Winning Form share all of their best bets and tips for Thursday’s racing coming your way from Pinjarra on 7 July 2022.
Best Bet: OLY’S CHOICE (Race 6)
Value Bet: STYLAX (Race 7)
Jackpot (race 5 – 8)
There are four unraced runners in the field, so as is always the case in these types of races, a keen eye should be kept on the betting markets to get some indication as to whether any of the connection believe that they can win first time out. Any betting support for a runner or runners should be respected. Of the raced runners, TOO MUCH TALK may prove to be the best. His last three runs have yielded a third place, followed by two second place finishers, the latest over six furlongs, two and a half lengths behind the winner. He gets a handy draw five and will be having his peak run since returning from a 22 week break.
Two 3yr old fillies could chase him home, with the slight preference going to DYNAMIC RULER who has finished closer to the winner in each of her last three runs, the latest when second over five furlongs, one length adrift of the victor. She made good late progress that day, gets gate seven and will be having her peak run since returning from a longer 27 week rest.
TWICE A FORTNIGHT has finished second in her last two outings, the latest when a neck back over 1300M, but she came four wide into the home straight in that contest, so should have finished closer to the winner than she officially did. The form of that race has stood up well with two runners out of that contest subsequently winning. She does return from a 17 week rest, but has had the one barrier trial. Whilst facing a wide draw fifteen, she should be doing her best work late.
OLY’S CHOICE has only had the three runs to date, winning on debut over five furlongs and then finishing second in his next two outings, the latest over seven furlongs, just under a length off the winner and the form of that race has been franked. The gelding raced wide throughout and then hung out over the closing stages that day, so should be seen as an unlucky loser. From gate seven, he is taken to be the best bet on the day’s card and could prove hard to topple in this line-up.
I’M NOT FOR SALE put his disappointing penultimate run over six furlongs behind him when finishing second last time out over seven furlongs, just a neck behind the winner. It should also be noted that he was disappointed for a run at the 250M pole that day. He gets a useful draw four and will have his peak run after returning from a 23 week absence and could emerge as the biggest danger to the top choice.
PLEASE GOD is a 4yr old filly taking on the boys, but she had her consistency rewarded with her maiden victory last time out over seven furlongs by 2.8L. She went from jump to wire that day and from the widest draw of them all in gate thirteen, she is likely to adopt similar tactics today.
The day’s value bet, STYLAX followed up his penultimate run victory over seven furlongs with an eighth place finish last time out over the same journey, two and a half lengths adrift of the winner, but he jumped awkwardly that day and then did not get the clearest of passages in the home straight, so that effort was encouraging. He has a cozy draw three and should be right up there in the mix.
FAR TOO STRONG hung in over the latter stages when ending up in fourth place last time out over seven furlongs, two and a half lengths behind the winner. He gets a set of blinkers fitted for the first time and if these have the desired effect, he should be a big runner here, jumping from gate six and having his peak run since a 34 week spell.
MIDNIGHT MYSTERY is a 4yr old filly taking on males, but she has cracked pole position and came six wide into the home straight when finishing third in her latest outing over seven furlongs, 1.2L behind the winner. She should give the boys a good run for their money.
PONYO is a 3yr old filly taking on boys, but she is seldom far off the action and was returning from a 27 week break when finishing fifth last time out over five furlongs, 1.8L behind the winner. She raced just behind the leader that day and then stayed on well over the latter stages of the race. The blinkers are removed for the first time today and she has pulled gate six. Another honest performance is likely today.
FOREVER AUTUMN was slow away losing one length, but then finished strongly to end up in second spot last time out over five furlongs, just a head back from the winner. From his wide draw twelve out of fourteen, he is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and then start to pick off the front runners over the closing stages of the race.
CANTO DE GUERRA is drawn one inside the latter and won his penultimate run over five furlongs and then finished second over the same c&d next time out, just under half a length behind the winner and was immediately rested for 13 weeks. He returns here without having had the benefit of a barrier trial, so his fitness will have to be taken on trust. The gelding is drawn wide in gate eleven, but he is a speedy sort who should be able to work his way across without using up too much energy.