Winning Form share all of their best bets and tips for Tuesday’s racing coming your way from Hawkesbury on 9 August.
Best Bet: COMMUNIST (Race 6)
Value Bet: UPPER HOUSE (Race 4)
Jackpot (race 4 – 7).
UPPER HOUSE has ended up in fourth place in his last three starts, but has finished closer to the winner in each of those runs, the latest over seven furlongs, 0.8L adrift of the victor when returning from a 29 week break. He was slow away and badly crowded shortly after the start that day, before coming the widest of them all into the home straight, so that effort was commendable. The form of that race has also been franked and despite being drawn the widest of them all in gate eight, he is taken to be the value bet on the day’s card.
Two 4yr old fillies could chase him home, with the slight preference going to SELFIE TIME who jumped awkwardly and overraced in the early stages, but still managed to go from gun to tape to win her last outing over seven furlongs, by 2.8L. That was her maiden victory and she takes on stronger here, but she gets gate five and will have 1.5kgs taken off her back thanks to her claiming apprentice to aid her cause.
EVE ‘N’ RUBY showed marked improvement to win her last start over seven furlongs by 0.8L. She raced wide throughout and was held up at the 300M mark in that contest, but still managed to finish off her race well. She gets a handy gate two and should be right up there when they hit the line.
With the late scratching of two of his main rivals, the door may have opened for SOVEREIGN EXPRESS to chalk up his third career victory. He has his hat-trick run after victories over seven furlongs and the latest over a mile by 0.8L. He stayed on well that day, suggesting that he should appreciate the extra ground on offer here. From a useful gate three, he looks to be the one to side with in this line-up.
TURNAROUND TIME had his consistency rewarded with a neck win last time out over nine furlongs. The gelding was slow away and found himself in last place turning into the home straight, but delivered a powerful finish to secure a neck victory in the shadow of the post and the form of that race has been franked. He has pulled gate six and should be considered a big runner here.
DASH DASH DASH is seldom too far off the action, finishing second last time out over 1900M, two and a half lengths off the winner, notwithstanding being hampered at the start. He stayed on well that day and whilst he is drawn wideish in gate eight, he should be included in all bets.
The day’s best bet, COMMUNIST has only had the two runs to date, finishing second on debut over six furlongs and then showing the expected improvement to win over seven furlongs at the second time of asking. That victory was full of merit as he had to be eased off the heels of other runners at the 1000M pole and then came four wide into the home straight. He has pulled draw five and with the further natural improvement that can be expected, he could prove hard to topple. He has also had the benefit of a barrier trial since that last outing.
ROMA AVENUE had finished third in his two runs prior to winning his last start over 1300M by 1.8L, even though he overraced in the early stages. He is drawn the widest of them all in gate ten, but he should use his early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy.
ZEMINNIKA is a 4yr old filly taking on the boys, but she won over six furlongs three runs back and then put her slightly disappointing effort in her penultimate run firmly behind her when finishing third in her latest outing over six furlongs, 0.7L behind the winner. She was returning from a 14 week rest that day and did jump awkwardly, but she has cracked pole position and should give the males a good run for their money.
EUPHRATES DREAM is a 4yr old filly taking on boys, but she was bumped at the start and overraced in the early stages, before still being able to find a strong finish to win her last start over 1100M, albeit by just a short-head. She faces a wideish draw seven, but she should turn in a solid effort here.
CEASEFIRE has consistent formlines to his name, finishing fourth last time out over six furlongs, just a length and a half back from the winner. He jumps from a useful gate four and gets a set of blinkers fitted for the first time. If these have the desired effect, he should be a big runner here.
COMONIC missed out on his hat-trick when finishing eleventh last time out over 1100M, just over eight and a half lengths adrift of the winner, but he did jump awkwardly before trying to make every post a winning post that day. The form of that race has however stood up well with three runners out of that contest subsequently winning. The gelding has pulled gate six and has won a subsequent barrier, so should not be easily overlooked.