Winning Form share all of their best bets and tips for Wednesday’s racing coming your way from Randwick/Kensington on 18 May 2022.
Best Bet: DEEP FINESSE (Race 8)
Value Bet: FROM THE BUSH (Race 7)
Jackpot (race 5 – 8).
FINEPOINT goes for her hat-trick after victories over seven furlongs and the latest a head win over 1500M, this despite having to be steadied at the seven furlong mark and coming four wide into the home straight. She returns from a 21 week break, but has had three barrier trials to showcase her well-being. She has cracked pole position and looks to be the one to side with here.
ITA has finished closer to the winner in each of her last three runs, the latest when second over 2100M, just 0.8L adrift of the victor, but she was trapped wide throughout that day and came the widest of them all into the home straight. The drop in trip should not be an issue and from her handy draw three and with having 2kgs taken off her back thanks to her claiming apprentice, she should keep the top choice honest.
NIFFLER is the stable companion to the top choice who has only had the six runs to date, recording three firsts and then finishing second twice before ending up in third place last time out over ten furlongs, 5.3L behind the winner. She has a wideish gate eight and has her first run after a shorter 17 week rest, but has posted an encouraging barrier trial. She makes a solid back-up for the powerful Chris Waller yard.
Three 3yr old fillies could fight out the finish to this race and secure the trifecta, but the top pick goes to GLITTERY who missed out on her hat-trick when finishing fourth last time out over 1300M, 1.3L back from the winner, but she had to be held up at the entrance to the home straight that day, so that effort was encouraging. She returns after a 23 week spell, but has had the two barrier trials, finishing second in the latest. From draw seven, she could provide top jockey Hugh Bowman with the first two legs of the day’s Jackpot.
PO KARE KARE comes back from shorter 16 week spell and has had the two barrier trials, winning the first and finishing fourth in the latest. She has only had the two runs to date, finishing third over six furlongs on debut, but then showed the expected improvement to win next time out over the same sprint trip by 1.8L. She jumped awkwardly and came three wide into the home stretch in that contest, but finished off her race strongly. The form of that last race has been franked and she would have come on further from that last outing.
SACHELLO missed out on her hat-trick after two wins over five furlongs when ending up in sixth spot last time out when stepping up to six furlongs, three lengths adrift of the winner. She was however hampered down at the start, but recovered well to lead the field before being run out of it late. She returns from a 26 week break, but has had the two barrier trials, finishing second in the first and winning the latest. She gets gate four and will have 2kgs removed from her back courtesy of her claiming apprentice to aid her cause.
The day’s value bet, FROM THE BUSH had his consistency rewarded with a two length victory last time out over a mile. He only saw daylight at the 300M mark that day, but then hit the front at the 150M pole before holding off all the late challengers in the dash down to the wire. From a useful draw two, he should appreciate the slight drop in distance.
GREEN FLASH was returning from a 19 week break when slow away and then not getting a clear passage in the home straight before finishing sixth last time out over six furlongs, 4.7L behind the winner, so that run is best ignored. He is drawn the widest of them all in gate twelve, but given his style of racing, he is likely to be dropped out of it in the early stages and then start to pick off the front runners over the closing stages of the race.
NORMAN has consistent formlines to his name and jumped awkwardly and hung out in the home straight when ending up in second place last time out over a mile, just a half length off the winner. He is the stable companion to the latter and is drawn wide in gate nine, but nevertheless he should turn in another solid performance here for the Chris Waller yard.
With the late scratching of one of his main rivals, the door may have opened for today’s best bet, DEEP FINESSE to chalk up his second career victory. The colt finished third on debut over five furlongs and then won next time out when stepping up to today’s trip. He put four and a half lengths between himself and the opposition that day and could be just about anything. He set the pace, but hung out from the 400M to the winning post and the form of that race has been franked. He gets gate eight and has won a subsequent barrier trial to boost his confidence.
Two 4yr old fillies could chase him home, with the narrow choice going to SEPOY STAR who is drawn one inside the former and who won first time out over six furlongs and then finished second in his next run over 1100M, 1.8L off the winner. He returns from a lengthy 42 week absence, but has had the benefit of two barrier trials, winning the latest and could emerge as the biggest danger to the top pick.
SUR LA MER finished fourth last time out over a mile, 4.2L behind the winner, but the form of that race has stood up well with three runners out of that contest subsequently winning. She returns from a 16 week break, but has had the one barrier trial where she finished second and whilst dropping in distance, she should be running on well over the latter stages and be involved in the finish. She is sure to put her pole position to good use.