Australian racing tips – Tuesday 04 October 2022 – Goulburn

Best Bet: CONDRIEU (Race 5)

Value Bet: JAMESONHEART (Race 7)

Jackpot (race 5 – 8).

Cost: R90.00  

Race 5.

A 5yr old mare and a 4yr old filly could fight out the finish to this race and complete the exacta, but the day’s best bet, CONDRIEU is taken to lead the field home. She had to be held up for a run at the top of the home straight and only found a clear passage at the 100M mark, before finishing strongly over the closing stages. She would have learnt from that experience and with the natural improvement that can be expected, she could be the one that they all have to beat and as such, she is made the best bet on the day’s card. The mare has cracked pole position and retains the services of ex-SA jockey Keagan Latham, so will get all the necessary assistance from the saddle.

ZAFARANA is seldom far off the action and overraced in the middle stages but still managed to stay on well over the latter stages to end up in second place last time out over 1700M, just a half lengths behind the winner. She has her first run for her new trainer and if fully settled into her new surroundings, she should give a good account of herself here, despite facing a wide gate eleven.

THE PERCENTAGE has finished second in two of his last three runs, the latest over seven furlongs, 1.8L back from the winner. He tried to go from jump to wire that day and given his wide draw sixteen out of sixteen, he is likely to attempt similar tactics today.

Race 6.

There are four unraced runners in the field, so as is always the case in these types of races, a keen eye should be kept on the betting markets to get some indication as to whether any of the connection believe that they can win first time out. Any betting support for a runner or runners should be respected. Of the raced runners, BOMBULLA BOY may prove to be the best, notwithstanding a wide gate eleven. He had consistent formlines to his name prior on embarking on a 73 week spell, having finished third last time out over six furlongs, 1.7L off the victor. He has had the one barrier trial and the fact that his connections have brought him back into racing after such a lengthy absence would seem to suggest that they believe that he still has something more to offer them.

BIG BAZ was the joint leader and then kicked clear of the opposition at the top of the home straight before being run out of it late last time out over 1300M, ending up three lengths back from the winner. He does return from a shorter 24 week break and has not had the benefit of a barrier trial, so his fitness will have to be taken on trust, but from his kinder draw two, he should be right up there when they hit the line.

CHILEAN EXPRESS has finished third in his last two outings, the latest over 1100M, two lengths behind the winner. He tried to go from gun to tape that day and is sure to put his pole position to good use in an attempt to go two better here.

Race 7.

The day’s value bet, JAMESONHEART won over 1100M when making his debut and then raced three wide without cover and came the widest of them all when finishing seventh last time out over six furlongs, just under six and a half lengths adrift of the winner, but the form of that race has stood up well with two runners out of that contest subsequently winning. The gelding will have to negotiate draw eleven and returns from a 24 week break, but he has had three barrier trials to showcase his well-being.

MY BLUE JEANS delivered a powerful finish when ending up in second spot last time out over a mile, 1.3L back from the winner. He is drawn one inside the top choice and on that last effort, he should be doing his best work late.

SQUIGGLES is a 4yr old filly taking on the boys, but she has finished closer to the winner in each of her last three runs, the latest when second over seven furlongs, just a short-head behind the victor. She sat just off the leaders that day and then battled all the way down to the wire. From gate seven, she should be included in all bets.

Race 8.

As with the second leg of the day’s Jackpot, there are a number of unraced runners in this contest, so the same comment in respect of keeping an eye on the betting moves applies here as well. The raced runners have also got very little form to go one, so some caution is advised.

LEICA STORM was returning from a 15 week rest and was friendless in the betting when finishing third last time out over six furlongs, four lengths behind the winner. That was just his second start and he should have come on further with the run under his belt. From a useful gate three, he looks to be the one to side with.

MALABAR raced just behind the leader when making solid improvement to finish third at the second time of asking over 1300M, just over four length back from the victor, when returning from a 42 week spell. The gelding has pulled gate nine and should continue to improve.

MIDORI FUJI gets gate five and finished eleventh first time out over five furlongs, 5.3L behind the winner and was immediately rested for 49 weeks. He returns here after having had four barrier trials, winning the last two to prove his fitness and gets a set of blinkers fitted for the first time. If these have the desired effect, he should be a big runner here.