Winning Form share all of their best bets and tips for Wednesday’s racing coming your way from Warwick Farm on 7 December 2022.
Best Bet: WAY TO THE STARS (Race 6)
Value Bet: MARILLIER (Race 7)
Jackpot (race 4 – 7)
KOUKLARA put her disappointing penultimate run over ten furlongs firmly behind her when winning by just under a half-length last time out over 1300M, when returning from an 18-week break, which was clearly just what she had needed. She was slow away that day, but finished her race off well. She gets a handy gate four and will have 1.5kgs taken off her back thanks to her claiming apprentice.
ELLENMAC has cracked pole position and is seldom far off the action, making good late progress when finishing second in her latest outing over 1500M, just a neck behind the winner. She seems likely to turn in another honest performance today.
SWEET MERCY overraced in the early stages and had to be eased off the heels of other runners at the 1300M mark, before being held up between the 300M and 200M marks, so should have finished closer to the winner than she officially recorded. She gets gate three and is trained by ex-SA jockey/trainer David Payne. With better luck in running today, she should keep the top two selections honest.
BAK DA MAN won over ten furlongs three runs back and then finished third over 2100M in his penultimate outing, before ending up in third spot last time out over twelve furlongs, just under a length and a half back from the winner, but he was bumped at the start and had to be held up at the top of the home straight that day, before staying on well over the closing stages. He will have 2kgs removed from his allocated weight courtesy of his claiming apprentice and is sure to put his pole position to good use.
OLYMPIC THEATRE on the other hand will have to deal with a wide gate nine, but raced just behind the leader before battling all the way down to the wire to end up in seventh place last time out over ten furlongs, just over five lengths adrift of the victor and on that performance, he should have no issue with the extra ground on offer here. Although
JUST A JEDI is recorded as finishing eighth last time out over ten furlongs, just under three and a half lengths off the winner, it should be noted that he was denied a clear run at the 75M pole. He jumps from gate six and should be included in all bets.
WAY TO THE STARS followed up his penultimate run victory over five furlongs with a fifth-place finish next time out over the same sprint trip, just under a length and a half behind the winner. He is a three-time winner from just the eight starts, so clearly has some ability and from his useful draw three, he is taken to be the best bet on the day’s card.
WITH YOUR BLESSING has won two of his last three outings and finished second in the other, the latest victory coming over five furlongs by 0.8L, when returning from a 38-week absence. He has pulled draw six and will have the services of a 1.5kg claiming apprentice and could emerge as the biggest threat to the top pick.
BOOMSONG is drawn one outside the latter and has consistent formlines to his credit, finishing fourth in his latest start over 1100M, just over two lengths back from the winner. He tried to go from jump to wire on that occasion, but hung out over the closing stages, costing himself valuable ground. The gelding has his peak run after returning from a 20-week absence and should be involved in the finish.
The day’s value bet, MARILLIER is a 3yr old filly taking on the boys, but she won her penultimate start over six furlongs before finishing fourth next time out over 1300M, just over one length behind the winner, but she hung out on the home turn in that contest, so that effort was encouraging. She attracted plenty of betting support that day and whilst she will have to negotiate draw nine, she will be hoping to make amends today.
HIGH BLUE SEA had his consistency rewarded with a 2.3L victory last time out over seven furlongs when going from gun to tape. The gelding is drawn one outside the top pick, but will be having his peak run after returning from a 21-week break and is likely to adopt the same tactics today.
HELLAVADANCER is another 3yr old filly in the race and has won two of her last three runs, the latest over 1500M by three and a half lengths. She returns from a 16-week rest, but has had the two barrier trials to prove her fitness. She is drawn the widest of them all in gate thirteen, but on the plus side, she will get 2kgs taken off her back for the service of her claiming apprentice and she should use her early gate speed to move across without burning up too much gas.