Winning Form share all of their best bets and tips for Friday’s racing coming your way from Tamworth on 12 August 2022.
Best Bet: EMISSIVE (Race 7)
Value Bet: LONELY POWER (Race 5)
Jackpot (race 4 – 7)
There are six unraced runners in the field, so as is always the case in these types of races, a keen eye should be kept on the betting markets to get some indication as to whether any of the connections believe that they can win first-time out. Any betting support for a runner or runners should be respected. Of the raced runners SATAY CHICKEN may prove to be the best. He finished second over this c&d on debut, just a head behind the winner. He stayed on well that day and would have learnt from that experience and with the natural improvement that can be expected, he could be the one that they all have to beat, despite having a wideish draw eight.
A 3yr old and a 4yr old filly could chase him home, with the slight preference going to FIREY PANZ, who made goof late progress when finishing fifth last time out over five furlongs, two and a half lengths back from the winner. She gets a handy draw four and has her peak run since returning from a 31-week break.
STAR IMPACT has finished closer to the winner in each of her last three runs, the latest when sixth over six furlongs, 2.3L adrift of the victor when returning from a 21 week and the form of that race has stood up well with three runners out of that contest subsequently winning. She ran on well after coming four wide into the home straight that day and from gate six, she should be included in all bets.
The day’s value bet, LONELY POWER has finished third in his last two runs, the latest over six furlongs, just under a length off the winner. He had to be steadied off the heels of other runners at the 600M mark and was then hampered at the 200M pole, so can be viewed as an unlucky loser. The gelding has his peak run since returning from a 23 week break and does face a wide draw thirteen, but he should use his early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy.
SMOOTH ESPRIT on the other hand has cracked pole position and won over a mile three runs back, but then finished fifteenth last time out when dropping down to six furlongs, 14.8L adrift of the victor, but that was at a stronger center. It should also be noted that he overraced in the middle stages that day and was returning from a 24-week break. He should do better here reverting to what appears to be more suitable trip.
OSMAN has won two of his last three outings, the latest over today’s distance by 2.8L. He went from jump to wire that day and from his useful gate three, he could prove difficult to reel in over the closing stages of the contest.
DIMENSION has finished fourth in his last two outings and was denied a clear run at the 200M mark, but then finished his race off well to end up 2.3L behind the winner last time out over five furlongs when returning from a 19-week rest. He has pulled gate six and gets a set of blinkers re-fitted today and if this move has the desired effect, he should be a big runner here. The gelding will also get 2kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice.
KANALAIDE is the stable companion to the top choice and was a bit out of his ground turning for home last time out, but finished well to end up in fifth spot over this c&d, just under two and a half lengths behind the winner when returning from a longer 22-week absence. He gets gate four and with having 1.5kgs removed from his allocated weight, he makes a solid back-up for the yard.
FESTIVAA is a 5yr old mare taking on the boys, but she had her consistency rewarded with a short-head victory last time out over this c&d. She showed plenty of speed that day before holding off all the late challengers in the dash down to the wire. She will have to negotiate draw eight, but nonetheless she should give the males a good run for their money.
A 5yr old mare, a 4yr old and a 3yr old filly could dominate the finish to this race and secure the trifecta, but the day’s best bet, EMISSIVE is taken to lead the field home. She is seldom far off the action, finishing second over this c&d last time out, one and a half lengths back from the winner when returning from a 17-week break. She stayed on well that day and the form of that race has been franked. She faces a wide draw eleven, but she should be able to work her way across without using up too much energy.
MEZINJIT was reported to have bled when finishing last in her penultimate outing over five furlongs, 23 lengths adrift of the winner, so that effort obviously needs to be ignored, but she put that firmly behind her when winning her comeback run over 900M, albeit by just a short-head. She is the stablemate to the top pick and from gate eight, she represents a solid backup for the yard.
SAMMIBALLERINA finished third first time out over five furlongs and then made the expected improvement to win her next start over six furlongs by 0.8L, despite jumping awkwardly. The form of that race has stood up well with four runners out of that contest subsequently winning. She does return from a 17 week rest and has not had the benefit of a barrier trial so her fitness will have to be taken on trust, but she gets gate five and has her first run for her new trainer. If fully settled into her new surroundings, she should give a good account of herself here.