next time out over seven furlongs, just under three and a half lengths back from the winner, but she jumped awkwardly that day and then raced wide without cover, so that effort can be forgiven. She returns from a 14 week rest, but did win her only barrier trial and has her first run for her new trainer. If fully settled into her new surroundings, she should give a good account of herself here.
HIT THE TARGET went from jump to wire to win his last start over seven furlongs by 1.8L and the form of that race has stood up well with two runners out of that contest subsequently winning. He is sure to put his pole position to good use and could prove difficult to reel in over the closing stages.
AT WITZ END is seldom far off the action and finished third last time out over 1500M, just under a length off the winner, but he did race three wide without cover and his jockey dropped his crop at the 250M mark in that contest. Nevertheless, he made good late progress and from gate seven, he should give a good account of himself here.
KEDAH is a 7yr old mare taking on the boys, but she has finished closer to the winner in each of his last three runs, the latest when seventh over seven furlongs, 3.2L adrift of the victor, but it should be noted that she came four wide into the home stretch and had to be held up at the 200M pole in that event. She gets a useful draw four and has her peak run after returning from a 28 week break. If she has continued down the same path of improvement, she should be included in all bets.
The day’s best bet, QUALITY TIME is looking for his hat-trick after victories over 1500M and the latest over 1900M by some two and a half lengths. He struck the front at the 300M mark that day and then cruised to a comfortable win. He jumps from gate six and the trio is very much on the cards.
OUR CANDIDATE won his penultimate start over eleven furlongs and then finished third last time out over twelve furlongs, 5.2L adrift of the winner, but he was bumped jumping and became unbalanced, before being bumped again at the 700M pole. The form of that race has been franked and from pole position, he could emerge as the biggest threat to the top choice.
ROUSSEAU is the stable companion to the top choice and came three wide into the home straight when finishing sixth in the same race that QUALITY TIME won, just under six and a half lengths behind the latter and he is drawn one outside him. He is 3.5kgs better off at today’s weights, but this should not be enough to turn the tables and he may have to settle for the same result. He nonetheless makes a solid back-up for the powerful Chris Waller yard.
This looks to be a tricky race to end off the day’s Jackpot with plenty of runners in with a realistic chance of finding the winner’s box, so some caution is suggested. In addition, the top three selections will all have to deal with wide draws.
IMPACT STAR raced three wide without cover, but delivered a powerful finish to win his last start over 1100M by 1.8L. The gelding is drawn seventeen, but he should be doing his best work late.
PASSISTAS is a 5yr old mare taking on males and was slow away and then held up entering the home straight, only seeing daylight at the 100M mark, but still managed to end up in sixth spot last time out over five furlongs, just under two and a half lengths back from the winner. She gets gate twelve and has her peak run after returning from a 25 week absence. With better luck in running, she should not be lightly dismissed.
ZOOM OUTCOME missed out on his hat-trick after two victories over five furlongs when finishing fourteenth last time out over the same sprint trip, 10.7L behind the winner, when returning from a 15 week rest, but the gelding was bumped at the start and then also hung out on the home turn. In addition, he was reported to be lame that day, so that effort is best ignored. He is drawn the widest of them all in gate eighteen, but he should use his early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy.