Winning Form share all of their best bets and tips for Friday's racing coming your way from Tamworth on 19 July 2024.
Best Bet: KEITANY (Race 8)
Value Bet: KING RUPERT (Race 6)
Jackpot (race 5 – 8)
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th |
10 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
1 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
5 | 5 | 6 |
|
Cost: R54.00
Race 5
SATAY CHICKEN put his disappointing penultimate start over 1400M in very heavy going behind him when finishing fifth next time out over the same c&d, 4.3L back from the winner, but he had to weave his way through traffic in the home straight that day, so he had his excuse. The form of that race has been franked and whilst drawn the widest of them all in gate ten, he will be having his peak run after returning from a 22-week break and he should be doing his best work late.
VINCENZO had solid form prior to finishing eleventh last time out over 2000M, 22.1L adrift of the victor, but that was in a Listed Race in very heavy going. He was also slow away and crowded shortly after the start, so a line can be drawn through that effort. From his kinder draw two, he should do better dropping down to a more suitable class.
PRIME IMPACT had finished third in his two runs prior to ending up in fifth place last time out over 2180M, seven lengths back from the winner, but he raced three wide throughout in that event and the form of that race has stood up well, with two runners out of that contest subsequently winning. The gelding gets a wideish draw eight, but nevertheless, he should be included in all bets.
Race 6
The day’s value bet, KING RUPERT jumped awkwardly, but stayed on well when finishing eighth last time out over 1100M, 5.8L off the winner, but that was in heavy going, which did not suit him. The gelding has a useful gate four and will be hoping to chalk up his third career victory here.
MAGIC FLYER goes for his hat-trick after victories over 1600M and the latest over 1000M by just under a half-length, this despite losing two lengths at the start. He finished powerfully from some way back on that occasion and although returning from a 27-week rest, he has had the benefit of two barrier trials. From his cosy draw two and with 2kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice, he should be right up there when they hit the line.
STOCK THE ROSE followed up his penultimate run victory over 1450M with a third-place finish next time out over 1200M, just one and a half lengths back from the winner. He was returning from a 17-week rest that day and hit the line hard. He on the other hand will have to negotiate a wide draw thirteen, but he is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and then start to pick off the front runners over the latter part of the race.
Race 7
SMART SHOT has consistent formlines to his name and finished strongly to just fail to overhaul the winner in the shadow of the post when second last time out over 1400M, beaten just a short-head. The gelding faces a wide draw twelve, but he should use his early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy and turn in another honest performance here to give trainer Cody Morgan his second winner in the day’s Jackpot should the top pick win the opening leg.
NO MORE ROMANCE followed up her penultimate run victory over 1200M with a third-place finish next time out over the same c&d, one and a half lengths back from the winner, but he raced wide without cover in that event, before chasing hard all the way down to the wire. From his handy draw three, he could complete the exacta.
ZAHDI is a 4-year-old filly taking on the boys, but she has finished closer to the winner in each of her last three starts, the latest when fifth over 1300M, 1.3L behind the winner. She sat just behind the speed that day, only to be run out of it late. She has pulled gate five and should not be easily dismissed.
Race 8
KEITANY is a 4-year-old filly taking on males, but she won over 1000M three runs back, finished fifth in her penultimate start over 900M and then second in her latest outing over 1000M, just a half-length behind the winner, when returning from a 17-week spell. She struck the front at the 200M pole that day, only to be grabbed late. The filly gets cheekpieces fitted for the first time and if these have the desired effect, she should be a big runner here and is taken to be the best bet on the day’s card. She jumps from gate seven and could provide jockey Ashley Morgan his second winner in the Jackpot should the top choice win the previous race.
GREAT SIEGE has cracked pole position and was having his first run for his new trainer and returning from an 81-week spell when winning his last start over 1000M by a length. The fact that his connections brought him back into racing after such a lengthy absence would seem to have been vindicated and whilst he now returns after a shorter 14-week rest and finishing second in his only barrier trial, they clearly believe that he still has something more to offer them.
KOGA NINJA showed marked improvement when finishing fourth in his latest outing over 1000M, when returning from an 18-week break, despite hanging out approaching the home turn and being crowded at the 200M mark. The gelding has his first run after a 27-week break without having had the benefit of a barrier trial, so his fitness will have to be taken on trust, but he gets a useful draw four and will have 3kgs removed from his allocated weight courtesy of his claiming apprentice and should be involved in the finish.
