Winning Form share all of their best bets and tips for Saturday’s racing coming your way from Royal Randwick on 6 August.
Best Bet: LORD ARDMORE (Race 7)
Value Bet: COUNT DE RUPEE (Race 8)
Jackpot (race 7 – 10).
LORD ARDMORE had his consistency rewarded with a two length victory last time out over today’s journey. He went from jump to wire that day and from his handy draw four, he is likely to adopt similar tactics here. The gelding has his peak run after returning from a 22 week spell and is taken to be the best bet on the day’s card.
ALCYONE put his disappointing penultimate run firmly behind him when winning his next start over 1500M by 2.3L when return from a 34 week break. He hit the front at the 150M mark that day to win going away. He is drawn wide in gate nine, but on the plus side, he will get 1.5kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice.
FRANCESCO GUARDI is the stable companion to the top choice who missed out on his hat-trick after wins over seven furlongs and nine furlongs when finishing second in his latest outing over nine furlongs, two lengths back from the winner. He battled all the way down to the wire that day and from gate seven, he makes a solid back-up for the powerful Chris Waller yard.
The day’s value bet, COUNT DE RUPEE followed up his penultimate run victory over six furlongs with a twelfth place finish last time out over the same sprint distance, 10.8L adrift of the winner, but that was in a Group 1 event and he was reported to have not acted in the heavy going that day. He has his first run for his new trainer, but did finish second in his only barrier trial. If fully settled into his new surroundings, he should give a good account of himself here.
A 6yr old and a 5yr old mare could chase him home with the slight preference going to BELLUCI BABE who finished third in a Group 2 race last time out over six furlongs, one length off the winner. She was only out run late that day and the form of that race has been franked. She returns from a 17 week rest, but did win her first and finished third in her two barrier trials to prove her well-being. She is sure to put her useful gate three to good use.
FORBIDDEN LOVE has her first run after a slightly shorter 16 week break, but did win her only barrier trial. She finished eighth over seven furlongs in her last outing prior to the break, 8.8L adrift of the victor, but that was in a Group 1 race. She faces a wide draw ten, but she should not be lightly dismissed in this line-up.
BOLD MAC is looking for his hat-trick after wins over six furlongs and the latest over seven furlongs, albeit by just a short-head. That victory was full of merit after he jumped awkwardly and overraced in the early and middle stages, but was still able to produce a powerful finish. That was his first run in Australia, having crossed the Tasman Sea from New Zealand. From his cozy draw four, he will be hoping for a quick double.
His biggest danger could be his stable mate, IL AFFARE who is a 5yr old mare taking on males and who is drawn one inside the former. She is seldom too far off the action, finishing fourth last time out over seven furlongs, just under four lengths behind the winner and the form of that race has stood up well with two runners out of that contest subsequently winning. She has her peak run after returning from a 37 week spell and represents a solid reinforcement for the Chris Waller yard.
CONTRIBUTINGFACTOR has won two of his last three outings, the latest over 1300M by one and a half lengths. He finished well that day and whilst facing a wide draw ten, he will get 3kgs removed from his allocated weight courtesy of his claiming apprentice to aid his cause.
GLITTERY has won two of her last three runs, the latest over 1100M when putting three and a half lengths between herself and the opposition, notwithstanding being slow away. She is drawn the widest of them all in gate sixteen, but given her style of racing, she is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and then start to pick off the front runners over the closing stages of the race.
SUNRISE RUBY was returning from an 18 week absence when finishing second in her latest outing over 1100M, 0.8L back from the winner. She faces a wide draw ten, but she should appreciate the extra ground on offer here.
JAL LEI has posted two solid last efforts, the latest when beaten a short-head over six furlongs. She jumped awkwardly that day, came the widest of them all into the home stretch and then hung in down the home straight, so can be considered an unlucky loser. She has also pulled a wide draw, in her case gate twelve, but does have her peak run after returning from a 14 week break and should be included in all bets.