Winning Form share all of their best bets and tips for Tuesday’s racing coming your way from Newcastle on 21 November 2023.
Best Bet: JARED (Race 5)
Value Bet: DIVINE VICKY (Race 7)
Jackpot (race 5 – 8)
JARED has consistent formlines to his name and was bumped at the start, but recovered quickly to pick up the lead, before being run out of it late, ending up in second place last time out over seven furlongs, 0.8L behind the winner. He faces a wide gate thirteen, but he should use his early gate speed to move across without expending too much energy and is taken to be the best bet on the day’s card.
MY MATE COBBER on the other hand has cracked pole position and has finished closer to the winner in each of his last three starts, the latest when second over 1500M, just a half length behind the winner. He tried to go from jump to wire that day, only to be denied in the shadow of the post. The gelding will have 3kgs taken off his back thanks to his claiming apprentice and will be hoping to go one better today.
TSARISM was returning from a 25-week break and had to be held up at the top of the home straight, before being switched inwards at the 200M mark to obtain a clear run, finishing third last time out over six furlongs, just under two and a half lengths back from the winner. He will have to negotiate a wide draw nine, but nevertheless should be involved in the finish.
There are three unraced runners in the field, so as is always the case in these types of races, a keen eye should be kept on the betting markets to get some indication as to whether any of the connections believe that they can win first-time out. Any betting support for a runner or runners should be respected. Of the raced runners, three 3-year-old fillies could fight out the finish and complete the trifecta, but EQUIPAGE may well prove to be the best. She has only had two runs to date, finishing fourth on debut over 1100M and then third next time out over six furlongs, just over a length back from the winner. She was returning from a 43-week break that day and did jump awkwardly, bumping another runner, but still managed to stay on well over the closing stages, despite racing green down the home straight. She would no doubt have come on further with that run under her belt and although drawn wide in gate twelve, she could break her maiden at the third time of asking.
BELYAEV is seldom far off the action, finishing third last time out over five furlongs, 1.8L back from the winner. She jumped awkwardly in that event and raced three wide throughout, coming four wide into the home straight before staying on well over the latter stages. She has a handy draw four and is likely to turn in another honest performance today.
GALAXY FIELD finished six first time out over six furlongs and then jumped awkwardly bumping another runner when ending up in fourth spot next time out over 1300M, one and a half lengths off the winner. She gets a set of blinkers fitted for the first time and if these have the desired effect, she should be a big runner here.
The day’s value bet, DIVINE VICKY is a 4yr old filly taking on the boys and who won over 1100M three runs back, finished sixth in her penultimate start over 1100M and then second over the same sprint trip in her latest outing, three lengths behind the winner, but she had to be steadied off the heels of another runner at the 600M pole in that event. She nevertheless battled all the way down to the wire and from gate five, she may prove hard to topple.
TIM’S PRINCIPAL had his consistency rewarded with a 0.8L victory last time out over six furlongs, notwithstanding being slow away and coming five wide into the home straight. The gelding is drawn one inside the top pick and will have 2kgs removed from his allocated weight courtesy of his claiming apprentice.
Although POSEIDON RULER is recorded as finishing seventh last time out over six furlongs, he was just 1.8L back from the winner, when returning from a 14-week rest. He was slow away in that contest and was bumped at the 200M mark, so he had his excuses, and the form of that race has stood up well with three runners out of that contest subsequently winning. The gelding will have to deal with a wideish gate eight, but he will have ex-SA jockey Keagan Latham in the irons, so will get all the necessary assistance from the saddle and should be included in all bets.
This looks to be a tricky race to end off the day’s Jackpot with plenty of runners in with a realistic chance of finding the winner’s box, so some caution is suggested. GOOD LIEUTENANT won his last start over five furlongs by a half-length when returning from a 22-week absence. He was bumped at the start, overraced in the middle stages and then had to be held up at the entrance to the home straight, so that effort was encouraging. The gelding has pulled gate six and will be looking to chalk up a quick double.
OSTERBERG had solid form before finishing fifth in his latest outing over five furlongs, just over three lengths adrift of the winner, but he did jump awkwardly that day and was immediately rested for 19 weeks. He returns here after finishing third in his only barrier trial and from his useful draw four, he will be looking to bounce back to his better form today.
IN A STEP is a 7-year-old mare taking on males who has finished second in his last two starts, the latest over five furlongs, 0.8L behind the victor. She jumped awkwardly and was forced to race three wide throughout, but still managed to stay on well over the closing stages. She is drawn one inside the latter and will have the services of a 3kg claiming apprentice.